Giants vs. Packers Betting Odds, Picks and Predictions for Week 11
It has been a week of change for the Giants, with the team firing head coach Brian Daboll. Interim head coach Mike Kafka will try to get the team back in the win column when they host the Green Bay Packers on Sunday. Let's sift through the betting options and highlight three of the top wagers to consider.
Mike Barner's season record: 30-30 (-5.58 units)
Giants vs. Packers Betting Odds
Giants: Spread +7.5 (-120 FanDuel), Moneyline +320 (Fanatics)
Packers: Spread -7 (-110 Bet365), Moneyline -350 (BetMGM)
Game Total: Over: 42.5 points (-115 DraftKings) Under 43.5 (-118 FanDuel)
The Giants will also have a different quarterback under center with Jameis Winston starting in place of Jaxson Dart (concussion), who will miss at least one game.
Packers rookie WR Matthew Golden (shoulder), WR Christian Watson (knee) and WR Dontayvion Wicks (calf) were all limited participants in practice earlier in the week. Golden carries a questionable tag into the game, but Watson and Wicks were removed from the injury report Friday after limited participation in practice.
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Giants vs. Packers Betting Picks
Josh Jacobs Over 79.5 rushing yards (-115 DraftKings) for 1 Unit
This might seem like a high number for Jacobs to hit because he has reached at least 80 rushing yards in a game only four times this season. Part of the problem is that he has averaged only 3.8 yards per carry (YPC). His workload hasn't been an issue, considering he has been given at least 16 carries in all but two of his games.
The expected heavy workload for Jacobs is the reason why this Over is appealing. The Giants have been torched by running backs, giving up 5.5 YPC to the position, tied for worst in the NFL. While they have a defensive front that can put pressure on QBs, their linebacker group behind them is not great at helping to stop the run. LBs Micah McFadden (foot) and Darius Muasau (ankle) are on the Reserve/Injured list, and Bobby Okereke is dealing with a shoulder injury that his status in question. If he's out, the Giants could really be in trouble.
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Packers 2.5 team total touchdowns: Over (-145 DraftKings) for 1 Unit
The Packers have scored a total of 20 points over their last two games. They played the Panthers and Eagles, who both rank inside the top-12 in the league in terms of fewest points per games allowed. This is a more favorable foe for their offense, considering that the Giants have allowed the sixth-most points per game.
Prior to their recent cold streak, the Packers had recorded at least three touchdowns in six of their first seven games. Their two highest scoring performances of the season were when they scored 40 points against the Cowboys and 35 points versus the Steelers. Both of those games were played on the road. Look for their offense to get back on track and reach the end zone at least three times.
Wan'Dale Robinson Over 5.5 receptions (-123 DraftKings) for 1 Unit
Robinson recorded six receptions for 62 yards in last week's loss to the Bears. It was the fourth time over the last five games that he has hauled in at least six passes. In all four of those games, he was targeted a minimum of seven times. In three of those games, he received at least 11 targets each.
Even though Dart is out, the Giants going with Winston at quarterback over Russell Wilson is a win for Robinson. Wilson has only completed 58.0 percent of his passes this season, and he looked awful in relief of Dart last week. Winston isn't afraid to air things out, and he attempted at least 41 passes in five of his seven starts with the Browns last season. When he looks to throw the ball, Robinson should be one of his top options, especially with WR Darius Slayton (hamstring) ruled out.
Giants vs. Packers Prediction
The Packers deserve to be heavy favorites for this game. If Daboll was still on the sidelines, taking the Packers would be the easy play. However, it's fair to wonder if Kafka can provide a jolt to the team, while the popular Winston could also give them some juice. Still, the Giants just have too many injuries to pull off the upset.
Packers 28, Giants 17
