Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Top Pitchers This Week

Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Top Pitchers This Week

This article is part of our Weekly Pitcher Rankings series.

Through Friday's action, league ERA is down over last season - which feels strange after a number of horrible starts. Here's some stats, focusing on earned runs per start for the two years:

ER20252024
122 
112 
1007
9717
81748
740121
670203
5123339
4211563
3304728
2369942
14111004
0360886

Comparing is easier using percentage of overall starts:

ER20252024
120.10% 
110.10% 
100.00%0.14%
90.37%0.35%
80.89%0.99%
72.09%2.49%
63.65%4.18%
56.42%6.98%
411.01%11.59%
315.87%14.99%
219.26%19.39%
121.45%20.67%
018.79%18.24%

Presenting the data this way shows there are fewer disasters so far this season, though it could catch up as offense usually increases:

 20252024
8 or more ER1.46%1.48%
7 or more ER3.55%3.97%
6 or more ER7.20%8.15%
5 or more ER13.62%15.13%

This is rather crude analysis, but so far there have been 28 starts with at least eight earned runs. Random distribution indicates almost everyone in a 15-team league would have absorbed two. Those, like me with Jesus Luzardo and Brandon Pfaadt active for their last two outings, are less fortunate.

This notion warrants a deeper treatment. But if you've been victimized twice by a terrible performance, you're on par with much of your league. If

Through Friday's action, league ERA is down over last season - which feels strange after a number of horrible starts. Here's some stats, focusing on earned runs per start for the two years:

ER20252024
122 
112 
1007
9717
81748
740121
670203
5123339
4211563
3304728
2369942
14111004
0360886

Comparing is easier using percentage of overall starts:

ER20252024
120.10% 
110.10% 
100.00%0.14%
90.37%0.35%
80.89%0.99%
72.09%2.49%
63.65%4.18%
56.42%6.98%
411.01%11.59%
315.87%14.99%
219.26%19.39%
121.45%20.67%
018.79%18.24%

Presenting the data this way shows there are fewer disasters so far this season, though it could catch up as offense usually increases:

 20252024
8 or more ER1.46%1.48%
7 or more ER3.55%3.97%
6 or more ER7.20%8.15%
5 or more ER13.62%15.13%

This is rather crude analysis, but so far there have been 28 starts with at least eight earned runs. Random distribution indicates almost everyone in a 15-team league would have absorbed two. Those, like me with Jesus Luzardo and Brandon Pfaadt active for their last two outings, are less fortunate.

This notion warrants a deeper treatment. But if you've been victimized twice by a terrible performance, you're on par with much of your league. If you've escaped a pair of duds, consider yourself lucky. 

There were 72 starts of at least eight earned runs during 2024, or around five each in 15-team formats. Hang in there, and hopefully the other owners will also be subjected to the same fate.

Find out which projected starters are going and when with RotoWire's Probable Pitchers page!

UPDATED: Monday June 9 1:15 AM ET

Week of June 9 - 15

Mixed League

RankPitcherTMOPPComments
1Chris SaleATL@MIL, COLBack in the Cy Young discussion
2Tarik SkubalDET@BAL 
3Framber ValdezHOUCWS 
4MacKenzie GoreWAS@NYM, MIAWorthy of ace status
5Robbie RaySF@COL, @LAD25 K, only 4 BB over last 20 IP
6Jack FlahertyDETCIN 
7Merrill KellyARISEA, SD 
8Nick PivettaSDLAD, @ARI 
9Paul SkenesPIT@CHC 
10Matthew BoydCHC@PHI, PIT 
11Jacob deGromTEXCWSStrikeouts and velo down, worth monitoring
12Max FriedNYY@KC 
13Clarke SchmidtNYY@KC, @BOS 
14Logan WebbSF@COL 
15Shane SmithCWS@HOU, @TEXWalks high, but facing manageable lineups
16Jameson TaillonCHCPIT 
17Spencer SchwellenbachATL@MIL 
18Joe RyanMIN@HOU 
19Yoshinobu YamamotoLADSF 
20Tyler MahleTEX@MIN, CWSRegression underway, but still due more
21Kris BubicKCNYY, ATHShowing no signs of slowing down
22Tanner BibeeCLE@SEA 
23Kodai SengaNYMWAS 
24Sonny GraySTL@MIL 
25Drew RasmussenTB@NYM 
26Zack WheelerPHICHC 
27Jeffrey SpringsATH@LAA, @KC 
28Bryan WooSEA@ARI 
29Bailey OberMINTEX 
30Gavin WilliamsCLE@SEA 
31Ranger SuarezPHITOR 
32Nathan EovaldiTEXCWS 
33Jose BerriosTOR@STL, @PHI 
34Cristopher SanchezPHITOR 
35Hunter BrownHOUMIN 
36Shane BazTB@BOS, @NYM 
37Logan GilbertSEACLE 
38Ben BrownCHC@PHIBeginning to use his changeup more
39Spencer StriderATLCOL 
40Sandy AlcantaraMIA@PITStill skeptical of a turnaround but has a soft matchup
41Ryan PepiotTB@BOS 
42Dustin MayLAD@SD, SF 
43Cade HortonCHCPIT 
44David PetersonNYMWAS 
45Grant HolmesATL@MIL 
46Nick LodoloCIN@CLE 
47Edward CabreraMIA@WAS 
48Luis L. OrtizCLECIN, @SEA 
49Hayden BirdsongSF@COL 
50Aaron NolaPHITOR 
51Clay HolmesNYMTB 
52Bryce MillerSEA@ARI 
53Griffin CanningNYMWAS, TB 
54Eury PerezMIA@PIT, @WAS 
55Michael WachaKCATH 
56Taj BradleyTB@NYM 
57Yusei KikuchiLAAATH, @BAL 
58Dylan CeaseSDLAD 
59Simeon Woods RichardsonMINTEX, @HOU 
60Kevin GausmanTOR@PHI 
61Tyler AndersonLAA@BAL 
62Sean BurkeCWS@HOU 
63Lance McCullersHOUCWS 
64Zach EflinBALDET 
65George KirbySEACLE 
66Clayton KershawLADSF 
67Garrett CrochetBOSNYY 
68Tylor MegillNYMTB 
69David FestaMINTEX 
70Mitch KellerPITMIA, @CHC 
71Freddy PeraltaMILSTL 
72Luis CastilloSEACLE 
73Slade CecconiCLECIN 
74Chris PaddackMIN@HOU 
75Brandon PfaadtARISEAGrumble, grumble
76Colton GordonHOUMIN 
77Sawyer Gipson-LongDET@BAL, CIN 
78Andre PallanteSTLTOR, @MIL 
79Keider MonteroDETCIN 
80Zac GallenARISD 
81Jose QuintanaMILSTL 
82Tomoyuki SuganoBALLAA 
83Luis SeverinoATH@KC 
84Ryan WeathersMIA@WAS 
85Erick FeddeSTL@MIL 
86Eduardo RodriguezARISEA 
87Bailey FalterPITMIA 
88Jose SorianoLAAATH 
89Jake IrvinWAS@NYM 
90Andrew AbbottCIN@CLE 
91Cal QuantrillMIA@PIT 
92Zack LittellTB@BOS 
93Miles MikolasSTLTOR 
94Adrian HouserCWS@TEX 
95Cole RagansKCNYY 
96Stephen KolekSD@ARI 
97Michael SorokaWAS@NYM 
98Matthew LiberatoreSTLTOR 
99Bryce ElderATLCOL 
100Davis MartinCWS@HOU 
101Mix 12 Reliever   
102Jacob LopezATH@KC 
103Nick MartinezCIN@DET 
104Colin ReaCHC@PHI, PIT 
105Seth LugoKCNYY 
106Landen RouppSF@LAD 
107Chris BassittTOR@STL 
108Carlos RodonNYY@BOS 
109Justin WrobleskiLAD@SD 
110Cade PovichBALDET, LAA 
111Eric LauerTOR@STL 
112Mitchell ParkerWASMIA 
113Ryne NelsonARISD 
114Mix 15 Reliever   
115Mitch SpenceATH@LAA 
116Trevor WilliamsWASMIA 
117Chad PatrickMILATL 
118Jack LeiterTEX@MIN 
119Patrick CorbinTEX@MIN 
120Aaron CivaleMILATL, STL 
121Charlie MortonBALLAA 
122Lucas GiolitoBOSTB 
123Walker BuehlerBOSTB 
124Brayan BelloBOSTB, NYY 
125Casey MizeDET@BAL 
126Michael LorenzenKCATH 
127Emerson HancockSEA@ARI 
128Brady SingerCIN@DET 
129Brandon WalterHOUMIN 
130Bowden FrancisTOR@PHI 
131Quinn PriesterMILATL, STL 
132Ryan GustoHOUCWS 
133Will WarrenNYY@KC 
134Jesus LuzardoPHICHCFacing the top offense in the league, not the best matchup for a rebound
135JP SearsATH@LAA 
136Jack KochanowiczLAA@BAL 
137Ryan BergertSD@ARI 
138Kyle HendricksLAAATH 
139Dean KremerBALDET 
140Michael McGreevySTL@MIL 
141Ryan YarbroughNYY@BOS 
142Mick AbelPHICHC 
143Hunter DobbinsBOSNYY 
144Carson PalmquistCOLSF 
145Mike BurrowsPITMIA, @CHC 
146Kyle FreelandCOLSF 
147Andrew HeaneyPIT@CHC 
148Jose UrenaLAD@SD 
149Chase DollanderCOL@ATL 
150Logan AllenCLECIN 
151Wade MileyCIN@CLE, @DET 
152German MarquezCOL@ATL 
153Mike VasilCWS@TEX 
154Justin VerlanderSF@LAD 
155Randy VasquezSDLAD 
156Antonio SenzatelaCOLSF 
157Bradley BlalockCOL@ATL 

American League

RankPitcherTMOPPComment
1Tarik SkubalDET@BAL 
2Framber ValdezHOUCWS 
3Jack FlahertyDETCIN 
4Jacob deGromTEXCWSStrikeouts and velo down, worth monitoring
5Max FriedNYY@KC 
6Clarke SchmidtNYY@KC, @BOS 
7Shane SmithCWS@HOU, @TEXWalks high, but facing manageable lineups
8Joe RyanMIN@HOU 
9Tyler MahleTEX@MIN, CWSRegression underway, but still due more
10Kris BubicKCNYY, ATHShowing no signs of slowing down
11Tanner BibeeCLE@SEA 
12Drew RasmussenTB@NYM 
13Jeffrey SpringsATH@LAA, @KC 
14Bryan WooSEA@ARI 
15Bailey OberMINTEX 
16Gavin WilliamsCLE@SEA 
17Nathan EovaldiTEXCWS 
18Jose BerriosTOR@STL, @PHI 
19Hunter BrownHOUMIN 
20Shane BazTB@BOS, @NYM
21Logan GilbertSEACLE 
22Ryan PepiotTB@BOS 
23Luis L. OrtizCLECIN, @SEA 
24Bryce MillerSEA@ARI 
25Michael WachaKCATH 
26Taj BradleyTB@NYM 
27Yusei KikuchiLAAATH, @BAL 
28Simeon Woods RichardsonMINTEX, @HOU 
29Kevin GausmanTOR@PHI 
30Tyler AndersonLAA@BAL 
31Sean BurkeCWS@HOU 
32Lance McCullersHOUCWS 
33Zach EflinBALDET 
34George KirbySEACLE 
35Garrett CrochetBOSNYY 
36David FestaMINTEX 
37Luis CastilloSEACLE 
38Slade CecconiCLECIN 
39Chris PaddackMIN@HOU 
40Colton GordonHOUMIN 
41Sawyer Gipson-LongDET@BAL, CIN 
42Keider MonteroDETCIN 
43Tomoyuki SuganoBALLAA 
44Luis SeverinoATH@KC 
45Jose SorianoLAAATH 
46Zack LittellTB@BOS 
47Adrian HouserCWS@TEX 
48Cole RagansKCNYY 
49Davis MartinCWS@HOU 
50Jacob LopezATH@KC 
51Seth LugoKCNYY 
52Chris BassittTOR@STL 
53Carlos RodonNYY@BOS 
54Cade PovichBALDET, LAA 
55Eric LauerTOR@STL 
56Mitch SpenceATH@LAA 
57Jack LeiterTEX@MIN 
58Patrick CorbinTEX@MIN 
59Charlie MortonBALLAA 
60Lucas GiolitoBOSTB 
61Walker BuehlerBOSTB 
62Brayan BelloBOSTB, NYY 
63Casey MizeDET@BAL 
64AL Reliever   
65Michael LorenzenKCATH 
66Emerson HancockSEA@ARI 
67Brandon WalterHOUMIN 
68Bowden FrancisTOR@PHI 
69Ryan GustoHOUCWS 
70Will WarrenNYY@KC 
71JP SearsATH@LAA 
72Jack KochanowiczLAA@BAL 
73Kyle HendricksLAAATH 
74Dean KremerBALDET 
75Ryan YarbroughNYY@BOS 
76Hunter DobbinsBOSNYY 
77Logan AllenCLECIN 
78Mike VasilCWS@TEX 

National League

RankPitcherTMOPPComment
1Chris SaleATL@MIL, COLBack in the Cy Young discussion
2MacKenzie GoreWAS@NYM, MIAWorthy of ace status
3Robbie RaySF@COL, @LAD25 K, only 4 BB over last 20 IP
4Merrill KellyARISEA, SD 
5Nick PivettaSDLAD, @ARI 
6Paul SkenesPIT@CHC 
7Matthew BoydCHC@PHI, PIT 
8Logan WebbSF@COL 
9Jameson TaillonCHCPIT 
10Spencer SchwellenbachATL@MIL 
11Yoshinobu YamamotoLADSF 
12Kodai SengaNYMWAS 
13Sonny GraySTL@MIL 
14Zack WheelerPHICHC 
15Ranger SuarezPHITOR 
16Cristopher SanchezPHITOR 
17Ben BrownCHC@PHIBeginning to use his changeup more
18Spencer StriderATLCOL 
19Sandy AlcantaraMIA@PITStill skeptical of a turnaround but has a soft matchup
20Dustin MayLAD@SD, SF 
21Cade HortonCHCPIT 
22David PetersonNYMWAS 
23Grant HolmesATL@MIL 
24Nick LodoloCIN@CLE 
25Edward CabreraMIA@WAS 
26Hayden BirdsongSF@COL 
27Aaron NolaPHITOR 
28Clay HolmesNYMTB 
29Griffin CanningNYMWAS, TB 
30Eury PerezMIA@PIT, @WAS 
31Dylan CeaseSDLAD 
32Clayton KershawLADSF 
33Tylor MegillNYMTB 
34Mitch KellerPITMIA, @CHC 
35Freddy PeraltaMILSTL 
36Brandon PfaadtARISEAGrumble, grumble
37Andre PallanteSTLTOR, @MIL 
38Zac GallenARISD 
39Jose QuintanaMILSTL 
40Ryan WeathersMIA@WAS 
41Erick FeddeSTL@MIL 
42Eduardo RodriguezARISEA 
43Bailey FalterPITMIA 
44Jake IrvinWAS@NYM 
45Andrew AbbottCIN@CLE 
46Cal QuantrillMIA@PIT 
47Miles MikolasSTLTOR 
48Stephen KolekSD@ARI 
49Michael SorokaWAS@NYM 
50Matthew LiberatoreSTLTOR 
51Bryce ElderATLCOL 
52Nick MartinezCIN@DET 
53Colin ReaCHC@PHI, PIT 
54Landen RouppSF@LAD 
55Justin WrobleskiLAD@SD 
56Mitchell ParkerWASMIA 
57Ryne NelsonARISD 
58Trevor WilliamsWASMIA 
59Chad PatrickMILATL 
60Aaron CivaleMILATL, STL 
61NL Reliever   
62Brady SingerCIN@DET 
63Quinn PriesterMILATL, STL 
64Jesus LuzardoPHICHCFacing the top offense in the league, not the best matchup for a rebound
65Ryan BergertSD@ARI 
66Michael McGreevySTL@MIL 
67Mick AbelPHICHC 
68Carson PalmquistCOLSF 
69Mike BurrowsPITMIA, @CHC 
70Kyle FreelandCOLSF 
71Andrew HeaneyPIT@CHC 
72Jose UrenaLAD@SD 
73Chase DollanderCOL@ATL 
74Wade MileyCIN@CLE, @DET 
75German MarquezCOL@ATL 
76Justin VerlanderSF@LAD 
77Randy VasquezSDLAD 
78Antonio SenzatelaCOLSF 
79Bradley BlalockCOL@ATL 

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Todd Zola
Todd has been writing about fantasy baseball since 1997. He won NL Tout Wars and Mixed LABR in 2016 as well as a multi-time league winner in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship. Todd is now setting his sights even higher: The Rotowire Staff League. Lord Zola, as he's known in the industry, won the 2013 FSWA Fantasy Baseball Article of the Year award and was named the 2017 FSWA Fantasy Baseball Writer of the Year. Todd is a five-time FSWA awards finalist.
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