The Week 13 Monday Night Football Game brings us a rematch of some of the most iconic Super Bowls in NFL history, as the 2-10 New York Giants take on the 10-2 New England Patriots. The latest NFL Week 13 odds list the Patriots as 7.5-point favorites in this one.
If you're looking to spice up this matchup with some NFL Week 13 player props, I've got you covered. Just make sure to use an offer like the bet365 bonus code to make the most of your picks.
Best BetMGM Giants vs Patriots Prop Bets: Week 13
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Jaxson Dart – Rushing Yards: OVER 24.5 (-118)
A quick look at the Patriots' defense shows that they've been pretty good at limiting opposing QBs in the run game. New England has only given up 15.8 rushing yards per game to opposing QBs – the 11th-best mark in the NFL. But that doesn't tell the whole story. The Pats have mostly faced pocket-passing QBs this season, so they've only had to handle 35 total QB rushing attempts. That's the fourth-lowest mark in the league.
And when they have faced a mobile QB, they've struggled. The Pats surrendered 53 rushing yards on nine carries to Josh Allen in Week 5, and 67 yards on 11 carries to Justin Fields in Week 11. In total, opposing QBs average 5.4 yards per carry against NE, which is the third-worst mark in the league. Meanwhile, Jaxson Dart has eclipsed 50 rushing yards in five of his seven starts this season. Unless he completely changed his play style after suffering that Week 10 concussion, he should have no trouble clearing this mark. I'd also look into some alternate lines here. I think he's more likely to go over 50 rushing yards than finish under 25.
Drake Maye – Passing Yards: OVER 236.5 (-115)
Let's double-down on BetMGM's QB props tonight. This line is so low I'm convinced it's a trap. But I'm taking it anyway. Drake Maye has thrown for at least 259 yards in nine of his 12 starts this season. Two of the three times he missed that mark came in blowout wins, but even though New England is favored by more than a TD, I'm confident this won't be a blowout. The Patriots are shorthanded and haven't beaten anyone by more than two touchdowns since Week 8. In recent weeks, they let the 4-8 Falcons, 3-9 Jets, and 4-8 Bengals hang around until late in the game.
Maye should be able to tear up this Giants' defense, even with a shorthanded OL. He has gone over 259 yards in five straight games. Now, he'll face a Giants' defense that has given up the 11th-most passing yards, ranks bottom-eight in pass defense EPA, and owns a bottom-eight coverage grade, per PFF. The banged-up Patriots are going to lean on Maye to bail them out tonight, and I'm confident Maye bolsters his 2025 NFL MVP campaign with another stellar performance.
Best FanDuel Giants vs Patriots Prop Bets: Week 13
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TreVeyon Henderson – Rushing Yards: OVER 61.5 (-112)
I don't see how NYG slows down TreVeyon Henderson tonight. New York is the worst run defense in football. The Giants allow 0.193 EPA per rush, which is almost than three times as bad as the second-worst team in that regard, the Bengals (0.070). New York also allows the highest rushing success rate in the league (49.5%). But the Giants are particularly vulnerable against explosive runners. New York has surrendered more runs of 20-plus yards (15) and 40-plus yards (six) than any other team in the NFL.
Meanwhile, Henderson has looked like one of the most explosive backs in the league since taking on an increased role. He recorded at least 62 rushing yards in four of his last five appearances, averaging 81.0 per game in that span. The last time we saw this Giants' defense, they gave up 215 yards on 15 carries to Jahmyr Gibbs, who Henderson was frequently compared to in the pre-draft process. Even without a couple starters on the OL, Henderson should have no trouble reaching 62 rushing yards tonight.
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2025 Primetime Player Prop Bet Record
Each week, I'll post my updated, season-long record for these prop bet picks pieces. Here's my current record (as of Week 13):
- 50-46 (52.0%)
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