Davis Mills

Davis Mills

26-Year-Old QuarterbackQB
Houston Texans
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Mills made six appearances last season as the No. 2 QB, but when C.J. Stroud missed Weeks 15 and 16, third-stringer Case Keenum started for the Texans. Keenum is still around, so Mills likely will have to win the backup job in training camp. That doesn’t seem like a tall order, considering Keenum is 36 and has even less mobility than 25-year-old Mills. Mills started 26 games in 2021-22 for the Texans, but Houston has a much improved roster from those bleak times, and if Mills finds the field he will have an excellent group of skill players to target. He doesn’t have elite arm strength, but he fared well throwing deep when he was the starter a couple seasons ago. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed a one-year, $5 million contract with the Texans in September of 2024.
Plays in blowout loss
QBHouston Texans
September 23, 2024
Mills completed seven of 12 passes for 79 yards in Sunday's 34-7 loss to the Vikings in Week 3.
ANALYSIS
Mills replaced C.J. Stroud late in the fourth quarter of the blowout loss. It was his first action of the season.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Davis Mills' 2024 advanced stats compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Bad Pass %
    The percentage of passes that were considered to be poorly thrown.
  • Avg Target Depth
    The average number of yards thrown per pass by the quarterback – including incomplete passes.
  • Sack Rate
    The percentage of dropbacks where the quartback was sacked. The longer the bar below, the more often they are sacked relative to other QBs.
  • Avg Receiver YAC
    The average number of yards after the catch that receivers gained on passes thrown by this quarterback.
  • Receiver Drop %
    The percentage of passes dropped by receivers on passes thrown by this quarterback. The longer the bar, the more sure-handed his receivers have been.
Bad Pass %
38.5%
 
Avg Target Depth
4.8 Yds
 
Sack Rate
7.1%
 
Avg Receiver YAC
5.4 Yds
 
Receiver Drop %
7.7%
 
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2024 NFL Game Log
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2022 NFL Game Log
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2021 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Houston TexansTexans 2024 QB Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
D.Davis Mills
#% of Team Snaps

58297%
26099%
163%
31%
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Jets pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
NYJ
@ Jets
Thursday, Oct 31st at 8:15PM
Overall QB Rating Against
68.6
 
Cornerbacks
64.5
 
Safeties
59.4
 
Linebackers
87.1
 
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2024 Davis Mills Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Davis Mills' measurables compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
* All metrics are from his Pro Day (not the combine).
Height
6' 4"
 
Weight
225 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.81 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.40 sec
 
Cone Drill
6.95 sec
 
Vertical Jump
32.0 in
 
Broad Jump
110 in
 
Hand Length
9.50 in
 
Arm Length
31.38 in
 
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Davis Mills See More
Box Score Breakdown: Week 3 Snaps, Routes, Personnel and Usage
42 days ago
Cole Kmet pushed Gerald Everett aside after sharing snaps for the first two weeks of the season. RW's Jerry Donabedian assesses that and much more in his recap of Week 3 action.
NFL State of the Union: What League-Wide Trends Mean for Fantasy
63 days ago
Jerry Donabedian breaks down league-wide trends for production by position and defensive coverage schemes ahead of the 2024 campaign and what it means for fantasy teams.
DFS NFL: Friday Preseason Preview
87 days ago
Sasha Yodashkin previews the DFS contests for Friday's preseason games as Michael Penix debuts for the Falcons.
DFS NFL: Bears vs. Texans Hall of Fame Game Preview
96 days ago
The Bears and Texans face off in the Hall of Fame game Thursday night, and Ryan Pohle likes Davis Mills in his breakdown of the slate.
2024 NFL Offseason: Summer Trade Candidates and Potential Cap Casualties
139 days ago
The NFL offseason may still have a blockbuster trade to come, with the top candidates at this point being Davante Adams and Brandon Aiyuk.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
It wasn't easy being Davis Mills (or any Texan) the last two seasons. The 2021 third-round draft pick was given an opportunity most mid-round quarterbacks don't get, but it wasn't an ideal situation. All the blemishes of Mills' game showed -- inconsistency, decision making, red zone-futility -- all while operating an offense with minimal threats under two consecutive one-and-done head coaches. For the first time since Bill O'Brien's final season in Houston, the organization is looking forward instead of treading water. Second-overall pick C.J. Stroud is the expected starter, and if either Mills or veteran Case Keenum are playing much this season, things have gone wrong.
A 2021 third-round pick, Mills replaced an injured Tyrod Taylor early in the year before finally taking over the starting job for good. Mills struggled with efficiency - 23rd in on-target percentage (72.8) and 25th in YPA (6.8) - but he improved late in the season, posting 9/2 TD/INT and 7.4 YPA in his last five games. At 6-4, 225, Mills does not have an elite arm, but he fared well throwing deep (11th in both on-target and completion rates on 20-plus-yard attempts). He wasn't a running threat, however, and the Texans didn't have consistent pass catchers besides Brandin Cooks. The situation is similar this season, as the Texans added only second- round pick John Metchie, coming off an ACL injury and recovering from leukemia (he's not expected to play this year). They also signed RB Marlon Mack and drafted Dameon Pierce in Round 4, adding quantity if not quality to the running game. Perhaps a revamped scheme under Pep Hamilton, last year's QB coach now promoted to OC, will work in Mills' favor, but without rushing skills and surrounded by a poor roster, his fantasy outlook is limited.
Mills was selected in the third round of the 2021 draft and it's no surprise the Texans took a quarterback, as the organization suddenly faces uncertainty at a position that once appeared set for the next decade. The Stanford product's maturation as a pro could take some time due to limited experience. His first two years with the Cardinal were capped due to injuries, and he started just 11 games over the last two seasons. With Deshaun Watson's future with the team cloudy, Tyrod Taylor could well take over as the starter to start the coming campaign, with Mills potentially getting a look by midseason. The Texans need to determine if he's their signal caller of the future, or if they'll go QB hunting in the first round of the 2022 draft.
More Fantasy News
Gets one-year extension
QBHouston Texans
September 4, 2024
Mills and the Texans agreed Wednesday on a one-year, $5 million extension, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Returns to practice
QBHouston Texans
August 22, 2024
Mills (ribs) returned to practice Wednesday, Aaron Wilson of KPRC2 Houston reports.
ANALYSIS
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Bothered by ribs
QBHouston Texans
Ribs
August 17, 2024
Mills is dealing with an injury to his ribs and may not play in Saturday's preseason game against the Giants, Aaron Wilson of SportsTalk 790 reports.
ANALYSIS
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Logs most QB snaps
QBHouston Texans
August 10, 2024
Mills completed eight of 13 attempts for 89 yards and was sacked twice in Friday's 20-12 preseason win over Pittsburgh.
ANALYSIS
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Sharp in preseason debut
QBHouston Texans
August 1, 2024
Mills started the Texans' 21-17 preseason loss to the Bears on Thursday and completed 10 of 13 passes for 102 yards and a touchdown while also netting no gain on two carries.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could benefit from trade
QBHouston Texans
February 29, 2024
Mills is a Texans player that could be best served by a trade this offseason, DJ Bien-Aime of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Bien-Aime points out the Texans haven't given any indication they plan to move Mills, but the team beat writer makes a case for why that could be best for the young quarterback's career. To begin with, salary wouldn't be an inhibiting factor in a potential trade given Mills is still on his rookie deal. Additionally, Mills already boasts 34 games of NFL regular-season experience, but he has no path to playing time in Houston barring injuries to C.J. Stroud and seemingly preferred backup Case Keenum.
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