This article is part of our Weekly Pitcher Rankings series.
Spreadsheets with cool algorithms coding geeky formulas have their purpose, including driving these rankings. Admittedly, I don't have a column quantifying the mindset of a pitcher leaving a poor environment for a better one. Sure, I can adjust for league and venue, but the rest is speculation.
A perfect example is Dylan Cease. On a Tuesday in mid-March, Cease went to sleep as a member of the White Sox, thinking about spending another season with a bad team while working half of his games in a power-enhancing hitter's park. The following Wednesday, Cease was headed to the Padres and the warm and cozy confines of Petco Park. Cease would no longer have to nibble. He didn't have to either strike everyone out or induce a grounder. Cease could let his stuff do the work.
I didn't have to follow the formulaic translations... and didn't. But the positive effect of the change in scenery wasn't measurable. What can be quantified is a career-low 7.2 percent walk rate. He's generating few ground balls, but his home run rate has dropped. Kudos to those using some logic to bump Cease up their spring draft sheets after the trade.
UPDATED: Monday June 10, 1:00 AM ET
Week of June 10 - 16
Mixed League
Rank | Pitcher | TM | OPP | Comments | MIX12 | MIX15 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dylan Cease | SD | OAK, @NYM | Pitching better than 0-2 with a 5.00 ERA over last three GS suggests | ||
2 | Corbin Burnes | BAL | @TB, PHI | Strikeouts a tick down, but |
Spreadsheets with cool algorithms coding geeky formulas have their purpose, including driving these rankings. Admittedly, I don't have a column quantifying the mindset of a pitcher leaving a poor environment for a better one. Sure, I can adjust for league and venue, but the rest is speculation.
A perfect example is Dylan Cease. On a Tuesday in mid-March, Cease went to sleep as a member of the White Sox, thinking about spending another season with a bad team while working half of his games in a power-enhancing hitter's park. The following Wednesday, Cease was headed to the Padres and the warm and cozy confines of Petco Park. Cease would no longer have to nibble. He didn't have to either strike everyone out or induce a grounder. Cease could let his stuff do the work.
I didn't have to follow the formulaic translations... and didn't. But the positive effect of the change in scenery wasn't measurable. What can be quantified is a career-low 7.2 percent walk rate. He's generating few ground balls, but his home run rate has dropped. Kudos to those using some logic to bump Cease up their spring draft sheets after the trade.
UPDATED: Monday June 10, 1:00 AM ET
Week of June 10 - 16
Mixed League
Rank | Pitcher | TM | OPP | Comments | MIX12 | MIX15 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dylan Cease | SD | OAK, @NYM | Pitching better than 0-2 with a 5.00 ERA over last three GS suggests | ||
2 | Corbin Burnes | BAL | @TB, PHI | Strikeouts a tick down, but still one of the best | ||
3 | Zack Wheeler | PHI | @BOS, @BAL | |||
4 | Logan Gilbert | SEA | CWS, TEX | |||
5 | Garrett Crochet | CWS | @SEA | First SP to be on hug watch? | ||
6 | Tyler Glasnow | LAD | KC | |||
7 | Bryan Woo | SEA | CWS, TEX | |||
8 | Chris Sale | ATL | TB | |||
9 | Tarik Skubal | DET | @HOU | |||
10 | Sonny Gray | STL | PIT | |||
11 | Freddy Peralta | MIL | CIN | |||
12 | Joe Ryan | MIN | OAK | |||
13 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | TEX | |||
14 | Jesus Luzardo | MIA | @NYM, @WAS | |||
15 | Max Fried | ATL | @BAL | Should benefit from extra rest, but a tough pair | ||
16 | Zach Eflin | TB | CHC, @ATL | |||
17 | Justin Steele | CHC | @TB | |||
18 | Carlos Rodon | NYY | @KC, @BOS | |||
19 | Kevin Gausman | TOR | CLE | |||
20 | George Kirby | SEA | TEX | |||
21 | Luis Castillo | SEA | CWS | |||
22 | Bryce Miller | SEA | CWS | |||
23 | Michael King | SD | OAK | |||
24 | Tanner Houck | BOS | PHI | Great heat check to see if he's for real (he is) | ||
25 | Jose Berrios | TOR | @MIL, CLE | 4.28 xFIP indicates 2.80 ERA is high, only fanning 6.7 K/9 | ||
26 | Nathan Eovaldi | TEX | @SEA | |||
27 | Erick Fedde | CWS | @SEA, @ARI | Should continue to increase trade stock | ||
28 | Luis Gil | NYY | @BOS | |||
29 | Aaron Nola | PHI | @BOS | |||
30 | Drew Thorpe | CWS | @SEA, @ARI | 0% | 2% | |
31 | Framber Valdez | HOU | @SF | |||
32 | Ryan Pepiot | TB | BAL, @ATL | |||
33 | Seth Lugo | KC | NYY, @LAD | |||
34 | Tanner Bibee | CLE | @CIN | |||
35 | Kyle Bradish | BAL | PHI | |||
36 | Logan Webb | SF | HOU | |||
37 | Reynaldo Lopez | ATL | @BAL | |||
38 | JP Sears | OAK | @SD, @MIN | 34% | ||
39 | Ranger Suarez | PHI | @BAL | |||
40 | Bailey Ober | MIN | OAK | Beginning a run of five soft starts | ||
41 | Paul Skenes | PIT | @STL, @COL | Coors, Schmoors. Now I want a S'more. | ||
42 | Grayson Rodriguez | BAL | PHI | |||
43 | Cole Ragans | KC | @LAD | |||
44 | Jake Irvin | WAS | @DET | Quietly effective, 26 K in 24.1 IP over last three starts | 35% | |
45 | Shota Imanaga | CHC | STL | Only 4.1 IP in each of last two starts | ||
46 | David Peterson | NYM | MIA | 12% | ||
47 | Luis Severino | NYM | MIA | |||
48 | Nick Lodolo | CIN | CLE | |||
49 | Braxton Garrett | MIA | @NYM | |||
50 | Dane Dunning | TEX | @LAD, @SEA | |||
51 | Mitch Keller | PIT | @STL | 2.62 ERA, 1.17 WHIP with 66K and 18 BB in 68.2 IP since rough first two outings | ||
52 | Marcus Stroman | NYY | @KC, @BOS | |||
53 | Mitchell Parker | WAS | @DET, MIA | |||
54 | Nick Pivetta | BOS | PHI | |||
55 | Jack Flaherty | DET | @HOU | Appears to have escaped injury scare with his back | ||
56 | Chris Paddack | MIN | COL, OAK | In a rut, but this pair could be the panacea | ||
57 | Hunter Greene | CIN | @MIL | |||
58 | Andrew Heaney | TEX | @SEA | 14% | ||
59 | Bobby Miller | LAD | KC | |||
60 | Pablo Lopez | MIN | COL | Perfect pair to right the ship | ||
61 | Justin Verlander | HOU | DET | |||
62 | Simeon Woods Richardson | MIN | OAK | 44% | ||
63 | Ronel Blanco | HOU | @SF | |||
64 | Hunter Brown | HOU | DET | |||
65 | Javier Assad | CHC | @TB | |||
66 | Bailey Falter | PIT | @STL | 10% | ||
67 | Matt Waldron | SD | @NYM | |||
68 | Andrew Abbott | CIN | @MIL | |||
69 | Brandon Pfaadt | ARI | LAA | |||
70 | Ben Brown | CHC | STL | |||
71 | Ben Lively | CLE | @TOR | |||
72 | Spencer Howard | SF | LAA | 0% | 9% | |
73 | Kutter Crawford | BOS | PHI, NYY | |||
74 | Reese Olson | DET | WAS | |||
75 | MacKenzie Gore | WAS | @DET | |||
76 | Miles Mikolas | STL | PIT, @CHC | 5% | 39% | |
77 | Charlie Morton | ATL | TB | |||
78 | Nick Martinez | CIN | CLE | 1% | 9% | |
79 | Mix 12 Reliever | |||||
80 | Keaton Winn | SF | LAA | 3% | 46% | |
81 | Max Meyer | MIA | @WAS | 14% | ||
82 | Cal Quantrill | COL | @MIN | 10% | ||
83 | Spencer Arrighetti | HOU | @SF, DET | 28% | ||
84 | Jordan Hicks | SF | HOU | |||
85 | Nestor Cortes | NYY | @KC | |||
86 | Taj Bradley | TB | CHC | |||
87 | Aaron Civale | TB | CHC | |||
88 | Cristopher Sanchez | PHI | @BOS | |||
89 | Chris Bassitt | TOR | @MIL | |||
90 | Yusei Kikuchi | TOR | @MIL | |||
91 | Triston McKenzie | CLE | @CIN | |||
92 | Mix 15 Reliever | |||||
93 | Lance Lynn | STL | PIT | |||
94 | Tylor Megill | NYM | MIA, SD | |||
95 | Kenta Maeda | DET | WAS, @HOU | 16% | ||
96 | Jon Gray | TEX | @LAD | |||
97 | Jose Soriano | LAA | @ARI | |||
98 | Jameson Taillon | CHC | @TB, STL | |||
99 | Griffin Canning | LAA | @ARI | 7% | ||
100 | Walker Buehler | LAD | TEX | |||
101 | Jared Jones | PIT | @COL | |||
102 | Brady Singer | KC | NYY, @LAD | |||
103 | DJ Herz | WAS | MIA | 0% | 0% | |
104 | Mitch Spence | OAK | @MIN | 0% | 18% | |
105 | Gavin Stone | LAD | KC | |||
106 | Tyler Anderson | LAA | @SF | |||
107 | Sean Manaea | NYM | SD | |||
108 | Chase Silseth | LAA | @SF | 4% | 14% | |
109 | Jordan Montgomery | ARI | LAA, CWS | |||
110 | Kyle Gibson | STL | @CHC | 40% | ||
111 | Bowden Francis | TOR | CLE | 0% | 19% | |
112 | Michael Lorenzen | TEX | @LAD | 50% | ||
113 | Bryse Wilson | MIL | CIN | 9% | ||
114 | Trevor Rogers | MIA | @WAS | 5% | 23% | |
115 | Austin Gomber | COL | @MIN | 8% | 28% | |
116 | Cody Poteet | NYY | @KC | 3% | 40% | |
117 | Hogan Harris | OAK | @SD | 0% | 7% | |
118 | Colin Rea | MIL | TOR, CIN | 5% | ||
119 | Frankie Montas | CIN | @MIL | 45% | ||
120 | Jose Quintana | NYM | SD | 9% | 26% | |
121 | Randy Vasquez | SD | OAK | 0% | 7% | |
122 | Cole Irvin | BAL | ATL | |||
123 | Joey Estes | OAK | @SD, @MIN | 3% | ||
124 | Kyle Harrison | SF | HOU, LAA | |||
125 | Albert Suarez | BAL | ATL | 33% | ||
126 | Zack Littell | TB | @ATL | |||
127 | Andre Pallante | STL | @CHC | 0% | 9% | |
128 | Luis Medina | OAK | @MIN | 0% | 0% | |
129 | Hurston Waldrep | ATL | TB | 0% | 0% | |
130 | Dakota Hudson | COL | @MIN, PIT | 0% | 0% | |
131 | Taijuan Walker | PHI | @BAL | 3% | ||
132 | Chris Flexen | CWS | @ARI | 0% | 0% | |
133 | Adam Mazur | SD | @NYM | 0% | 0% | |
134 | Carlos Rodriguez | MIL | TOR | 0% | 0% | |
135 | Casey Mize | DET | WAS | 30% | ||
136 | Cade Povich | BAL | ATL | 0% | 0% | |
137 | James Paxton | LAD | TEX | |||
138 | Patrick Sandoval | LAA | @SF | 21% | ||
139 | Brayan Bello | BOS | NYY | |||
140 | Luis Ortiz | PIT | @COL | 0% | 2% | |
141 | Caleb Boushley | MIN | COL | 0% | 0% | |
142 | Logan Allen | CLE | @TOR | 0% | 0% | |
143 | Jonathan Cannon | CWS | @SEA | 0% | 0% | |
144 | Slade Cecconi | ARI | LAA | 0% | 19% | |
145 | Roddery Munoz | MIA | @NYM | 0% | 0% | |
146 | Alec Marsh | KC | NYY | |||
147 | Carlos Carrasco | CLE | @TOR | 0% | 5% | |
148 | Ryan Feltner | COL | PIT | 2% | 7% | |
149 | Tobias Myers | MIL | TOR | 0% | 9% | |
150 | Spencer Schwellenbach | ATL | @BAL | 34% | ||
151 | Tommy Henry | ARI | CWS | 0% | 0% | |
152 | Daniel Lynch | KC | NYY | 0% | 2% | |
153 | Patrick Corbin | WAS | MIA | 0% | 0% | |
154 | Jose Suarez | LAA | @ARI | 0% | 0% | |
155 | Ryne Nelson | ARI | CWS | 2% | 46% | |
156 | Cooper Criswell | BOS | NYY | 50% | ||
157 | Ty Blach | COL | PIT | 0% | 4% |
American League
Rank | Pitcher | TM | OPP | Comment |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Corbin Burnes | BAL | @TB, PHI | Strikeouts a tick down, but still one of the best |
2 | Logan Gilbert | SEA | CWS, TEX | |
3 | Garrett Crochet | CWS | @SEA | First SP to be on hug watch? |
4 | Bryan Woo | SEA | CWS, TEX | |
5 | Tarik Skubal | DET | @HOU | |
6 | Joe Ryan | MIN | OAK | |
7 | Zach Eflin | TB | CHC, @ATL | |
8 | Carlos Rodon | NYY | @KC, @BOS | |
9 | Kevin Gausman | TOR | CLE | |
10 | George Kirby | SEA | TEX | |
11 | Luis Castillo | SEA | CWS | |
12 | Bryce Miller | SEA | CWS | |
13 | Tanner Houck | BOS | PHI | Great heat check to see if he's for real (he is) |
14 | Jose Berrios | TOR | @MIL, CLE | 4.28 xFIP indicates 2.80 ERA is high, only fanning 6.7 K/9 |
15 | Nathan Eovaldi | TEX | @SEA | |
16 | Erick Fedde | CWS | @SEA, @ARI | Should continue to increase trade stock |
17 | Luis Gil | NYY | @BOS | |
18 | Drew Thorpe | CWS | @SEA, @ARI | |
19 | Framber Valdez | HOU | @SF | |
20 | Ryan Pepiot | TB | BAL, @ATL | |
21 | Seth Lugo | KC | NYY, @LAD | |
22 | Tanner Bibee | CLE | @CIN | |
23 | Kyle Bradish | BAL | PHI | |
24 | JP Sears | OAK | @SD, @MIN | |
25 | Bailey Ober | MIN | OAK | Beginning a run of five soft starts |
26 | Grayson Rodriguez | BAL | PHI | |
27 | Cole Ragans | KC | @LAD | |
28 | Dane Dunning | TEX | @LAD, @SEA | |
29 | Marcus Stroman | NYY | @KC, @BOS | |
30 | Nick Pivetta | BOS | PHI | |
31 | Jack Flaherty | DET | @HOU | Appears to have escaped injury scare with his back |
32 | Chris Paddack | MIN | COL, OAK | In a rut, but this pair could be the panacea |
33 | Andrew Heaney | TEX | @SEA | |
34 | Pablo Lopez | MIN | COL | Perfect pair to right the ship |
35 | Justin Verlander | HOU | DET | |
36 | Simeon Woods Richardson | MIN | OAK | |
37 | Ronel Blanco | HOU | @SF | |
38 | Hunter Brown | HOU | DET | |
39 | Ben Lively | CLE | @TOR | |
40 | Kutter Crawford | BOS | PHI, NYY | |
41 | Reese Olson | DET | WAS | |
42 | Spencer Arrighetti | HOU | @SF, DET | |
43 | Nestor Cortes | NYY | @KC | |
44 | Taj Bradley | TB | CHC | |
45 | Aaron Civale | TB | CHC | |
46 | Chris Bassitt | TOR | @MIL | |
47 | Yusei Kikuchi | TOR | @MIL | |
48 | Triston McKenzie | CLE | @CIN | |
49 | Kenta Maeda | DET | WAS, @HOU | |
50 | Jon Gray | TEX | @LAD | |
51 | Jose Soriano | LAA | @ARI | |
52 | Griffin Canning | LAA | @ARI | |
53 | Brady Singer | KC | NYY, @LAD | |
54 | Mitch Spence | OAK | @MIN | |
55 | Tyler Anderson | LAA | @SF | |
56 | Chase Silseth | LAA | @SF | |
57 | Bowden Francis | TOR | CLE | |
58 | AL Reliever | |||
59 | Michael Lorenzen | TEX | @LAD | |
60 | Cody Poteet | NYY | @KC | |
61 | Hogan Harris | OAK | @SD | |
62 | Cole Irvin | BAL | ATL | |
63 | Joey Estes | OAK | @SD, @MIN | |
64 | Albert Suarez | BAL | ATL | |
65 | Zack Littell | TB | @ATL | |
66 | Luis Medina | OAK | @MIN | |
67 | Chris Flexen | CWS | @ARI | |
68 | Casey Mize | DET | WAS | |
69 | Cade Povich | BAL | ATL | |
70 | Patrick Sandoval | LAA | @SF | |
71 | Brayan Bello | BOS | NYY | |
72 | Caleb Boushley | MIN | COL | |
73 | Logan Allen | CLE | @TOR | |
74 | Jonathan Cannon | CWS | @SEA | |
75 | Alec Marsh | KC | NYY | |
76 | Carlos Carrasco | CLE | @TOR | |
77 | Daniel Lynch | KC | NYY | |
78 | Jose Suarez | LAA | @ARI | |
79 | Cooper Criswell | BOS | NYY |
National League
Rank | Pitcher | TM | OPP | Comment |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dylan Cease | SD | OAK, @NYM | Pitching better than 0-2 with a 5.00 ERA over last three GS suggests |
2 | Zack Wheeler | PHI | @BOS, @BAL | |
3 | Tyler Glasnow | LAD | KC | |
4 | Chris Sale | ATL | TB | |
5 | Sonny Gray | STL | PIT | |
6 | Freddy Peralta | MIL | CIN | |
7 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | TEX | |
8 | Jesus Luzardo | MIA | @NYM, @WAS | |
9 | Max Fried | ATL | @BAL | Should benefit from extra rest, but a tough pair |
10 | Justin Steele | CHC | @TB | |
11 | Michael King | SD | OAK | |
12 | Aaron Nola | PHI | @BOS | |
13 | Logan Webb | SF | HOU | |
14 | Reynaldo Lopez | ATL | @BAL | |
15 | Ranger Suarez | PHI | @BAL | |
16 | Paul Skenes | PIT | @STL, @COL | Coors, Schmoors. Now I want a S'more. |
17 | Jake Irvin | WAS | @DET | Quietly effective, 26 K in 24.1 IP over last three starts |
18 | Shota Imanaga | CHC | STL | Only 4.1 IP in each of last two starts |
19 | David Peterson | NYM | MIA | |
20 | Luis Severino | NYM | MIA | |
21 | Nick Lodolo | CIN | CLE | |
22 | Braxton Garrett | MIA | @NYM | |
23 | Mitch Keller | PIT | @STL | 2.62 ERA, 1.17 WHIP with 66K and 18 BB in 68.2 IP since rough first two outings |
24 | Mitchell Parker | WAS | @DET, MIA | |
25 | Hunter Greene | CIN | @MIL | |
26 | Bobby Miller | LAD | KC | |
27 | Javier Assad | CHC | @TB | |
28 | Bailey Falter | PIT | @STL | |
29 | Matt Waldron | SD | @NYM | |
30 | Andrew Abbott | CIN | @MIL | |
31 | Brandon Pfaadt | ARI | LAA | |
32 | Ben Brown | CHC | STL | |
33 | Spencer Howard | SF | LAA | |
34 | MacKenzie Gore | WAS | @DET | |
35 | Miles Mikolas | STL | PIT, @CHC | |
36 | Charlie Morton | ATL | TB | |
37 | Nick Martinez | CIN | CLE | |
38 | Keaton Winn | SF | LAA | |
39 | Max Meyer | MIA | @WAS | |
40 | Cal Quantrill | COL | @MIN | |
41 | Jordan Hicks | SF | HOU | |
42 | Cristopher Sanchez | PHI | @BOS | |
43 | Lance Lynn | STL | PIT | |
44 | Tylor Megill | NYM | MIA, SD | |
45 | Jameson Taillon | CHC | @TB, STL | |
46 | Walker Buehler | LAD | TEX | |
47 | Jared Jones | PIT | @COL | |
48 | DJ Herz | WAS | MIA | |
49 | Gavin Stone | LAD | KC | |
50 | Sean Manaea | NYM | SD | |
51 | Jordan Montgomery | ARI | LAA, CWS | |
52 | Kyle Gibson | STL | @CHC | |
53 | NL Reliever | |||
54 | Bryse Wilson | MIL | CIN | |
55 | Trevor Rogers | MIA | @WAS | |
56 | Austin Gomber | COL | @MIN | |
57 | Colin Rea | MIL | TOR, CIN | |
58 | Frankie Montas | CIN | @MIL | |
59 | Jose Quintana | NYM | SD | |
60 | Randy Vasquez | SD | OAK | |
61 | Kyle Harrison | SF | HOU, LAA | |
62 | Andre Pallante | STL | @CHC | |
63 | Hurston Waldrep | ATL | TB | |
64 | Dakota Hudson | COL | @MIN, PIT | |
65 | Taijuan Walker | PHI | @BAL | |
66 | Adam Mazur | SD | @NYM | |
67 | Carlos Rodriguez | MIL | TOR | |
68 | James Paxton | LAD | TEX | |
69 | Luis Ortiz | PIT | @COL | |
70 | Slade Cecconi | ARI | LAA | |
71 | Roddery Munoz | MIA | @NYM | |
72 | Ryan Feltner | COL | PIT | |
73 | Tobias Myers | MIL | TOR | |
74 | Spencer Schwellenbach | ATL | @BAL | |
75 | Tommy Henry | ARI | CWS | |
76 | Patrick Corbin | WAS | MIA | |
77 | Ryne Nelson | ARI | CWS | |
78 | Ty Blach | COL | PIT |