We're starting to learn again just how important penalties are in the Golden Boot race, as Leicester City's Jamie Vardy scored two from the penalty spot in the Foxes' 5-2 victory over Manchester City, giving him five goals this season, including four penalties. Five goals puts Vardy in a tie for the Premier League lead with Everton's Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who scored against Crystal Palace on Saturday and is one of three players in the Premier League to score in all three gameweeks; Alexandre Lacazette and Patrick Bamford join him, though they only scored once in each of their three games.
I would be remiss not to mention that Matt Birnbach was pushing Calvert-Lewin for the Golden Boot when we podcasted about Premier League futures bets back on Aug. 26, and he's about to become insufferable with Calvert-Lewin's odds to finish as the league's highest scorer going from +6600 on Sept. 2 to +1000 today on DraftKings Sportsbook. Only Mohamed Salah (+400), who has three goals, Vardy (+500) and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (+550), who has one goal, have better odds to win the Golden Boot. Vardy also saw his odds significantly improve from +1200 to +500.
Calvert-Lewin and Vardy weren't the only players to see their odds increase, though no one who moved up is really close to them. Bamford improved from +10000 to +6600, but there are still 24 players with better odds, including Calvert-Lewin's teammate Richarlison, who converted from the penalty spot against Crystal Palace and moved from +8000 to +5000. Joining Richarlison at those odds is Chelsea's Tammy Abraham, who debuts at +5000 after finding the back of the net in their 3-3 draw with West Brom, his first start of the season. Other goal scorers this past weekend who saw their odds improve include Sebastien Haller (+15000 to +10000), Riyad Mahrez (+10000 to +8000) and Jarrod Bowen (+20000 to +15000).
Moving in the other direction, Raheem Sterling went from +1200 to +1400 and Timo Werner +1200 to +1600, and they represent the players with the best odds to win the Golden Boot who haven't scored a goal yet. Anthony Martial is in a similar boat, falling to +3300 from +2500, while Kevin De Bruyne went from +5000 to +6600 despite seemingly still being on penalties for the expected highest-scoring team in the league (he didn't score this past weekend).
And finally, eight players are no longer being offered on DraftKings, so a "thank you for participating" to Moise Kean, Dele Alli, Paul Pogba, Jay Rodriguez, Bernardo Silva, David McGoldrick, Allan Saint-Maximin and Leandro Trossard, who were all either +20000 or +25000.
Here's the updated breakdown, including total goals, penalties and free-kick goals:
Player | Team | Total Goals | Pens | Free Kick Goals | 9/28/2020 | 9/21/2020 | 9/15/2020 | 9/2/2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mohamed Salah | LIV | 3 | 2 | 0 | +400 | +400 | +350 | +600 |
Jamie Vardy | LEI | 5 | 4 | 0 | +500 | +1200 | +900 | +1400 |
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | ARS | 1 | 0 | 0 | +550 | +500 | +450 | +500 |
Dominic Calvert-Lewin | EVE | 5 | 0 | 0 | +1000 | +1400 | +5000 | +6600 |
Harry Kane | TOT | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1000 | +700 | +700 | +500 |
Sadio Mane | LIV | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1000 | +1200 | +1600 | +1400 |
Danny Ings | SOU | 3 | 1 | 0 | +1400 | +1600 | +2500 | +2000 |
Raheem Sterling | MCI | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1400 | +1200 | +1200 | +1100 |
Timo Werner | CHE | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1600 | +1200 | +800 | +1000 |
Gabriel Jesus | MCI | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2500 | +1200 | +2000 | +1600 |
Raul Jimenez | WLV | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2500 | +1600 | +2000 | +2500 |
Son Heung-Min | TOT | 4 | 0 | 0 | +2500 | +2000 | +6600 | - |
Marcus Rashford | MUN | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2500 | +2500 | +2000 | +2000 |
Sergio Aguero | MCI | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3300 | +3300 | +1200 | +600 |
Alexandre Lacazette | ARS | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3300 | +3300 | +4000 | +4000 |
Anthony Martial | MUN | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3300 | +2500 | +2000 | +2000 |
Neal Maupay | BHA | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3300 | +3300 | +10000 | +10000 |
Bruno Fernandes | MUN | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4000 | +3300 | +2500 | +1600 |
Tammy Abraham | CHE | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5000 | - | - | - |
Roberto Firmino | LIV | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5000 | +4000 | +4000 | +3300 |
Mason Greenwood | MUN | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5000 | +4000 | +3300 | +2500 |
Kai Havertz | CHE | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 | - |
Richarlison | EVE | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5000 | +8000 | +6600 | +6600 |
Callum Wilson | NEW | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5000 | +5000 | +4000 | - |
Michail Antonio | WHU | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6600 | +6600 | +8000 | +8000 |
Patrick Bamford | LEE | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6600 | +10000 | +8000 | +10000 |
Rhian Brewster | LIV | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6600 | +6600 | +6600 | - |
Kevin De Bruyne | MCI | 1 | 1 | 0 | +6600 | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 |
Aleksandar Mitrovic | FUL | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6600 | +6600 | - | - |
Christian Pulisic | CHE | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6600 | +6600 | +5000 | +5000 |
Riyad Mahrez | MCI | 1 | 0 | 0 | +8000 | +10000 | +8000 | +8000 |
Chris Wood | BUR | 1 | 0 | 0 | +8000 | +8000 | +8000 | +8000 |
Hakim Ziyech | CHE | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8000 | +8000 | +5000 | +5000 |
Gareth Bale | TOT | 0 | 0 | 0 | +10000 | +10000 | - | - |
Olivier Giroud | CHE | 0 | 0 | 0 | +10000 | +10000 | +6600 | +6600 |
Diogo Jota | WLV | 1 | 0 | 0 | +10000 | +10000 | +15000 | +15000 |
Sebastien Haller | WHU | 1 | 0 | 0 | +10000 | +15000 | +10000 | +10000 |
Edward Nketiah | ARS | 1 | 0 | 0 | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 |
Ollie Watkins | AVL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +10000 | +8000 | +8000 | - |
Wilfried Zaha | CRY | 3 | 1 | 0 | +10000 | +10000 | +15000 | +15000 |
Che Adams | SOU | 0 | 0 | 0 | +15000 | +15000 | +20000 | +20000 |
Jarrod Bowen | WHU | 2 | 0 | 0 | +15000 | +20000 | +20000 | +20000 |
Phil Foden | MCI | 1 | 0 | 0 | +15000 | +15000 | +10000 | +10000 |
Jack Grealish | AVL | 1 | 0 | 0 | +15000 | +15000 | +10000 | +10000 |
Lucas Moura | TOT | 1 | 0 | 0 | +15000 | +20000 | +20000 | - |
James Rodriguez | EVE | 1 | 0 | 0 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | - |
Donny van de Beek | MUN | 1 | 0 | 0 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | - |
Jordan Ayew | CRY | 0 | 0 | 0 | +20000 | +20000 | +20000 | +20000 |
Ashley Barnes | BUR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +20000 | +20000 | +15000 | +15000 |
Oliver McBurnie | SHU | 0 | 0 | 0 | +20000 | +20000 | +20000 | +20000 |
Moise Kean | EVE | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | +20000 | +15000 | +15000 |
Dele Alli | TOT | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | +20000 | +20000 | +20000 |
Paul Pogba | MUN | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | +20000 | +20000 | +20000 |
Jay Rodriguez | BUR | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | +20000 | +20000 | +20000 |
Bernardo Silva | MCI | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | +20000 | +20000 | +20000 |
David McGoldrick | SHU | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | +25000 | +25000 | +25000 |
Allan Saint-Maximin | NEW | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | +25000 | +25000 | +25000 |
Leandro Trossard | BHA | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | +25000 | +25000 | +25000 |
Miguel Almiron | NEW | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | +25000 | +25000 |
Dwight Gayle | NEW | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | +20000 | +20000 |
Kelechi Iheanacho | LEI | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | +15000 | +15000 |
Joelinton | NEW | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | +20000 | +20000 |
Naby Keita | LIV | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | +25000 | - |
Nicolas Pepe | ARS | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | +15000 | +15000 |