This article is part of our NFL Picks series.
Navigating the gambling field for this weekend is a little bit trickier with six teams on bye. Let's take a look at some wagers to consider for the smaller slate of games.
GAMES
Cincinnati Bengals +6.5 at Baltimore Ravens - The Bengals have covered this spread in every game this season (losing their two games by three points each) so I almost smell a trap here. That being said, it's a divisional game and this is not as strong of a defensive team as Baltimore has had in the past. I think this could be a sneaky high scoring game given the offenses and I don't mind taking the Bengals and over (46) in a parlay. If you want some added security with the points you can grab Cincinnati +7.5 at -140 odds.
Miami Dolphins +115 ML vs. Atlanta Falcons - I love Brian Flores as a head coach and think taking the money line over the 2.5 points (-115) makes more sense given I don't think the points will come into play. Tua Tagovailoa looked sharp in his return last week and the Falcons defense hasn't really stopped anyone this season giving up 29.6 points per game to opposing teams (Jets, Giants, WTF account for three of those games).
Houston Texans +18 at Arizona Cardinals - I faded Arizona at Cleveland last week but any team getting 18 points should cover this spread more times than not. There's a chance here that Arizona is looking ahead to their Thursday night showdown with the Packers and not taking this matchup seriously. Houston has covered this spread in three of their five games this season.
PLAYER PROPS
Daniel Jones OVER 19.5 Rushing Yards - This number is low this week after Jones rushed for only 13 yards the last two games. He's gone over this number in his first four games of the season and it's worth noting that he left the game with a concussion two weeks ago limiting his rushes. This prop could easily be safely over by halftime although we always have to remember the Super Bowl debacle with Patrick Mahomes and his rushing prop the year they won.
Rhamondre Stevenson OVER 41.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards - Stevenson appears to be getting more touches and hit the over number here last week with 62 yards from scrimmage. Damien Harris is still the top dog but seems to get hurt at some point during the game so the Patriots may limit his usage until he's completely healthy.
PLAYER TOUCHDOWNS
Derrick Henry Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-225) - This game has an over/under of 57.5 and Henry has scored in four out of six games this season. Kansas City has allowed the second-most rushing touchdowns this season (nine) and it's hard seeing them slowing him down considering all of the big games he's had this season. I don't like the odds but it also feels like this should be more like -300 so there's an opportunity to take advantage of it.
Zach Ertz +240 - Houston has been terrible at defending the tight end position this season allowing a league-high 0.8 touchdowns to the opposing team. Ertz has seemed to pick up the offense quickly and the Cardinals are expected to score a bunch of points in this contest. I'd rather target Ertz at these odds than A.J. Green (+190) or Christian Kirk (+150).