Denver Broncos Win Total 2025
The NFL win totals 2025 market has set the Denver Broncos at 9.5 wins, with +100 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. But after a 10-win season in 2024, and major offseason improvements on both sides of the ball, betting the over makes for one of the strongest values on the board.
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Why Denver Can Build Off 2024's Foundation
Last year, Denver overcame serious offensive limitations to reach double-digit wins. The rushing attack underwhelmed despite a quality offensive line, and the trio of Javonte Williams, Jaleel McLaughlin, and Audric Estime failed to generate yards after contact or consistently break tackles.
That led to a trial-by-fire debut for rookie quarterback Bo Nix, who held his own but was clearly adjusting to the NFL. Meanwhile, wide receiver Marvin Mims wasn't featured heavily until the second half of the season, limiting the offense's explosiveness.
Even with those issues, Sean Payton managed the team brilliantly. With better personnel in place for 2025, the arrow is pointing up.
Denver's Dominant Defense
Denver's defense was solid in 2024 but lacked the physicality to match elite offenses. That should change this season.
The Broncos added tone-setters Dre Greenlaw and Talanoa Hufanga in free agency, both of whom bring a toughness and leadership edge. In the draft, they used a first-round pick on cornerback Jahdae Barron, bolstering a secondary that already performed well last year.
With most of last season's core returning, and now surrounded by reinforcements, this could be a top-tier unit in both pressure rate and coverage.
Stay updated on Denver's defensive depth and personnel shifts with our NFL depth charts.
Denver's Offense On The Rise
On offense, the Broncos addressed multiple areas of need. J.K. Dobbins and RJ Harvey were added to revamp the backfield. Mims is expected to carry momentum from last season's breakout stretch, and tight end Evan Engram joins as a reliable target to stabilize the position.
Bo Nix now has experience, comfort in the system, and a vastly improved supporting cast. With Courtland Sutton signed to a long-term deal, Denver's receiving corps has continuity and upside.
Coach Payton's fingerprints are all over this roster- both in scheme and personnel. That continuity matters.
Broncos Schedule Sets Up Nicely
Denver benefits from several marquee matchups being played at home, including games against the Chiefs, Packers, Bengals, and Cowboys at high altitude.
The rest of the schedule includes winnable games against the Jets, Giants, Titans, Jaguars, and two matchups with the Raiders. Even with modest improvement, it's not hard to project a 10-win season from a team that already hit that mark in 2024.
Use our real-time NFL projections to evaluate how Denver stacks up week to week.
Final Verdict: Broncos Over 9.5 Is a Value Play
The Broncos are built to win now. With elite coaching, a significantly upgraded defense, and a deeper offensive unit, this roster has the upside to push for a playoff berth, and the consistency to beat their win total.
Getting NFL over and under wins bets at plus money on a 10-win team from last year is a rare opportunity. Back the Broncos to go over 9.5 wins at FanDuel at +100 odds.
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