Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson

25-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Minnesota Vikings
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Jefferson reached 1,400 yards as a rookie, 1,600 as a sophomore, 1,800 in Year 3 and then looked ready to push for 2,000 early last season. He was already up to 571 in Week 5 when a hamstring injury knocked him out for the fourth quarter and then the next seven games. Jefferson's long-awaited return was spoiled by a chest injury after 13 snaps, but he came back the next week and exploded for 476 yards over the final four games to comfortably clear 1,000 yards for the season (1,074). If not for the two partial games, he almost certainly would've led the league in receiving yards per game for a second straight year, though Miami's Tyreek Hill was the undisputed king for both 2022 and 2023 in terms of per-route production. Jefferson is by no means lacking in that regard -- he's been Top 10 in yards per route in all four of his seasons -- but it helps that he almost never comes off the field when healthy and spent the past two years in Kevin O'Connell offenses that threw the ball 676 (3rd) and 631 (4th) times. O'Connell is still around, but the Minnesota offense is much harder to decipher after TE T.J. Hockenson suffered a late-season ACL tear and QB Kirk Cousins left for Atlanta. While few teams can match the WR pairing of Jefferson and 2023 first-round pick Jordan Addison, there's obvious risk of a down year with Sam Darnold taking the QB snaps. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed a four-year, $140 million contract with the Vikings in June of 2024.
Leading receiver on SNF
WRMinnesota Vikings
November 3, 2024
Jefferson hauled in seven of nine targets for 137 yards while completing his only pass attempt for 22 yards in Sunday's 21-13 win over the Colts.
ANALYSIS
Jefferson posted his usual WR1 stat line in a winning effort, but he also contributed 22 passing yards on a successful trick play. The superstar wideout upped his season line to 67-783-5 through eight starts, showing little dropoff with new starter Sam Darnold this season. Jefferson remains a must-start asset in all fantasy formats heading into a positive matchup against the Jaguars next Sunday.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Justin Jefferson's 2024 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
  • % Targeted On Route
    Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
  • Avg Yds Per Route Run
    Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.
Air Yards Per Game
103.0
 
Air Yards Per Snap
1.70
 
% Team Air Yards
43.9%
 
% Team Targets
34.1%
 
Avg Depth of Target
11.8 Yds
 
Catch Rate
59.4%
 
Drop Rate
4.3%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
4.7
 
% Targeted On Route
32.4%
 
Avg Yds Per Route Run
3.68
 
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Minnesota VikingsVikings 2024 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

42390%
17098%
28060%
15590%
25554%
7845%
13829%
2716%
9320%
1710%
102%
00%
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Justin Jefferson lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Colts pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
IND
vs Colts
Sunday, Nov 3rd at 8:20PM
Overall QB Rating Against
81.4
 
Cornerbacks
67.7
 
Safeties
98.1
 
Linebackers
90.7
 
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2024 Justin Jefferson Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Justin Jefferson's measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 1"
 
Weight
195 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.43 sec
 
Vertical Jump
37.5 in
 
Broad Jump
126 in
 
Hand Length
9.13 in
 
Arm Length
33.00 in
 
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Justin Jefferson See More
Colts at Vikings: Sunday Night Football  Odds, Picks, and Predictions
Yesterday
NFL Picks and Props for Sunday Night Football via Betting Expert Juan Carlos Blanco. The ageless and once elite (or not) Joe Flacco takes over the reigns for the Colts as they visit Sam Darnold and the Vikings
Sunday Night Football DFS Breakdown: Minnesota Vikings vs. Indianapolis Colts
Yesterday
Michael Pittman has struggled through a back injury, but if the injury has improved then Pittman could get back on track with Joe Flacco at quarterback.
Wide Receivers vs. Cornerbacks: Week 9 Matchups
3 days ago
Justin Jefferson will almost certainly have a big game Sunday, and the Colts pass defense is weak enough for Jordan Addison to get rolling in the same game.
NFL Game Previews: Buccaneers-Chiefs Matchup
4 days ago
Erik Siegrist previews the Monday night matchup as Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs take on the Buccaneers.
Guillotine League Strategy: Week 9 Updated Draft Cheat Sheet
5 days ago
If you're looking for a new challenge or a fresh start, there's still time to join a guillotine league. Get an edge on the competition with our updated draft cheat sheet.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Jefferson, Randy Moss and Odell Beckham are the only players to reach 4,000 receiving yards in their first three NFL seasons, and Jefferson is more than 650 yards clear of the other two after leading the NFL with 1,809 last year. The 22nd overall pick from the 2020 draft has neatly progressed from 1,400 to 1,600 to 1,800 yards each year while catching at least 64.7 percent of his targets for at least 9.7 YPT each season. Jefferson is only slightly above league average for WRs in terms of size (6-1, 195) and timed speed (4.43 40), but he's otherwise elite when it comes to route-running, ball skills and general feel for the game. He rapidly surpassed veteran Vikings wideout Adam Thielen, who was released this offseason and signed with Carolina. Thielen's departure might mean even more defensive attention on Jefferson, but it could also mean even more targets in a passing game that otherwise features first-round WR Jordan Addison, TE T.J. Hockenson and WR KJ Osborn. Boasting the highest non-injury floor of anyone in the player pool, Jefferson quickly emerged as the most popular No. 1 overall pick in early 2023 drafts. While one might argue there are a few running backs with more upside, we also have to consider that a 2,000-yard season is within Jefferson's range of possibilities.
On a per-target basis, Jefferson's second NFL season (9.7 YPT) wasn't quite as dominant as his first (11.2). But that's nitpicking; the bigger picture shows he added 42 targets from the previous year and was still one of the most efficient wideouts in the league. Only 11 produced more yards per target, and that includes four who saw 70 or fewer passes. Jefferson finished fourth among WRs in targets and catches, second in receiving yards and tied for sixth in touchdowns. The 23-year-old often makes it look easy, seemingly playing both bigger and faster than his on-paper metrics suggest (6-1, 195, 4.43 40, 37.5-inch vertical). From a fantasy standpoint, there's just as much to like, with Jefferson playing in an above-average offense that has enough weapons to keep defenses honest but nobody to challenge him as the go-to guy. Jefferson surpassed Adam Thielen for that honor mid-2020, and while the 31-year-old Thielen scored 10 touchdowns last year, he saw 2.5 fewer targets per game than his young running mate (9.8 to 7.3). If anything, the split could go even more in Jefferson's direction this year, though there is another variable with new head coach Kevin O'Connell arriving from the Rams. Other than that, stability is the story, with QB Kirk Cousins and RB Dalvin Cook joining Jefferson, Thielen and TE Irv Smith to form one of the league's more well-rounded groups of skill-position players.
With Stefon Diggs sent off to Buffalo, the Vikings needed to find a reliable complement to Adam Thielen last season. It didn’t take long. Despite a limited offseason and training camp, and playing only 65 snaps combined in Weeks 1-2, Jefferson set the league on fire as a rookie, leading the NFL in YPT (11.2) by a mile and finishing fourth in receiving yards (1,400). At 6-1, 202, and with good speed (4.45), Jefferson is athletic, smooth and explosive. Despite getting only 125 targets (18th), Jefferson tied for the league lead in catches of 20-plus yards with 23. The only hole in his game was red-zone usage — he saw only 12 inside-the-20 targets, eight inside the 10 and two inside the five, while his less efficient teammate Thielen had 20, 13 and eight, respectively. It’s no wonder then that Thielen had 14 touchdowns on 108 targets to Jefferson’s seven on 125. Heading into 2021, Jefferson is firmly established as Kirk Cousins’ big-play receiver and likely top dog. Thielen is still solid and should reprise a prominent role, but the depth chart thins considerably after those two, so expect an increase in targets for Jefferson in Year 2.
The Vikings traded Stefon Diggs to the Bills for the 22nd pick and used it to select Jefferson, his replacement. Jefferson was a monster at LSU last year with 1,540 yards and 18 touchdowns on 111 catches. At 6-1, 202, Jefferson has above average size and good speed (4.43), and his vertical (37.5 inches) and broad jumps (126 inches) were both in the top quartile among his peers. While Jefferson might be ideally suited for the slot - where he dominated at LSU - he'll likely have to play out wide more in Minnesota's two-TE offense. Even in three-wide formations, it could be Adam Thielen rather than Jefferson getting the majority of slot snaps. Either way, the rookie should begin the year as the Vikings' No. 2 target behind Thielen, providing some much-needed downfield playmaking for Kirk Cousins.
More Fantasy News
Eclipses century mark in loss
WRMinnesota Vikings
October 24, 2024
Jefferson secured eight of nine targets for 115 yards in the Vikings' 30-20 loss to the Rams on Thursday night.
ANALYSIS
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Finds end zone in divisional loss
WRMinnesota Vikings
October 20, 2024
Jefferson secured seven of eight targets for 81 yards and a touchdown and rushed once for three yards in the Vikings' 31-29 loss to the Lions on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Inefficient on 14 targets
WRMinnesota Vikings
October 6, 2024
Jefferson recorded six receptions on 14 targets for 92 yards in Sunday's 23-17 win over the Jets.
ANALYSIS
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Finds end zone in win
WRMinnesota Vikings
September 29, 2024
Jefferson secured six of eight targets for 85 yards and a touchdown in the Vikings' 31-29 win over the Packers on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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No concern about hand injury
WRMinnesota Vikings
September 24, 2024
Head coach Kevin O'Connell said Monday that the Vikings have no concern about Jefferson's availability for Sunday's game against the Packers after the receiver jammed a finger on his right hand in a Week 3 win over the Texans, Andrew Krammer of the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Expects to play Week 3
WRMinnesota Vikings
September 15, 2024
Jefferson exited Sunday's 23-17 win over the 49ers due to a quadriceps contusion, but he downplayed the injury after the game, per Kevin Seifert of ESPN. "I'm not seriously injured," Jefferson said. "So it's just all about getting to the training room, making sure my body is right for next week and I'll be ready to go next Sunday."
ANALYSIS
Jefferson expects to be available when the Vikings host the Texans in Week 3. Prior to bruising his quadriceps, Jefferson scored a 97-yard touchdown against the 49ers as part of his final stat line of four catches for 133 yards and a touchdown on seven targets.
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