Gavin Williams

Gavin Williams

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Cleveland Guardians
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Williams didn't make his season debut with the Guardians in July after working his way back from an elbow injury suffered during spring training. While the big right-hander never really got on a roll, he pitched better than his 4.86 ERA would suggest, as his 4.14 xERA, 4.19 SIERA and 3.67 FIP indicates. Williams' strikeout prowess in the minors (33.3 percent) has not yet carried over to the major-league level (23.6 percent), and his walk rate is hovering above 10 percent with the Guardians, as well. The 25-year-old seems to still be searching for the right pitch mix, as he introduced a cutter and used a curveball as his primary breaking ball in 2024 after a slider was his main breaking pitch in 2023. Williams' pedigree and the Guardians' pitching development track record points to the righty taking a step forward eventually, and perhaps as soon as 2025. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
From Preseason
$Signed a one-year contract with the Guardians in March of 2024.
Up to 80 pitches
PCleveland Guardians
March 20, 2025
Williams allowed three runs on three hits and two walks while striking out five over 4.1 innings in Wednesday's split-squad start against the Athletics.
ANALYSIS
Williams made his fourth Cactus League start and got up to 80 pitches (52 strikes), putting him on schedule for the regular season. The right-hander has impressed this spring with 21 strikeouts over 12.1 innings. There's room for him to make one more start prior to the regular season, likely Monday or Tuesday against the Diamondbacks at Chase Field after the Guardians break camp. Williams is expected to pitch during the opening series of the regular season in Kansas City.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
83
Last 10 Games
79
Last 5 Games
68
How many pitches does Gavin Williams generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Gavin Williams generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-16%
BAA vs RHP
2022
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .228 357 84 45 69 17 1 10
Since 2022vs Right .236 320 76 24 69 17 4 5
2024vs Left .219 174 44 17 33 8 1 3
2024vs Right .275 158 35 15 39 9 2 4
2023vs Left .237 183 40 28 36 9 0 7
2023vs Right .200 162 41 9 30 8 2 1
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-35%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-46%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-34%
ERA on Road
2022
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.81 1.47 86.0 3 10 0 9.9 3.9 1.2
Since 2022Away 3.13 1.13 72.0 3 5 0 8.1 4.0 0.5
2024Home 6.55 1.70 33.0 0 7 0 11.5 3.8 1.4
2024Away 3.56 1.12 43.0 3 3 0 7.7 3.8 0.4
2023Home 3.74 1.32 53.0 3 3 0 9.0 3.9 1.0
2023Away 2.48 1.14 29.0 0 2 0 8.7 4.3 0.6
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Gavin Williams compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.47
 
K/9
9.4
 
BB/9
3.8
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
96.7 mph
 
ERA
4.86
 
WHIP
1.37
 
BABIP
.324
 
GB/FB
1.25
 
Left On Base
65.8%
 
Exit Velocity
83.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.8%
 
Spin Rate
2312 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.3%
 
Swinging Strike
10.8%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Williams opened the season in Double-A Akron but pushed his way into Cleveland's rotation by mid-June and remained there for the rest of the season. The apex of his season was consecutive double-digit strikeout games against Toronto and Tampa Bay in early August while the only true disastrous outing was one against the Dodgers later that month. The complaint with the rookie would be walks as he had four walks in five of his 16 outings but Williams also benefited from stranding runners in those outings as none of the five were terrible outings. We could also nitpick at him only going six or more innings in 5 of his 16 outings which made it tougher for him to net wins and quality starts. Cleveland has an excellent track record of pitching development and they'll no doubt continue to mold Williams into the front half of the rotation pitcher they envision him to be. That project just may not be completed in 2024.
Chasing college pitchers with big stuff and a non-premium first-year player draft price tag is a strong strategy in dynasty leagues, and Williams has thus far rewarded those who targeted him last offseason. A sturdy 6-foot-6 righty from East Carolina whom Cleveland selected with the 23rd overall pick in 2021, Williams has a power arsenal featuring an upper-90s fastball and three offspeed offerings that have above-average to plus potential. Williams registered a 1.96 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 149:40 K:BB in 115 innings across 25 starts in High-A and Double-A. He has SP1 or SP2 potential if he stays healthy and throws enough strikes. Cleveland's rotation will be tough to crack in the near future, but Williams could be the first of the Guardians' next big wave (also featuring Daniel Espino and Tanner Bibee) to debut.
More Fantasy News
Six strikeouts Tuesday
PCleveland Guardians
March 4, 2025
Williams allowed one run on three hits and one walk while striking out six over 2.1 innings in Tuesday's spring start against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Strong spring debut
PCleveland Guardians
February 26, 2025
Williams struck out three over two scoreless innings in Wednesday's spring start against the Rangers.
ANALYSIS
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Named ALCS Game 4 starter
PCleveland Guardians
October 17, 2024
Guardians manager Stephen Vogt said Thursday that Williams will start Friday in Game 4 of the ALCS against the Yankees, Mandy Bell of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Game canceled
PCleveland Guardians
September 29, 2024
Williams won't pitch Sunday after the Guardians' contest with the Astros was canceled due to inclement weather.
ANALYSIS
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Slated for bulk relief Sunday
PCleveland Guardians
September 25, 2024
Williams will be used as a bulk reliever in Sunday's game against the Astros, Mandy Bell of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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