This article is part of our DraftKings Fantasy Soccer series.
MATCHES (ET)
- 12:00 pm: Switzerland vs. Spain
- 3:00 pm: Belgium vs. Italy
For detailed stats and odds, check out the
FORWARDS
Lorenzo Insigne, ITA v. BEL ($10,000): Despite his price, it'll be hard to go against Insigne in cash games. He's on the majority of set pieces for Italy and surprisingly went longer than both Ciro Immobile ($8,800) and Domenico Berardi ($9,200) last match. That was mainly because he was their best player, racking up four shots (two on target) and four chances created en route to a 14-point floor. The matchup isn't great, but there isn't much else to do for cash games. Ferran Torres ($9,600) is expensive for a forward without set pieces, especially since Pablo Sarabia is $7,300 on the other wing with set pieces. Torres is coming off a huge performance and will get in some crosses to help his floor, but he's not guaranteed for a full 90 and it's hard to see him matching the four chances created and seven crosses last match. For just $400 more, Insigne is on set pieces and does similar things for Italy. Otherwise, it's the two Italian guys and Alvaro Morata ($8,400). There's a chance Morata gets some looks in cash games after playing 120 minutes last match and because he's taken four shots each of the last three games, but he's not going to draw eight fouls again.
Breel Embolo, SUI v. ESP ($6,300): There isn't much else
MATCHES (ET)
- 12:00 pm: Switzerland vs. Spain
- 3:00 pm: Belgium vs. Italy
For detailed stats and odds, check out the
FORWARDS
Lorenzo Insigne, ITA v. BEL ($10,000): Despite his price, it'll be hard to go against Insigne in cash games. He's on the majority of set pieces for Italy and surprisingly went longer than both Ciro Immobile ($8,800) and Domenico Berardi ($9,200) last match. That was mainly because he was their best player, racking up four shots (two on target) and four chances created en route to a 14-point floor. The matchup isn't great, but there isn't much else to do for cash games. Ferran Torres ($9,600) is expensive for a forward without set pieces, especially since Pablo Sarabia is $7,300 on the other wing with set pieces. Torres is coming off a huge performance and will get in some crosses to help his floor, but he's not guaranteed for a full 90 and it's hard to see him matching the four chances created and seven crosses last match. For just $400 more, Insigne is on set pieces and does similar things for Italy. Otherwise, it's the two Italian guys and Alvaro Morata ($8,400). There's a chance Morata gets some looks in cash games after playing 120 minutes last match and because he's taken four shots each of the last three games, but he's not going to draw eight fouls again.
Breel Embolo, SUI v. ESP ($6,300): There isn't much else to like at forward unless you want Romelu Lukaku ($8,000) against Italy. I'd rather go to Switzerland, who should get some chances to score. Spain were susceptible against Croatia, while Switzerland never truly looked outmatched against France. Haris Seferovic ($6,500) will be more popular because of his goals, but that's about all of his fantasy value. He's there to head in goals and otherwise probably won't see the ball much. It's different for Embolo even if he has less upside; he's had a solid floor in three of four matches, and while he didn't make the score-sheet against France, he drew a few fouls and hit seven points. If he does the same again, that's not great, but it'll do the job because you could spend more on Lukaku and Immobile and get worse numbers.
MIDFIELDERS
Pablo Sarabia, ESP v. SUI ($7,300): With Kevin De Bruyne ($8,500) unlikely to start, there are massive questions in the midfield. Yannick Carrasco ($6,800) and Dries Mertens ($6,400) are both in play to start again, but neither has shown a positive in this tournament despite what could be a split role on set pieces. Xherdan Shaqiri ($6,700) is intriguing for tournaments, but as seen in the France match, if Switzerland don't get set pieces, he's not going to have much of a floor in addition to likely not playing more than 80 minutes. That's where Sarabia comes in, splitting sets to go with two goals and an assist the last two matches. Since he's moved into the XI, Spain's attack has looked more threatening, and he's still much cheaper than the other Spanish forwards. If, for some reason, you don't like Sarabia, Koke ($6,100) is the other option, though you can use both. Koke has been one of the more reliable plays of the tournament. He doesn't have much upside, but you know he'll get a few corners and if, all goes well, his floor will be around 10 points. As the biggest favorite on this slate, it makes sense to stack the Spain set-piece takers and build everything around them.
Marco Verratti, ITA v. BEL ($5,200): It's kind of a wasteland outside of the Spanish midfielders. The good news is that Verratti is pretty cheap given what he's provided in two matches. The full 90 and set pieces may not be there, but he's been playing somewhat as an attacking midfielder, and that led to four chances created, four fouls drawn and a 12-point floor in 67 minutes against Austria. There are plenty of tournament options in this range, namely Thorgan Hazard ($5,800), who has scored in two straight, as brother Eden Hazard ($5,300) is unlikely to play. Steven Zuber ($4,800) is another GPP option, but he didn't do much outside of an assist last match, and he appears to be an early sub candidate. Verratti seems like the safer play as a favorite and with more opportunities to produce from the midfield.
Sergio Busquets, ESP v. SUI ($3,400): I already mentioned all of the possibilities and the only players left are defensive midfielders. I've been on Jorginho ($3,900) and Granit Xhaka ($3,600) the past couple slates and Jorginho is a fine option again (Xhaka is suspended), but you can get similar numbers with other defensive midfielders. Busquets doesn't scream attacking prowess, but he's producing positive numbers and created three chances in two matches. That's kind of it. Pedri ($3,800) has a touch more upside, maybe, while Remo Freuler ($3,300), Axel Witsel ($3,000) and possibly Denis Zakaria ($3,000) are as cheap as it gets for expected starters. Witsel will get looks because of his price, but his attacking numbers seem more widespread than the other guys, and there's also a chance he doesn't start again having just returned from a ruptured Achilles.
DEFENDERS
Leonardo Spinazzola, ITA v. BEL ($5,000): It's assumed Jordi Alba ($5,800) will be back in the starting XI, but I still don't like spending that much on him or Cesar Azpilicueta ($5,200). Those guys have gotten forward a decent amount in the Euros, but their floors are just as likely to finish below five points as they are to finish above 10. As for Spinazzola, he's in the same boat as the Spaniards without a guaranteed floor, but he's cheaper. He's gotten up the field a ton in three starts, producing six shots, five chances created and nine crosses. This is a tougher matchup, but it's not like Belgium will dominate possession and limit chances. After scoring against Portugal, they were on the back foot the rest of the way, allowing 23 shots and 22 crosses. If you prefer a cheaper wing-back, Thomas Meunier ($4,700) is at a reasonable price given his position and how much Belgium need added attacking help. If you don't have enough money for Spinazzola, Giovanni Di Lorenzo ($4,500) is cheaper for slightly less upside.
Eric Garcia, ESP v. SUI ($2,900): Spain have the best odds for a clean sheet and you can get one of their center-backs for almost minimum price. Whether it's Garcia or Pau Torres ($3,000), Spain play in the early match so you'll know. If you want the Italian stack, Leonardo Bonucci ($3,400) is a few hundred bucks more, while Giorgio Chiellini ($3,000) has a slight chance to return from injury. If you don't like center-backs, I'd keep an eye on Kevin Mbabu ($4,000), as he has a chance to start over Silvan Widmer ($3,800). Ricardo Rodriguez ($4,400) had his penalty saved last match and finished with 5.1 fantasy points as a center-back with corners.
GOALKEEPER
Gianluigi Donnarumma, ITA v. BEL ($5,000): Similar to prior slates, goalkeeper is going to be a toss up. Some will try and squeeze Unai Simon ($5,600) in, but after watching Spain under pressure last match, I'll go elsewhere. Italy haven't allowed a goal in regular time in their last 12 matches (they gave up a goal to Austria in extra time). I'll bet on Donnarumma against Belgium, who may not have De Bruyne or Hazard. When De Bruyne wasn't playing, the Belgians noticeably struggled without any play-makers.