This article is part of our DraftKings Fantasy Soccer series.
For detailed odds and stats, check out the Fantasy Premier League: Saturday Cheat Sheet.
MATCHES (EDT)
11:00 a.m: Newcastle v. Watford
11:00 a.m: West Ham v. Burnley
11:00 a.m: Cardiff City v. Leicester City
11:00 a.m: Everton v. Brighton
1:30 p.m: Arsenal v. Liverpool
FORWARDS
Gylfi Sigurdsson, EVE v. BHA ($9,600): Sigurdsson is likely to be the highest owned player in cash games, as well as highly owned in GPPs, because of his recent excellent play and exceptional matchup against a Brighton side that's allowed the second-most shots, third-most shots on goal, third-most crosses, second-most corners and second-most chances created this season among teams on the slate. While he has lost a few set pieces to Lucas Digne ($6,900, defender), Sigurdsson has still managed at least 8.00 floor points (fantasy points minus goals and assists) in six straight games, including three with at least 14.75. Meanwhile, Brighton's struggles have resulted in allowing the most floor points among teams on the slate, which could have fantasy players considering an Everton stack of Sigurdsson and Richarlison ($9,000), who has reached 7.50 floor points in all but one start (excluding his red card against Bournemouth back on Aug. 25) and/or Theo Walcott ($6,700), who has put his last eight shots on goal (unfortunately it's been over five games).
Marko Arnautovic, WHU v. BUR ($8,300): Sigurdsson may have a good matchup against Brighton, but Arnautovic gets to face off against a Burnley side that's allowed the most shots, shots on goal and chances this season, as well as the second-most goals and assists. Arnautovic is fairly goal dependent at this price because basically all of his value comes from shots, though he did have five, including four on goal, against Tottenham in his last start (he missed last weekend's match with a stomach bug). Michail Antonio ($6,200) could be a nice cheap alternative if he starts, as he's averaging 3.35 shots, including 1.34 on goal, 2.23 crosses and 2.23 fouls drawn per 90 minutes this season, though he's only played 403 and hasn't started a Premier League match since Sept. 23.
Isaac Success, WAT at NEW ($5,500): The lower-priced forwards are pretty ugly this week, and paying up at other positions may force you to start thinking about whether you can get away with someone like Success or Gerard Deulofeu ($5,900). While he did score a goal last week against Huddersfield, it's worth seeing that Success would have had 13.75 fantasy points even without finding the back of the net thanks to four shots, including two on goal, five fouls drawn, three tackles won, one interception and one cross. That level of production really can't be expected again, but even half of it at his price would be okay on this slate.
MIDFIELDERS
James Maddison, LEI at CAR ($8,900): To show how high the standard has gotten for Maddison, people were complaining that he underperformed last week against West Ham despite scoring 11.50 fantasy points thanks to three shots, eight crosses, one tackle won, one interception and one foul drawn. His near-monopoly of set pieces gives him a solid fantasy floor, scoring at least 8.50 in eight of 10 starts, and while he hasn't gotten on the scoresheet in any of his last three league matches, he's now facing a Cardiff City side that has allowed the most goals and most assists this season. There could also be people who look toward Marc Albrighton ($6,600) after he sent in 24 open-play crosses last weekend, but it's worth noting that Leicester were down a goal for 60 minutes and up a man for 52, which is literally the perfect recipe for an Albrighton ceiling game.
Robert Snodgrass, WHU v. BUR ($6,200): On the other side of that Leicester game last weekend was Snodgrass, who managed to reach 8.75 fantasy points despite West Ham playing with 10 men for an two-thirds of the match. He generally takes most set pieces when he starts, even if Felipe Anderson ($7,800) poaches a few here and there, but Snodgrass is also a more prolific shooter than Felipe, and he's been drawing more fouls recently. As noted earlier with Arnautovic, Burnley give up a ton of shots and chances, but they have also conceded the fifth-most crosses (20.80 per game) and most corners among teams on the slate, which fits right into Snodgrass' wheelhouse.
Victor Camarasa, CAR v. LEI ($4,900): Camarasa understandably struggled in last weekend's 4-1 loss at Liverpool, but he is a decent option, particularly at this price, with Cardiff facing a non-top-six side. He had four shots and sent in 15 crosses against Burnley on Sept. 30 and then took two shots and sent in nine crosses against Fulham two games ago, but his price hasn't risen because Cardiff are still underdogs Saturday, even at home. If you don't want to trust Cardiff, you can always pivot to Burnley's Robbie Brady ($5,200), who finally made his season debut after recovering from a long-term injury. Burnley are bigger underdogs than Cardiff, though Brady is a much more well-rounded fantasy scorer than Camarasa. Brady had a set-piece monopoly before his injury last season, and while Johann Berg Gudmundsson ($7,100) took that role over, the two could be splitting like they did last weekend (Brady took two free kicks while Gudmundsson took four). It also doesn't hurt that West Ham have allowed the second-most crosses and fourth-most shots among teams on the slate.
DEFENDERS
Lucas Digne, EVE v. BHA ($6,900): If I told you there was a $6,900 defender who has sent in 57 crosses in his last six games, scoring at least 8.50 fantasy points in each game (and at least 10.25 in five of them), you'd probably think it was Watford's Jose Holebas ($6,400), the league-leader in crosses. Instead, it's Digne, who gets a few set pieces for Everton, which has helped him to double-digit crosses in four of his last five games. The price is surely high, but if you would pay that for Holebas, who is understandably a more prolific crosser but doesn't shoot as much as Digne, why scoff at the Everton left-back's price? Holebas is certainly a great play away to Newcastle if he starts, but after sitting last week, which was preceded by a yellow-card ban, there's no guarantee he's in the first XI on Saturday.
Adam Masina, WAT at NEW ($4,700): Masina has gotten the start at left-back in each of the past two games in place of Holebas, picking up an assist on his lone chance created last weekend against Huddersfield. It's worth noting that right-back Kiko Femenia ($4,500) also got an assist, and while he does similar defensive work, he doesn't cross as much as Masina. Each one is worth consideration if Holebas sits because they'll be facing a Newcastle side that has allowed the most crosses in the Premier League this season.
Fabian Balbuena, WHU v. BUR ($3,800): There aren't many attractive cheap fullbacks, at least among those expected to start, so off to the center-backs we go! Balbuena has actually shown a decent floor for a center-back, scoring at least 4.25 fantasy points in half of his starts, while his struggles have come away to Arsenal, home against Manchester United, away to Everton, home against Tottenham and home against Bournemouth. Next up is a matchup against a Burnley side that gives up loads of shots but scores few goals, giving Balbuena a sliver of upside (only Arnautovic and Antonio have taken more shots for West Ham), as well as the best clean sheet odds on the slate.
GOALKEEPER
Ben Foster, WAT at NEW ($4,700): With no dominant favorites on the slate, paying all the way up doesn't seem optimal. Instead, I'll focus on the away (slightly) favored goalkeeper against a Newcastle side that has just six goals in 10 matches this season, and who has been shut out in five games, including each of their last two (home against Brighton and away to Southampton). Meanwhile, Foster has made eight saves in his last two games -- both clean sheets -- and he's $100 cheaper than Newcastle keeper Martin Dubravka.
