Colts at Jaguars Betting Odds, Picks and Predictions for Week 14
A matchup with significant playoff implications in Week 14 features the Jaguars hosting the Colts. Both teams are tied atop the AFC South with 8-4 records. Right behind them are the Texans, who sit at 7-5. Let's look at the betting side of this game and highlight three wagers to consider.
Mike Barner's season record: 41-37 (-4.30 units)
Colts at Jaguars Betting Odds
Jaguars: Spread +2 (-110 Fanatics), +110 Moneyline (Bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Fanatics)
Colts: Spread -1.5 (-110 Bet365, BetMGM), -124 Moneyline (FanDuel)
Game Total: Over 46.5 (-110 Bet365), Under 47 (-110 BetMGM, Fanatics)
The most notable injuries heading into this game are on the defensive side. Arik Armstead (hand) and Travon Walker (knee) both sat out last week for the Jaguars and have yet to be cleared for Sunday. However, they have practiced on a limited basis this week, which is promising. The Colts continue to play without Sauce Gardner (calf) and DeForest Buckner (neck).
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Colts at Jaguars Betting Picks
Colts RB Jonathan Taylor - Under 20.5 rush attempts (-114 FanDuel)
In a difficult matchup against the Texans last week, Taylor ran 21 times for 85 yards. It marked the third time over the last four games that he was held to below 90 rushing yards. Taylor has surpassed 20 carries in a game just four times this season. All four of those games were at home.
The Colts haven't been as impressive on the road as they have at home. They are 6-1 at home, but 2-3 on the road. Since they generally haven't been building big leads on the road, they haven't been able to use Taylor as heavily to salt away the clock. The Jaguars have allowed the fewest rushing yards per game in the league, which has contributed to teams running against them just 253 times. That's the fewest in the NFL. This is not lining up to be one of Taylor's busier rushing games of the season.
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Colts WR Alec Pierce - 50+ receiving yards (-136 FanDuel)
Pierce caught four of five targets for 78 yards and a touchdown versus the Texans. It was a great bounce-back performance, considering that the Chiefs held him to one catch the week prior. Generally, Pierce has been productive. With regards to this prop, he has finished with at least 50 receiving yards in seven of his 10 games.
Pierce has only accounted for 16.0 percent of the Colts' targets this season. He has still been able to rack up yards because he has an average depth of target of 19.2 yards. It could only take three or four receptions for Pierce to surpass 50 receiving yards again.
Jaguars WR Jakobi Meyers - 50+ receiving yards (-136 FanDuel)
The return of Brian Thomas Jr. last week did not hinder Meyers. Thomas was only targeted three times, while Meyers was given six targets. Meyers caught all of them for 90 yards and one touchdown. Meyers has finished with at least 50 receiving yards in three of four games with the Jaguars. The one time he didn't, he had 41 receiving yards against a Texans team that has allowed the fourth-fewest passing yards per game in the league.
This is a much easier matchup against the Colts, who acquired Gardner from the Jets to try and shore up their porous secondary. They have given up the sixth-most passing yards per game in the league. They have also allowed the fourth-most receptions to wide receivers. With Gardner out, Meyers is in a position to be productive again.
Colts at Jaguars Prediction
After a hot start, the Colts are 1-3 over their last four games. The Jaguars are trending in the other direction, winning four of their last five. Daniel Jones has been his most productive when he uses his legs to help boost his team's offense. With him battling a fractured fibula, he ran just one time for one yard against the Texans last week. His limited mobility could be a deciding factor in this matchup.
Score Prediction: Jaguars 24, Colts 20
