This article is part of our PrizePicks NFL series.
PrizePicks offers a unique twist on DFS play in the form of Over/Under picks for individual players in almost every sport imaginable. You have the opportunity to pick two, three or four players per entry, and the goal is to predict whether the individual player will end up over or under the projected total PrizePicks provides. The legend for NFL scoring in this format is provided on the site, but for the most part, it mirrors typical scoring styles of other DFS formats.
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PRESEASON STRATEGIES
Unlike previous weeks, we're getting some pretty solid indicators regarding playing time for various players during Week 3's preseason action. I've drilled down the news with each game and I've identified three solid Overs and Unders for Thursday's games. How you decide to play the slate is up to you, but I am more inclined to play all Unders due to the preseason variance, especially at the RB position when two or more players are vying for playing time.
OVERS
QB Cam Newton, CAR @ NE – 4.7
Barring some last-minute news, it appears that Newton is going to log significant playing time against the Patriots. Panthers coach Ron Rivera has stated he would like to see Newton play "three or four good possessions" in the third preseason game. PrizePicks also offers Will Grier at 5.2, but Kyle Allen is expected to be the first QB off the bench. I think either Newton or Grier are reasonable picks here, but I'll tip the hat to Newton, who will look to connect with D.J. Moore in the early-going.
WR Tyler Boyd, CIN vs. NYG – 5.2
With Andy Dalton expected to play two quarters tonight, I like Boyd's chances as the primary target against the Giants. While the Bengals have some new toys to play with, Dalton has the most experience with Boyd, who signed a 4-year, $43M extension last month after making good on a spectacular 2018 campaign. PrizePicks employs a PPR scoring system, so it won't take much action for Boyd to eclipse this mark.
QB Daniel Jones, NYG @ CIN – 6.1
While we may see a bit more from Eli Manning this week, the Duke product and heir apparent stands out as one of the best preseason bets thus far. If Jones can match his 151 passing yards last week, he'll easily surpass this total. And if Jones can find the end zone, he will be a cinch to surpass this total.
UNDERS
RB Derrius Guice, WAS @ ATL – 4.0
All reports suggest that Guice will take the field Thursday, but I suspect the Redskins faithful will be holding their breath. After all, it was last year's preseason where they lost their highly-touted rookie to a torn ACL. I don't see 40 yards coming from Guice tonight, and he isn't the kind of back who's going to get a lot of consideration on passing downs. One catch out of the backfield could spin things the other way for him, but I expect the Redskins to proceed gingerly here.
WR Jakobi Meyers, NE vs. CAR – 7.3
The Patriots have a penchant to spread the ball around, and Josh Gordon is expected to suit up against the Panthers. I don't know that we'll see any particular wideout step forward with this kind of total, even with Tom Brady expected to play at least one quarter tonight. Meyers has impressed in camp and seems well on the way to a roster spot, but there are a lot of mouths to feed and decisions to make on offense, and I expect Meyers to fly under this threshold.
Terry McLaurin, WAS @ ATL – 4.4
The third-rounder out of Ohio State is battling for position on a stacked depth chart behind Josh Doctson, Paul Richardson and Trey Quinn. McLaurin has impressed in training camp, but he's also battling a tailbone injury that might limit his action tonight. The Redskins have a lot of questions to answer at other positions, and they seem ready to keep the wideout. The Falcons' secondary is much-improved, and I don't have a lot of faith in the Case Keenum-Dwayne Haskins combo yet. Yes, Haskins and McLaurin have history, but I have no confidence in playing that edge.
