NFL Picks: Backing the Redskins, Bucs and Bills

NFL Picks: Backing the Redskins, Bucs and Bills

This article is part of our NFL Picks series.

Congratulations to Jeff Erickson who went 10-4 against the spread last week. Unfortunately, he dropped a game in the standings to DDD, Pianow and me as we all went 11-3. Had you simply taken the games that a majority of us took, you'd have gone 12-1 ATS, losing only with Miami on Sam Bradford's roll-out two point conversion throw to Steven Jackson.

This week we have three consensus picks, the Redskins, Buccaneers and Bills.

EricksonPianowskiLissStopaDel Don
Seahawks +7.5 at 49ersSeahawksSeahawks49ersSeahawksSeahawks
Redskins +6 at GiantsRedskinsRedskinsRedskinsRedskinsRedskins
Cardinals +6 at VikingsCardinalsVikingsVikingsVikingsCardinals
Cowboys -1.5 at PanthersCowboysPanthersPanthersCowboysCowboys
Saints -2.5 at BuccaneersBuccaneersBuccaneersBuccaneersBuccaneersBuccaneers
Packers -5 at RamsRamsPackersRamsRamsRams
Ravens +7 at TexansRavensRavensTexansRavensRavens
Browns +3 at ColtsColtsBrownsBrownsBrownsColts
Titans +3 at BillsBillsBillsBillsBillsBills
Jets +11 at PatriotsJetsPatriotsPatriotsJetsPatriots
Jaguars +4 at RaidersRaidersJaguarsJaguarsJaguarsJaguars
Steelers -1.5 at BengalsBengalsSteelersBengalsSteelersSteelers
Lions +6 at BearsBearsLionsBearsLionsBears
Best BetBuccaneersRedskinsBillsCowboysColts
Last Week's Record10-411-311-36-811-3
2012 Record43-46-251-38-246-43-255-34-252-37-2
Best Bet Record 1-4-14-23-35-13-3
Consensus Pick Record10-8-1
2011 Record121-128-7134-115-7124-125-7123-126-7127-122-7
2010 Record129-122-5134-117-5126-125-5136-115-5134-117-5
2009 Record123-130-3
Congratulations to Jeff Erickson who went 10-4 against the spread last week. Unfortunately, he dropped a game in the standings to DDD, Pianow and me as we all went 11-3. Had you simply taken the games that a majority of us took, you'd have gone 12-1 ATS, losing only with Miami on Sam Bradford's roll-out two point conversion throw to Steven Jackson.

This week we have three consensus picks, the Redskins, Buccaneers and Bills.

EricksonPianowskiLissStopaDel Don
Seahawks +7.5 at 49ersSeahawksSeahawks49ersSeahawksSeahawks
Redskins +6 at GiantsRedskinsRedskinsRedskinsRedskinsRedskins
Cardinals +6 at VikingsCardinalsVikingsVikingsVikingsCardinals
Cowboys -1.5 at PanthersCowboysPanthersPanthersCowboysCowboys
Saints -2.5 at BuccaneersBuccaneersBuccaneersBuccaneersBuccaneersBuccaneers
Packers -5 at RamsRamsPackersRamsRamsRams
Ravens +7 at TexansRavensRavensTexansRavensRavens
Browns +3 at ColtsColtsBrownsBrownsBrownsColts
Titans +3 at BillsBillsBillsBillsBillsBills
Jets +11 at PatriotsJetsPatriotsPatriotsJetsPatriots
Jaguars +4 at RaidersRaidersJaguarsJaguarsJaguarsJaguars
Steelers -1.5 at BengalsBengalsSteelersBengalsSteelersSteelers
Lions +6 at BearsBearsLionsBearsLionsBears
Best BetBuccaneersRedskinsBillsCowboysColts
Last Week's Record10-411-311-36-811-3
2012 Record43-46-251-38-246-43-255-34-252-37-2
Best Bet Record 1-4-14-23-35-13-3
Consensus Pick Record10-8-1
2011 Record121-128-7134-115-7124-125-7123-126-7127-122-7
2010 Record129-122-5134-117-5126-125-5136-115-5134-117-5
2009 Record123-130-3132-121-3131-122-3130-123-3126-127-3
2008 Record132-114-10128-118-10124-122-10125-121-10130-116-10
2007 Record127-120118-129127-120N/A130-117
2006 Record118-129N/A139-108N/AN/A
2005 Record121-126N/A127-120N/AN/A
2004 Record124-124N/A130-118N/AN/A
2003 Record121-126118-129124-123N/AN/A
2002 Record113-136123-126141-108N/AN/A
2001 Record124-113117-120118-119N/AN/A
2000 Record123-117134-106141-99N/AN/A

Consensus Picks

This week we have three consensus picks: the Redskins, Buccaneers and Bills. Last week we went 1-0 to put us at 10-8-1 on the season. Last year we were 30-24-2 on consensus picks.

Comments:

WriterComment
EricksonI'm not ready to give credit to the Saints as a road favorite in a division game just yet. That said, I hate this week's slate - my least favorite one so far this year. At least five or six of my picks were 50-50 calls... How much does organizational history matter in a division game? The Steelers have absolutely owned the Bengals, even (especially, maybe) in Paul Brown Stadium. But that defense isn't the same as previous models, particularly with Troy Polamalu out again... I feel like the line has overreacted to the Ravens' defensive injuries - my theory is they also have excellent coaching, which makes up some of the gap... I think home field matters a lot for the Colts, and for Andrew Luck specifically.
PianowskiI would have gone with the Patriots as the Best Bet had the line been a little lower. The Jets secondary is still pretty darn good when the opponent has 1-2 options to worry about, but New England is a quality and a quantity problem. You can't cover everybody.
LissLooks like I'm breaking up a couple would-be consensus picks with heavy favorites - the 49ers and Texans. My best bets are the Bills and Redskins.
Stopa Despite their 2-4 record, I still see Dallas as a playoff-caliber team. That means they'll take care of Carolina, probably the NFC's worst team... Everyone loves the Packers now, so I have to fade them. The Rams D has been really good, and I suspect they'll play more zone than the Texans did... I think the Bills are an 8-8 type of team, whereas the Titans are a 4-12 squad. I'm surprised Buffalo isn't giving a half-point hook... Losing LarDarius Webb is big, but isn't it possible whoever is replacing Ray Lewis is actually better at this stage of his career, and we just don't know it yet? That line moving to a TD seems like an overreaction... The Pats might rebound and blow out the Jets, but you're sure paying a premium if you think so... I bet DDD after Week 1 that the Bucs would win more games than the Saints, so if TB is getting points at home, I have to stick to my guns. Let's see if he does the same.
Del DonI liked about a half dozen games last week more than my "best bet" this week, so make of that what you will. Obviously, that means I found this week's slate particularly tough.

The players:

Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Value Meter. Covers and roots for the Bengals.

Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to Rotowire.com. 2009 and 2011 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.

Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes East Coast Offense, Beating the Book and Surviving the Week in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.

Mark Stopa: Staff Writer, 2010 Staff Picks Champ, Writes Working the Wire. Roots for the Bills.

Dalton Del Don: Fantasy Expert for Yahoo! Sports, 2007 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the 49ers.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Chris Liss
Chris Liss was RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWire Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio from 2001-2022.
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