Week 13 is already well underway with a very interesting Thanksgiving slate behind us. The rest of the slate is upcoming, and some of the best Underdog Pick' Em selections are highlighted below. For those looking to research picks of their own, these resources are particularly useful:
Individual player stats - https://www.rotowire.com/football/player-stats.php?view=receiving
Defense vs. Position stats- https://www.rotowire.com/football/defense-vs-pos.php?scoringtype=ppr
For those new to Underdog and looking to get in on the action, use the promo code ROTONFL at the following link for a bonus on your first deposit.
Higher
Troy Franklin 
at WAS - higher than 45.5 receiving yards
Franklin has overtaken Courtland Sutton as the top pass catcher in Denver, drawing a minimum of eight targets in five straight games. That's led to inconsistent stat lines, but this is a matchup that should lead to some efficiency from Franklin. The Commanders have allowed a league-high 9.81 yards per target to opposing wide receivers this season. That should lead to success through the air for Denver, and Franklin should play a significant role.
Devin Neal 
at MIA - higher than 35.5 rushing yards
Neal has been questionable with an ankle injury, and he practiced in limited fashion Wednesday and Thursday, so follow news regarding his status closely over the weekend. Assuming, he can suit up, Neal should be on the better side of a split backfield in the absence of Alvin Kamara (knee). Neal hasn't been particularly efficient in his very limited opportunity this season, but 10 to 12 carries should be enough for Neal to go over this projection even if he struggles to pick up chunk yardage.
Dalton Schultz 
at IND - higher than 40.5 receiving yards
Schultz has stepped up in the Houston offense to become one of the primary targets, complementing Nico Collins. He struggled in a very tough matchup against the Bills, but he has otherwise topped this projection in five of his last six games. The return of C.J. Stroud should upgrade the offense, and the Colts have been susceptible to opposing tight ends by allowing the sixth-most yards per target and the third-most yards overall. There's some concern that Stroud changes the distribution of targets in the offense, but the matchup and Schultz's recent production outweigh those concerns.
John Metchie 
vs. ATL - higher than 37.5 receiving yards
Metchie has quickly turned into a full-time receiver for the Jets and their de facto top pass catcher. With Tyrod Taylor running at least a semi-competent passing game in Week 12, Metchie tied for the team lead in targets and led the team with six catches. Taylor will under center again in Week 13, and Metchie should remain his top target. A matchup against Atlanta is roughly league average, but this selection is more about Metchie's projected role.
Tyler Lockett 
at LAC – higher than 28.5 receiving yards
Lockett isn't the most exciting player to root for, and his role in the Las Vegas offense doesn't make much sense given the current state of the team. The reality is that he's emerged as one of the better targets in the Raiders' offense, picking up 14 combined targets across his last three games while topping this projection on all three occasions. The Chargers are a strong defense so it's possible that the Raiders offense is nearly entirely shut down, though this projection s low enough that going higher still makes sense.
Lower
Daniel Jones 
vs. HOU – lower than 220.5 passing yards
The Texans have been among the toughest matchups for opposing passing games, limiting opposing passers to 6.20 yards per attempt –the second-lowest mark in the league. That's translated to eight of the 11 quarterbacks they've faced this season producing less than 220 passing yards. Since Week 3, only one quarterback has gone over this projection (Josh Allen in Week 12). Meanwhile, Jones has started to display some of the inefficiency that has plagued him throughout his time with the Giants. He's also playing with a broken fibula, which will almost certainly limit his effectiveness.
Rico Dowdle 
vs. LAR - lower than 60.5 rushing yards
Dowdle took the league by storm and wrestled away the lead running-back role from Chuba Hubbard in Carolina in Weeks 5 and 6. He's slowed considerably from there, however, and has specifically been held under 55 rushing yards in four of his last five games. That alone is concerning, and the matchup only adds to it. The Rams have consistently bottled up opposing running backs to the tune of 3.77 yards per carry this season – the fourth-lowest mark of the league. Finally, the Panthers will almost certainly have to be relatively aggressive with their passing game to keep pace with the Rams' prolific offense, taking touches away from Dowdle and potentially getting Hubbard onto the field more often.
Max Brosmer 
at Seattle - lower than 176.5 passing yards
Brosmer is set to receive his first NFL start with JJ McCarthy ruled out. It's difficult to imagine a much tougher spot to make that appearance than at Seattle against one of the top defenses in the league. There isn't much deeper analysis given the non-existent sample of Brosmer in the NFL, though he went undrafted in the 2025 NFL draft. The quarterback play in Minnesota has the chance to go from bad to worse this offseason.
