This article is part of our DFS MLB series.
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Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Wade Miley | Cody Reed | Reds | 104 | 100 | 119 | 98 | 108 | 106 | 9.5 | 115 | 12:35 PM |
| Jake Odorizzi | Mike Clevinger | Indians | 114 | 114 | 110 | 102 | 98 | 94 | 9.0 | -220 | 1:10 PM |
| Francisco Liriano | J.A. Happ | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 9.0 | -315 | 7:05 PM |
| Joe Musgrove | John Gant | Cardinals | 91 | 102 | 97 | 100 | 82 | ||||
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Wade Miley | Cody Reed | Reds | 104 | 100 | 119 | 98 | 108 | 106 | 9.5 | 115 | 12:35 PM |
| Jake Odorizzi | Mike Clevinger | Indians | 114 | 114 | 110 | 102 | 98 | 94 | 9.0 | -220 | 1:10 PM |
| Francisco Liriano | J.A. Happ | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 9.0 | -315 | 7:05 PM |
| Joe Musgrove | John Gant | Cardinals | 91 | 102 | 97 | 100 | 82 | 95 | 8.0 | -130 | 7:15 PM |
| Mike Montgomery | Mike Foltynewicz | Braves | 102 | 106 | 116 | 98 | 81 | 98 | 8.0 | -135 | 7:35 PM |
| Rick Porcello | Lucas Giolito | White Sox | 95 | 90 | 122 | 99 | 110 | 106 | 9.0 | 175 | 8:10 PM |
| Andrew Heaney | Justin Verlander | Astros | 83 | 93 | 109 | 94 | 109 | 101 | 8.0 | -235 | 8:10 PM |
| Wade LeBlanc | Frankie Montas | Athletics | 96 | 97 | 84 | 97 | 87 | 96 | 8.5 | -130 | 10:05 PM |
| German Marquez | Eric Lauer | Padres | 92 | 97 | 85 | 97 | 97 | 103 | 10:10 PM | ||
| Robbie Ray | Rich Hill | Dodgers | 90 | 95 | 113 | 96 | 90 | 103 | 7.5 | -135 | 10:10 PM |
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
| Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Clevinger (R) | v MIN | 285.3 | 25.6 | 9.8 | 15.8 | 0.91 | 3.22 | 1.24 | $9,900 | $9,600 | 95 | 21.7 |
| Mike Foltynewicz (R) | v CHC | 299.0 | 24.2 | 8.9 | 15.3 | 1.02 | 3.76 | 1.31 | $10,400 | $10,600 | 105 | 20.3 |
| John Gant (R) | v PIT | 103.3 | 18.9 | 10.9 | 8.0 | 0.96 | 3.75 | 1.28 | $6,800 | $6,500 | 98 | 19.0 |
| Lucas Giolito (R) | v BOS | 190.0 | 16.7 | 10.6 | 6.1 | 1.47 | 5.02 | 1.33 | $5,000 | $7,200 | 118 | 18.1 |
| J.A. Happ (L) | v DET | 289.7 | 24.9 | 7.3 | 17.6 | 1.21 | 3.67 | 1.22 | $10,000 | $10,100 | 98 | 20.5 |
| Andrew Heaney (L) | at HOU | 167.7 | 23.2 | 6.6 | 16.6 | 1.66 | 4.62 | 1.25 | $7,400 | $7,600 | 121 | 19.5 |
| Rich Hill (L) | v ARI | 233.3 | 28.3 | 8.8 | 19.5 | 1.23 | 3.39 | 1.14 | $9,400 | $8,800 | 103 | 22.5 |
| Eric Lauer (L) | v COL | 86.7 | 18.8 | 9.3 | 9.5 | 1.35 | 5.30 | 1.71 | $5,200 | $6,300 | 108 | 21.5 |
| Wade LeBlanc (L) | at OAK | 196.7 | 19.6 | 5.7 | 13.9 | 1.42 | 4.12 | 1.17 | $7,200 | $6,300 | 112 | 22.0 |
| Francisco Liriano (L) | at NYY | 199.7 | 18.6 | 12.7 | 5.9 | 1.26 | 5.23 | 1.57 | $4,700 | $5,500 | 120 | 22.2 |
| German Marquez (R) | at SD | 311.7 | 22.9 | 7.3 | 15.6 | 1.30 | 4.30 | 1.33 | $8,500 | $9,000 | 86 | 25.1 |
| Wade Miley (L) | at CIN | 207.7 | 18.6 | 12.1 | 6.5 | 1.21 | 4.81 | 1.63 | $7,800 | $7,000 | 108 | 20.7 |
| Frankie Montas (R) | v SEA | 89.7 | 18.7 | 9.7 | 9.0 | 1.41 | 4.92 | 1.59 | $6,000 | $7,100 | 106 | 20.0 |
| Mike Montgomery (L) | at ATL | 230.0 | 16.7 | 9.0 | 7.7 | 0.67 | 3.48 | 1.27 | $6,300 | $5,800 | 110 | 20.8 |
| Joe Musgrove (R) | at STL | 200.3 | 20.2 | 5.7 | 14.5 | 1.21 | 4.22 | 1.27 | $7,000 | $8,300 | 99 | 21.5 |
| Jake Odorizzi (R) | at CLE | 281.0 | 22.2 | 9.6 | 12.7 | 1.54 | 4.26 | 1.30 | $6,900 | $6,500 | 109 | 18.7 |
| Rick Porcello (R) | at CWS | 367.0 | 21.9 | 5.5 | 16.4 | 1.47 | 4.44 | 1.29 | $9,800 | $9,400 | 97 | 25.8 |
| Robbie Ray (L) | at LAD | 247.7 | 31.7 | 11.5 | 20.2 | 1.38 | 3.52 | 1.26 | $8,000 | $8,000 | 101 | 20.9 |
| Cody Reed (L) | v MIL | 32.3 | 22.0 | 16.3 | 5.7 | 1.67 | 4.45 | 1.48 | $4,900 | $5,700 | 101 | 17.4 |
| Justin Verlander (R) | v LAA | 381.7 | 29.1 | 6.7 | 22.4 | 1.27 | 3.07 | 1.07 | $12,000 | $11,200 | 121 | 19.6 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
| v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
| Mike Clevinger (R) | v MIN | 22.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 1.05 | 0.319 | 27.0 | 9.7 | 17.3 | 0.92 | 0.294 |
| Mike Foltynewicz (R) | v CHC | 22.7 | 10.2 | 12.4 | 1.32 | 0.334 | 23.7 | 6.4 | 17.3 | 0.95 | 0.302 |
| John Gant (R) | v PIT | 19.4 | 11.3 | 8.1 | 1.48 | 0.324 | 21.5 | 8.9 | 12.6 | 0.65 | 0.301 |
| Lucas Giolito (R) | v BOS | 13.4 | 11.6 | 1.8 | 1.63 | 0.357 | 17.9 | 10.5 | 7.4 | 1.64 | 0.332 |
| J.A. Happ (L) | v DET | 20.8 | 6.3 | 14.5 | 0.72 | 0.254 | 23.4 | 7.8 | 15.6 | 1.23 | 0.304 |
| Andrew Heaney (L) | at HOU | 22.7 | 3.2 | 19.5 | 0.23 | 0.257 | 23.8 | 7.4 | 16.4 | 2.09 | 0.345 |
| Rich Hill (L) | v ARI | 20.0 | 10.9 | 9.1 | 0.86 | 0.307 | 31.1 | 7.7 | 23.3 | 0.99 | 0.270 |
| Eric Lauer (L) | v COL | 11.2 | 9.0 | 2.2 | 1.45 | 0.399 | 21.0 | 9.4 | 11.7 | 1.32 | 0.370 |
| Wade LeBlanc (L) | at OAK | 18.6 | 3.2 | 15.4 | 1.52 | 0.333 | 19.9 | 6.1 | 13.9 | 1.59 | 0.305 |
| Francisco Liriano (L) | at NYY | 22.7 | 8.7 | 14.0 | 0.86 | 0.291 | 20.1 | 13.3 | 6.9 | 1.48 | 0.359 |
| German Marquez (R) | at SD | 17.9 | 8.0 | 9.9 | 1.03 | 0.345 | 26.8 | 6.7 | 20.1 | 1.62 | 0.332 |
| Wade Miley (L) | at CIN | 19.0 | 11.9 | 7.1 | 0.49 | 0.298 | 18.9 | 9.5 | 9.4 | 1.50 | 0.357 |
| Frankie Montas (R) | v SEA | 14.0 | 11.4 | 2.6 | 2.20 | 0.425 | 23.0 | 8.1 | 14.8 | 0.74 | 0.318 |
| Mike Montgomery (L) | at ATL | 19.1 | 8.7 | 10.4 | 0.63 | 0.275 | 18.1 | 9.2 | 8.8 | 0.71 | 0.297 |
| Joe Musgrove (R) | at STL | 20.9 | 6.7 | 14.2 | 1.09 | 0.332 | 20.1 | 5.2 | 14.9 | 1.26 | 0.308 |
| Jake Odorizzi (R) | at CLE | 23.1 | 8.1 | 14.9 | 1.40 | 0.293 | 21.0 | 9.0 | 12.1 | 1.61 | 0.336 |
| Rick Porcello (R) | at CWS | 22.7 | 5.4 | 17.4 | 1.24 | 0.305 | 20.5 | 4.3 | 16.2 | 1.25 | 0.310 |
| Robbie Ray (L) | at LAD | 34.5 | 5.7 | 28.9 | 1.11 | 0.280 | 28.9 | 11.7 | 17.2 | 1.38 | 0.324 |
| Cody Reed (L) | v MIL | 20.2 | 8.3 | 11.9 | 0.96 | 0.294 | 19.2 | 12.5 | 6.6 | 2.53 | 0.412 |
| Justin Verlander (R) | v LAA | 32.3 | 8.1 | 24.2 | 1.36 | 0.279 | 25.6 | 5.1 | 20.5 | 1.06 | 0.272 |
