MLB DFS: Saturday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Saturday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Saturday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Steven MatzDerek HollandGiants90975310074997.5-1454:05 PM
    Daniel NorrisMasahiro TanakaYankees1039514299123924:05 PM
    Chase AndersonStephen StrasburgNationals1009889105114988.5-1457:05 PM
    Kyle HendricksZach EflinPhillies9895120971241098.5
    Here's a quick glance at Saturday's slate(s).

    Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Steven MatzDerek HollandGiants90975310074997.5-1454:05 PM
    Daniel NorrisMasahiro TanakaYankees1039514299123924:05 PM
    Chase AndersonStephen StrasburgNationals1009889105114988.5-1457:05 PM
    Kyle HendricksZach EflinPhillies9895120971241098.51207:05 PM
    Chris ArcherKevin GausmanBraves1021061169881988.0-1457:10 PM
    Eduardo RodriguezCarlos RodonWhite Sox9590122991101068.51457:10 PM
    Blake SnellShane BieberIndians11411411010298948.0-1257:10 PM
    Felix PenaJosh JamesAstros8393109941091017:10 PM
    Marco EstradaWei-Yin ChenMarlins84938691831037.5-1057:10 PM
    Luis CastilloDaniel PoncedeleonCardinals911029710082958.5-1307:15 PM
    Dylan BundyHeath FillmyerRoyals1031028510276949.5-1107:15 PM
    Jose BerriosYovani GallardoRangers1171081071101069310.51108:05 PM
    Jon GrayRobbie ErlinPadres92978597971037.01258:40 PM
    James PaxtonDaniel MengdenAthletics9697849787968.01059:05 PM
    Patrick CorbinClayton KershawDodgers909511396901037.0-1809:10 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Chase Anderson (R)at WAS281.721.68.013.61.343.391.13$7,400$7,20010219.7
    Chris Archer (R)at ATL319.327.37.320.01.184.311.33$7,200$7,0009920.7
    Jose Berrios (R)at TEX309.323.57.316.31.053.811.18$7,800$8,2009824.8
    Shane Bieber (R)v TB 79.724.54.420.11.134.521.34$8,000$8,30010322.6
    Dylan Bundy (R)at KC 310.322.87.215.61.744.761.28$7,000$6,2008521.6
    Luis Castillo (R)at STL226.024.37.816.61.394.301.22$7,500$7,4009921.5
    Wei-Yin Chen (L)v TOR139.318.58.310.31.294.651.29$6,700$7,6008920.7
    Patrick Corbin (L)at LAD358.325.86.819.00.953.621.23$11,500$10,90010220.8
    Zach Eflin (R)v CHC170.318.35.213.01.594.811.31$6,900$7,80010420.4
    Robbie Erlin (L)v COL85.320.32.717.60.953.691.07$4,900$5,80010621.8
    Marco Estrada (R)at MIA306.020.18.411.71.625.061.38$5,200$6,8008222.1
    Heath Fillmyer (R)v BAL51.313.811.52.31.234.211.38$5,100$6,0008825.2
    Yovani Gallardo (R)v MIN198.015.610.74.91.505.821.53$5,000$5,6009422.2
    Kevin Gausman (R)v PIT342.720.77.513.21.344.311.39$7,900$8,40010118.8
    Jon Gray (R)at SD 257.725.36.419.00.984.301.28$8,800$9,2008625.1
    Kyle Hendricks (R)at PHI298.320.86.414.41.123.471.20$8,300$8,50010323.7
    Derek Holland (L)v NYM275.720.010.49.71.534.901.49$7,900$8,3008026.1
    Josh James (R)v LAA0.00.00.00.000.000.0011919.8
    Clayton Kershaw (L)v ARI299.327.84.323.51.022.350.97$12,100$11,60010322.5
    Steven Matz (L)at SF 188.319.57.611.91.534.971.39$7,500$7,4008320.7
    Daniel Mengden (R)v SEA137.715.25.39.91.373.921.14$4,800$6,60010620.0
    Daniel Norris (L)at NYY117.019.59.99.61.155.381.62$5,100$5,50012021.6
    James Paxton (L)at OAK275.329.86.623.20.883.331.10$9,300$9,50011121.8
    Felix Pena (R)at HOU96.024.010.213.81.504.781.42$6,200$6,40010719.5
    Daniel Poncedeleon (R)v CIN21.721.211.89.40.832.081.06$7,100$6,30010020.4
    Carlos Rodon (L)v BOS162.722.010.012.01.223.321.16$8,100$8,0009421.8
    Eduardo Rodriguez (L)at CWS242.025.38.017.31.153.871.26$8,200$8,6009725.9
    Blake Snell (L)at CLE274.325.810.115.70.952.991.15$10,700$9,80010019.6
    Stephen Strasburg (R)v MIL270.728.76.622.20.903.091.08$9,000$9,40010023.2
    Masahiro Tanaka (R)v DET305.325.45.719.71.714.421.20$9,700$10,2007922.1

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Chase Anderson (R)at WAS21.39.012.31.120.28319.97.412.51.710.345
    Chris Archer (R)at ATL27.28.518.61.320.32327.66.621.01.130.302
    Jose Berrios (R)at TEX22.110.911.21.270.32822.95.717.21.060.307
    Shane Bieber (R)v TB 25.17.617.51.190.39022.61.421.20.490.279
    Dylan Bundy (R)at KC 18.17.610.51.560.35326.97.619.31.770.314
    Luis Castillo (R)at STL23.38.514.81.570.34025.77.118.61.130.281
    Wei-Yin Chen (L)v TOR22.53.319.20.870.28317.47.310.11.620.337
    Patrick Corbin (L)at LAD30.08.721.31.170.30521.57.414.11.060.322
    Zach Eflin (R)v CHC14.65.98.62.350.37718.05.013.00.970.303
    Robbie Erlin (L)v COL25.24.320.90.900.29219.22.416.91.090.285
    Marco Estrada (R)at MIA21.27.713.51.250.28421.09.211.91.560.344
    Heath Fillmyer (R)v BAL13.216.0-2.80.370.29914.66.77.92.570.373
    Yovani Gallardo (R)v MIN17.513.34.21.280.34014.28.85.41.540.361
    Kevin Gausman (R)v PIT21.78.713.01.250.31921.25.815.41.480.343
    Jon Gray (R)at SD 25.57.418.11.100.31126.47.019.30.780.309
    Kyle Hendricks (R)at PHI23.17.215.91.050.29720.25.414.80.910.275
    Derek Holland (L)v NYM16.07.88.10.650.26519.210.09.21.710.368
    Josh James (R)v LAA0.00.00.00.000.0000.00.00.00.000.000
    Clayton Kershaw (L)v ARI29.72.627.11.070.25128.83.924.90.770.240
    Steven Matz (L)at SF 17.17.79.40.510.32122.26.715.61.560.329
    Daniel Mengden (R)v SEA17.75.612.11.190.31417.58.19.41.420.331
    Daniel Norris (L)at NYY25.19.515.61.690.34019.68.810.71.040.347
    James Paxton (L)at OAK24.66.518.10.570.30728.35.922.30.860.280
    Felix Pena (R)at HOU20.015.54.51.480.36929.95.624.21.600.301
    Daniel Poncedeleon (R)v CIN23.814.39.50.870.25318.69.39.30.790.279
    Carlos Rodon (L)v BOS26.26.519.60.800.27222.39.113.11.350.323
    Eduardo Rodriguez (L)at CWS28.77.721.00.930.32323.18.414.81.280.304
    Blake Snell (L)at CLE28.310.218.00.250.23324.610.913.61.010.309
    Stephen Strasburg (R)v MIL28.58.020.50.950.26930.65.525.10.880.281
    Masahiro Tanaka (R)v DET23.45.018.41.340.29523.65.518.21.530.313

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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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