NFL Picks: Backing the Buccaneers and Jets

NFL Picks: Backing the Buccaneers and Jets

This article is part of our NFL Picks series.

I don't know what planet I was on the last two weeks, but somehow I botched the calculation of both Stopa's and Del Don's records. I awarded Dalton an extra win for some reason (though his loss totals were correct), and I just forgot to add an entire week of Stopa's to the spread sheet (and omitted a tie) making him look even worse than he is - I know, it's hard to believe that was even possible. I also omitted to add Erickson's best-bet tie from two weeks ago to his total there. I've gone back and fixed all of that, and now the standings should be accurate.

After a 10-4 week, I'm only one game behind DDD, but nine behind Erickson. Stopa is actually only 18 games under .500 which is bad, but it's nowhere near the historic levels for which I had him on pace. I sincerely apologize to Stopa and his family for the trauma I caused them heading into this holiday season. (But then again he shouldn't have talked yang about his record from last year heading into the season.)

We have two consensus picks this weeks - the Jets and Bucs.

Enjoy your Thanksgiving.

EricksonPianowskiLissStopaDel Don
EricksonPianowskiLissStopaDel Don
Packers +6.5 at LionsLionsPackersLionsLionsPackers
Raiders +8.5 at CowboysRaidersRaidersRaidersCowboysRaiders
Steelers +3 at RavensRavensSteelersRavensRavensSteelers
Titans +4.5 at ColtsColtsTitansTitansTitansTitans
Broncos -5.5
I don't know what planet I was on the last two weeks, but somehow I botched the calculation of both Stopa's and Del Don's records. I awarded Dalton an extra win for some reason (though his loss totals were correct), and I just forgot to add an entire week of Stopa's to the spread sheet (and omitted a tie) making him look even worse than he is - I know, it's hard to believe that was even possible. I also omitted to add Erickson's best-bet tie from two weeks ago to his total there. I've gone back and fixed all of that, and now the standings should be accurate.

After a 10-4 week, I'm only one game behind DDD, but nine behind Erickson. Stopa is actually only 18 games under .500 which is bad, but it's nowhere near the historic levels for which I had him on pace. I sincerely apologize to Stopa and his family for the trauma I caused them heading into this holiday season. (But then again he shouldn't have talked yang about his record from last year heading into the season.)

We have two consensus picks this weeks - the Jets and Bucs.

Enjoy your Thanksgiving.

EricksonPianowskiLissStopaDel Don
EricksonPianowskiLissStopaDel Don
Packers +6.5 at LionsLionsPackersLionsLionsPackers
Raiders +8.5 at CowboysRaidersRaidersRaidersCowboysRaiders
Steelers +3 at RavensRavensSteelersRavensRavensSteelers
Titans +4.5 at ColtsColtsTitansTitansTitansTitans
Broncos -5.5 at ChiefsBroncosChiefsChiefsBroncosBroncos
Jaguars +7 at BrownsJaguarsJaguarsBrownsJaguarsJaguars
Buccaneers +8.5 at PanthersBuccaneersBuccaneersBuccaneersBuccaneersBuccaneers
Bears +1 at VikingsVikingsBearsVikingsBearsBears
Cardinals +3 at EaglesCardinalsCardinalsEaglesCardinalsEagles
Dolphins +1.5 at JetsJetsJetsJetsJetsJets
Falcons +3.5 at BillsBillsFalconsBillsBillsFalcons
Rams +8.5 at 49ersRams49ersRamsRamsRams
Patriots -7.5 at TexansPatriotsTexansTexansTexansTexans
Bengals +1.5 at ChargersChargersBengalsChargersBengalsChargers
Giants -1.5 at RedskinsGiantsRedskinsGiantsRedskinsGiants
Saints +5.5 at SeahawksSaintsSaintsSeahawksSaintsSaints
Best Bet BillsJetsBrownsBuccaneersBroncos
Last Week's Record7-76-810-48-68-6
2013 Record95-73-880-88-886-82-875-93-887-81-8
Best Bet Record8-3-14-85-78-44-8
2013 Consensus Pick Record14-20-3
2012 Record110-140-6124-126-6121-129-6143-107-6123-127-6
2011 Record121-128-7134-115-7124-125-7123-126-7127-122-7
2010 Record129-122-5134-117-5126-125-5136-115-5134-117-5
2009 Record123-130-3132-121-3131-122-3130-123-3126-127-3
2008 Record132-114-10128-118-10124-122-10125-121-10130-116-10
2007 Record127-120118-129127-120N/A130-117
2006 Record118-129N/A139-108N/AN/A
2005 Record121-126N/A127-120N/AN/A
2004 Record124-124N/A130-118N/AN/A
2003 Record121-126118-129124-123N/AN/A
2002 Record113-136123-126141-108N/AN/A
2001 Record124-113117-120118-119N/AN/A
2000 Record123-117134-106141-99N/AN/A

Consensus Picks

This week we have two consensus picks: the Buccaneers and the Jets. Last week we went 1-0 to put us at 14-20-3 on the season.

Comments:

WriterComment
EricksonBet on the Jets at home, bet against them on the road. They're my second best bet... Patriots line is almost begging you to take the Texans, especially with the hook. But I can't go with them anymore... Same with the Redskins - I have a hard time being rational with them, even with the Giants as a road favorite... The Bills are on an upward arc, and the Falcons clearly are not. They may have fought valiantly against the Saints - but that was a prime time game against a divisional rival, where they were home in a short week. I love the Bills' defense for the last four weeks of the fantasy season, assuming you don't use Week 17. Toughest games for me were TEN-IND, PIT-BAL and GB-DET.
PianowskiJets are a different team at home, with a 4-1 record and wins over the Patriots and Saints. Asking them to beat an ordinary Miami team doesn't sound like much.
LissTough slate, went back and forth on a bunch of these. I think the Browns will bounce back against a weak Jacksonville squad who they should shut down. I also like the Lions even though it's a square play, the Texans and the Bills (sharps are on the Falcons for some reason I can't fathom). I agree with Pianow and Erickson on the Jets, too.
StopaTampa is 3-1 in its last four games, the only loss a close one in Seattle. They're not a doormat by any means, and I like them getting more than a touchdown against a Panthers team that may be looking ahead to the Saints. You're all fading me at this point anyway (especially where all four staff disagree with me, where my record on those games is something like 2-50), so not much point in explaining any more.
Del DonI'll rarely make a road favorite my best bet, but I feel Denver is much better than Kansas City. Moreover, the Chiefs already fading defense could be without both Justin Houston and Tamba Hali this week.

The players:

Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Weekly Rankings. Covers and roots for the Bengals.

Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to Rotowire.com. 2009 and 2011 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.

Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes East Coast Offense, Beating the Book and the Survivor column in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.

Mark Stopa: Staff Writer, 2010, 2012 Staff Picks Champ, Writes Run 'N' Shoot. Roots for the Bills.

Dalton Del Don: Fantasy Expert for Yahoo! Sports, 2007 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the 49ers.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Chris Liss
Chris Liss was RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWire Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio from 2001-2022.
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