2024 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
2025 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Cavalli represents a cautionary tale for those looking to invest in young pitchers expected to return from Tommy John surgery this summer. He was due back in June of 2024 -- 15 months after his TJS -- but he experienced setbacks and dead arm and only pitched 8.1 innings across three rehab starts before getting shut down. At his best, Cavalli is a power righty with a full pitch mix and a high-strikeout ceiling as a starter, but it's possible he'll never fully return to form or that he could just end up a reliever due to durability issues. Cavalli's command was never a strength, and that's the last thing to return for pitchers returning from surgery, so he could have quite a bit of rust to knock off. The Nationals will continue to explore his potential in the big-league rotation in 2025, although he may be eased into things at Triple-A. Read Past Outlooks
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Could be factor in second half
Cavalli will have his workload managed in the early part of the season, with the goal being to have him in the big-league rotation later in the year, Jessica Camerato of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The 26-year-old right-hander has pitched just 8.1 innings over the last two seasons after undergoing Tommy John surgery in March 2023, but Cavalli is healthy to begin spring training and threw a bullpen session Thursday. "When you see him throw and he's healthy and in the right frame of mind and the right shape, the sky's the limit for that guy," general manager Mike Rizzo said Thursday. "His first bullpen today was terrific, and we're just going to take it slow with him. But to have him healthy and pitching like he's capable of is exciting to me." A first-round pick in 2020, Cavalli displayed his upside in 2022 when he posted a 3.71 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 104:39 K:BB over 97 Triple-A innings, and he's expected to get a chance to regain that form with Triple-A Rochester to begin the current campaign before the Nats give him another crack at big-league hitters.
The 26-year-old right-hander has pitched just 8.1 innings over the last two seasons after undergoing Tommy John surgery in March 2023, but Cavalli is healthy to begin spring training and threw a bullpen session Thursday. "When you see him throw and he's healthy and in the right frame of mind and the right shape, the sky's the limit for that guy," general manager Mike Rizzo said Thursday. "His first bullpen today was terrific, and we're just going to take it slow with him. But to have him healthy and pitching like he's capable of is exciting to me." A first-round pick in 2020, Cavalli displayed his upside in 2022 when he posted a 3.71 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 104:39 K:BB over 97 Triple-A innings, and he's expected to get a chance to regain that form with Triple-A Rochester to begin the current campaign before the Nats give him another crack at big-league hitters.
Pitching Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-48%
BAA vs LHP
2024
No Stats
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .200 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .385 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | |||
2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2023vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2023vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2022vs Left | .200 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||
2022vs Right | .385 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-100%
ERA on Road
2024
No Stats
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 14.54 | 1.85 | 4.1 | 12.5 | 4.2 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2023Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2023Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2022Home | 14.54 | 1.85 | 4.1 | 12.5 | 4.2 | ||||
2022Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
Cavalli needed Tommy John surgery in March of 2023, but he is doing well in his recovery and is on track to join the Nationals' rotation sometime this summer. It's easy to dismiss most Nationals starting pitchers in fantasy these days, but Cavalli has legitimate pedigree (2020 first rounder) and stuff. His fastball is a monster upper-90s offering that has touched triple digits in the past, and he pairs it with a plus curveball, above-average slider and a decent fourth-pitch changeup. Cavalli only has fringe-average command, and command can be the last thing to return for pitchers after TJS. If he is struggling to throw consistent strikes during his rehab assignment, that would diminish his waiver-wire appeal, but it's possible he will be a mixed-league option as early as June.
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Deemed healthy for spring
Manager Dave Martinez said Wednesday that Cavalli (elbow) is healthy, but the Nationals plan to manage the right-hander's workload this season, Andrew Golden of The Washington Post reports. "He had a good winter," Martinez said of Cavalli. "He looks great. We know he's going to be limited in how many innings he pitches this year, so we want to make sure when he does get out there, we do have him the whole season."
ANALYSIS
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Not returning this season
Nationals manager Dave Martinez said Tuesday that Cavalli (elbow) will continue to work through his throwing program but won't pitch in games before the end of the season, Andrew Golden of The Washington Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throwing bullpen session
Cavalli (elbow/arm) will throw a 20-to-25 pitch bullpen session Tuesday, Bobby Blanco of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Rehabbing in FCL
Cavalli (elbow) reported to the Nationals' Florida Complex League affiliate Tuesday, Bobby Blanco of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Resuming rehab assignment
Cavalli (elbow/illness) was sent to High-A Wilmington on Thursday to resume his rehab assignment.
ANALYSIS
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Debut coming
Cavalli could make his big-league debut as early as this weekend, reports Bobby Blanco of MASNSports.com.
ANALYSIS
Washington has yet to announce its starters for the weekend series against the Reds, but when they do, Cavalli's name could be listed as one of the probable starters. Should the 24-year-old make his debut, he is likely to retain his rookie status for next season, which could result in draft pick compensation for the Nationals if he's one of the top rookies in the league in 2023. Cavalli has strong numbers for Triple-A Rochester this season and has been dominant over his last 13 starts, going 5-1 with a 2.10 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 77:25 K:BB in 68.2 innings while allowing just two homers.
Washington has yet to announce its starters for the weekend series against the Reds, but when they do, Cavalli's name could be listed as one of the probable starters. Should the 24-year-old make his debut, he is likely to retain his rookie status for next season, which could result in draft pick compensation for the Nationals if he's one of the top rookies in the league in 2023. Cavalli has strong numbers for Triple-A Rochester this season and has been dominant over his last 13 starts, going 5-1 with a 2.10 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 77:25 K:BB in 68.2 innings while allowing just two homers.