DFS Baseball 101: Evaluating Bullpens

DFS Baseball 101: Evaluating Bullpens

This article is part of our DFS Baseball 101 series.

There are so many things to consider when playing daily fantasy baseball, and we keep adding more to the mix each season. Barrels and exit velocity are two that are making a huge impact this season. But I think there is one overlooked part of DFS baseball: bullpens.

When doing your initial hitting research, how often do you consider the bullpens? Or are you just basing your decisions on the starting pitcher? The same goes for your starting pitching decisions. The win is still important enough so you want a pitcher from a team in where if he goes six or seven innings, the chances to nail down the W are high.

How much of an impact does the bullpen make?

Well, bullpen innings represent about 37 percent of the total innings pitched.

Because we are not able to equate fantasy points to the bullpens as a whole, I took what I think are the most important statistics and ranked them top to bottom by team, then I took the average of the 11 categories. I'm sure you can add or subtract some of the categories, and it is subjective, but I think for the most part these are the ones to go with.

Before you ask, so this data is great, but how do I use it in my DFS research? Well, let's look at the Nationals. They have one of the worst bullpens in baseball, but it only accounts for 32 percent of their total innings because the starting pitching is so strong. In the case of the Nationals, you would want to target their weaker pitchers like Jacob Turner, Gio Gonzalez, or Joe Ross. They will end up going six innings at the most, so you get that Nationals pen for at least three innings.

On the flip side, the Reds have horrible starting pitching, but their bullpen is used 45 percent of the time because of it. Their bullpen is much better than their starting pitching at this point. My strategy with the Reds is I'm OK taking a huge offensive team against them, but a middle of the pack team I will shy away.

On a non-fantasy baseball note, look at the White Sox and Rockies. Their bullpens rank in the top five, and both teams are playing well above their heads this season.

% RP = The percentage of innings coming from relief pitching

TEAMRANK%RPAVGERAHR/9WHIPxFIPK%BB%GB%FB%CNT%HARD%
Yankees 1 37 4 3 1 4 4 4 18 12 6 2 3
Indians 2 35 3 1 3 2 3 3 12 7 13 9 7
White Sox 3 34 1 2 9 1 7 6 16 9 18 6 4
Astros 4 36 2 4 5 3 2 1 14 21 24 1 8
Rockies 5 37 13 17 6 12 5 9 4 4 2 11 5
Dodgers 6 37 9 6 7 5 1 2 3 29 20 3 11
Reds 7 45 5 7 11 9 9 12 26 1 1 4 1
Red Sox 8 35 7 5 8 7 8 11 6 13 14 5 29
Diamondbacks 9 33 8 9 14 8 6 7 5 6 7 8 27
Cubs 10 41 6 8 20 11 10 8 23 16 11 10 16
Athletics 11 37 17 22 18 15 16 21 8 15 8 12 6
Angels 12 37 11 16 24 6 11 5 1 30 30 7 20
Rays 13 35 12 12 4 13 27 30 15 11 9 24 24
Pirates 14 38 25 10 12 17 22 27 9 19 15 20 2
Braves 15 36 10 15 22 10 18 18 7 8 23 18 23
Brewers 16 41 26 11 10 27 15 16 30 5 4 23 10
Blue Jays 17 40 14 18 17 14 12 10 17 20 26 15 14
Giants 18 33 22 13 2 19 23 20 19 22 16 25 9
Royals 19 38 19 25 13 25 14 17 29 2 3 26 12
Rangers 20 34 29 23 21 21 17 28 10 3 5 21 17
Padres 21 37 15 27 26 20 13 13 25 14 17 13 25
Orioles 22 40 28 14 15 28 28 25 21 10 12 29 15
Twins 23 39 16 19 23 16 21 26 13 18 10 30 26
Cardinals 24 35 24 21 19 24 26 19 20 26 22 17 21
Marlins 25 43 18 20 16 23 29 24 28 25 19 22 22
Mariners 26 40 21 30 28 18 24 22 11 23 25 19 13
Nationals 27 32 30 29 27 30 20 23 2 17 21 27 18
Tigers 28 34 20 26 29 22 19 14 22 28 27 14 30
Mets 29 41 27 28 25 29 25 15 24 24 28 16 28
Phillies 30 38 23 24 30 26 30 29 27 27 29 28 19
The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Michael Rathburn plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: burnnotice, DraftKings: burnnotice, Yahoo: burnnotice, Fantasy Aces: burnnotice, FantasyDraft: burnnotice.
RotoWire Community
Join Our Subscriber-Only MLB Chat
Chat with our writers and other RotoWire MLB fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter.
Join The Discussion
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Michael Rathburn
Known as “Rath” in the Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) community, he has helped run operations for two prominent daily fantasy sports startups. Michael has taken his insider knowledge and expertise in daily fantasy sports to the content side. Rath won the 2016 FSWA "Baseball Article of the Year, Online" award and was a finalist for the FSWA Best Baseball Series in 2011.
Collette Calls: Thinking About Pitchers Returning From Injuries
Collette Calls: Thinking About Pitchers Returning From Injuries
MLB DFS Picks: DraftKings Plays and Strategy for Wednesday, October 30
MLB DFS Picks: DraftKings Plays and Strategy for Wednesday, October 30
MLB DFS Picks: FanDuel Plays and Strategy for World Series Game 5 on Wednesday, October 30
MLB DFS Picks: FanDuel Plays and Strategy for World Series Game 5 on Wednesday, October 30
MLB World Series Game 5 Best Bets: Expert MLB Picks for Wednesday, October 30
MLB World Series Game 5 Best Bets: Expert MLB Picks for Wednesday, October 30
All-Bust Fantasy Team: Starting Pitchers
All-Bust Fantasy Team: Starting Pitchers
MLB DFS Picks: FanDuel Plays and Strategy for World Series Game 4 on Tuesday, October 29
MLB DFS Picks: FanDuel Plays and Strategy for World Series Game 4 on Tuesday, October 29