This article is part of our DFS MLB series.
Here's a quick glance at Tuesday's slate(s).Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Max Scherzer | Nathan Eovaldi | Rays | 92 | 95 | 97 | 94 | 90 | 110 | 7.0 | 180 | 12:10 PM |
| James Paxton | Kevin Gausman | Orioles | 106 | 103 | 114 | 101 | 121 | 94 | 8.5 | 130 | 7:05 PM |
| Luis Severino | Jake Arrieta | Phillies | 98 | 95 | 120 | 97 | 124 | 109 | 7.5 | 185 | 7:05 PM |
| John Lamb | David Price | Red Sox | 114 | 112 | 78 | 109 | 105 | 99 | 10.0 | -185 | 7:10 PM |
| Frankie Montas | Blaine Hardy | Tigers | 103 | 98 | 104 | 103 | 101 | 104 | 9.0 | -105 | 7:10 PM |
| Chad Kuhl | Steven Matz | Mets | 90 | 93 | 101 | 90 | 92 | 106 | 8.0 | -120 | 7:10 PM |
| Zack Godley | Elieser Hernandez | Marlins | 84 | 93 | 86 | 91 | 83 | 103 | 7:10 PM | ||
| Matt Harvey | Anibal Sanchez | Braves | 102 | 106 | 116 | 98 | 81 | 98 | 9.0 | -150 | 7:35 PM |
| Tyson Ross | Austin Bibens-Dirkx | Rangers | 117 | 108 | 107 | 110 | 106 | 93 | 10.0 | -115 | 8:05 PM |
| Ryan Borucki | Charlie Morton | Astros | 83 | 93 | 109 | 94 | 109 | 101 | 8.0 | -275 | 8:10 PM |
| Jakob Junis | Freddy Peralta | Brewers | 105 | 103 | 131 | 96 | 108 | 103 | 8.0 | -225 | 8:10 PM |
| Lance Lynn | Reynaldo Lopez | White Sox | 95 | 90 | 122 | 99 | 110 | 106 | 9.0 | 105 | 8:10 PM |
| Corey Kluber | Carlos Martinez | Cardinals | 91 | 102 | 97 | 100 | 82 | 95 | 7.5 | 155 | 8:15 PM |
| Jon Lester | Ross Stripling | Dodgers | 90 | 95 | 113 | 96 | 90 | 103 | 7.5 | -170 | 10:10 PM |
| Chad Bettis | Derek Holland | Giants | 90 | 97 | 53 | 100 | 74 | 99 | 8.5 | -130 | 10:15 PM |
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
| Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Arrieta (R) | v NYY | 247.3 | 21.0 | 7.8 | 13.2 | 1.09 | 3.49 | 1.22 | $6,800 | $7,300 | 114 | 22.9 |
| Chad Bettis (R) | at SF | 132.3 | 16.4 | 7.6 | 8.8 | 1.50 | 5.17 | 1.38 | $5,400 | $6,000 | 106 | 23.9 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx (R) | v SD | 87.0 | 13.0 | 5.9 | 7.2 | 1.55 | 4.66 | 1.36 | $4,600 | $6,300 | 86 | 24.5 |
| Ryan Borucki (L) | at HOU | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $4,300 | $5,500 | 122 | 20.3 | |
| Nathan Eovaldi (R) | v WAS | 29.3 | 18.6 | 2.7 | 15.9 | 2.45 | 4.91 | 0.89 | $5,700 | 98 | 20.8 | |
| Kevin Gausman (R) | v SEA | 275.0 | 21.9 | 7.9 | 14.0 | 1.44 | 4.58 | 1.46 | $7,500 | $7,200 | 111 | 19.9 |
| Zack Godley (R) | at MIA | 238.3 | 24.8 | 9.4 | 15.4 | 0.98 | 3.81 | 1.26 | $9,200 | $8,200 | 89 | 22.9 |
| Blaine Hardy (L) | v OAK | 77.0 | 17.5 | 6.9 | 10.5 | 1.29 | 4.44 | 1.43 | $6,600 | $5,900 | 95 | 23.7 |
| Matt Harvey (R) | at ATL | 161.0 | 16.4 | 9.2 | 7.2 | 1.90 | 6.26 | 1.55 | $4,500 | $5,800 | 100 | 19.8 |
| Elieser Hernandez (R) | v ARI | 31.7 | 10.2 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 1.42 | 5.12 | 1.55 | $4,200 | $5,500 | 80 | 23.5 |
| Derek Holland (L) | v COL | 213.3 | 18.3 | 11.1 | 7.2 | 1.77 | 5.57 | 1.57 | $7,400 | $6,900 | 103 | 21.1 |
| Jakob Junis (R) | at MIL | 189.7 | 20.1 | 6.0 | 14.1 | 1.61 | 4.37 | 1.25 | $7,100 | $7,500 | 99 | 24.2 |
| Corey Kluber (R) | at STL | 315.3 | 31.7 | 4.0 | 27.7 | 1.00 | 2.20 | 0.85 | $12,900 | $11,800 | 96 | 23.1 |
| Chad Kuhl (R) | at NYM | 238.3 | 21.2 | 10.0 | 11.2 | 1.17 | 4.42 | 1.46 | $7,700 | $7,800 | 101 | 21.7 |
| John Lamb (L) | at BOS | 8.3 | 25.0 | 5.6 | 19.4 | 3.24 | 5.40 | 1.32 | $4,800 | $6,200 | 84 | 24.1 |
| Jon Lester (L) | at LAD | 270.7 | 22.2 | 8.1 | 14.1 | 1.20 | 3.59 | 1.25 | $8,700 | $9,100 | 104 | 21.8 |
| Reynaldo Lopez (R) | v MIN | 135.3 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 7.1 | 1.06 | 3.99 | 1.30 | $6,300 | $6,700 | 95 | 19.9 |
| Lance Lynn (R) | at CWS | 260.0 | 20.4 | 11.2 | 9.2 | 1.18 | 3.77 | 1.33 | $7,300 | $8,000 | 96 | 24.6 |
| Carlos Martinez (R) | v CLE | 271.7 | 24.3 | 9.7 | 14.6 | 0.99 | 3.54 | 1.28 | $8,000 | $6,500 | 113 | 20.6 |
| Steven Matz (L) | v PIT | 137.7 | 18.6 | 8.2 | 10.4 | 1.57 | 4.84 | 1.40 | $6,100 | $6,800 | 104 | 21.0 |
| Frankie Montas (R) | at DET | 65.7 | 19.6 | 10.3 | 9.3 | 1.64 | 4.66 | 1.54 | $7,600 | $8,600 | 87 | 21.8 |
| Charlie Morton (R) | v TOR | 235.3 | 27.6 | 8.8 | 18.8 | 0.96 | 3.29 | 1.17 | $12,000 | $10,000 | 105 | 23.2 |
| James Paxton (L) | at BAL | 232.7 | 29.6 | 7.0 | 22.6 | 0.81 | 3.29 | 1.11 | $12,500 | $9,600 | 81 | 19.2 |
| Freddy Peralta (R) | v KC | 15.7 | 41.0 | 13.1 | 27.9 | 0.57 | 2.30 | 0.89 | $7,900 | $7,700 | 79 | 19.5 |
| David Price (L) | v LAA | 162.0 | 23.4 | 8.2 | 15.3 | 0.94 | 3.61 | 1.20 | $8,300 | $8,400 | 96 | 19.0 |
| Tyson Ross (R) | at TEX | 138.0 | 19.9 | 11.4 | 8.6 | 0.98 | 4.89 | 1.41 | $8,500 | $7,400 | 96 | 24.1 |
| Anibal Sanchez (R) | v CIN | 147.7 | 21.9 | 6.7 | 15.2 | 1.95 | 5.30 | 1.44 | $7,800 | $7,100 | 101 | 20.0 |
| Max Scherzer (R) | at TB | 308.3 | 35.8 | 6.6 | 29.2 | 0.93 | 2.36 | 0.88 | $12,200 | 96 | 22.9 | |
| Luis Severino (R) | at PHI | 298.0 | 29.6 | 6.5 | 23.2 | 0.82 | 2.72 | 1.01 | $13,100 | $10,600 | 97 | 26.3 |
| Ross Stripling (R) | v CHC | 146.7 | 26.9 | 5.1 | 21.8 | 1.04 | 2.88 | 1.11 | $10,500 | $9,300 | 104 | 21.1 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
| v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
| Jake Arrieta (R) | v NYY | 23.2 | 11.6 | 11.6 | 1.02 | 0.311 | 21.5 | 6.1 | 15.5 | 0.86 | 0.263 |
| Chad Bettis (R) | at SF | 18.2 | 8.3 | 9.9 | 0.91 | 0.311 | 15.4 | 6.6 | 8.8 | 1.57 | 0.364 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx (R) | v SD | 8.3 | 7.1 | 1.2 | 1.38 | 0.328 | 16.8 | 4.8 | 12.0 | 1.69 | 0.349 |
| Ryan Borucki (L) | at HOU | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.000 |
| Nathan Eovaldi (R) | v WAS | 18.1 | 9.2 | 8.9 | 1.93 | 0.355 | 18.8 | 4.8 | 14.0 | 1.73 | 0.301 |
| Kevin Gausman (R) | v SEA | 22.8 | 8.6 | 14.1 | 1.20 | 0.318 | 22.0 | 6.2 | 15.8 | 1.60 | 0.352 |
| Zack Godley (R) | at MIA | 23.0 | 10.6 | 12.4 | 0.98 | 0.323 | 23.2 | 7.4 | 15.8 | 1.24 | 0.313 |
| Blaine Hardy (L) | v OAK | 12.9 | 6.1 | 6.8 | 1.46 | 0.302 | 19.9 | 8.8 | 11.1 | 0.96 | 0.348 |
| Matt Harvey (R) | at ATL | 15.9 | 9.6 | 6.3 | 1.81 | 0.394 | 18.6 | 6.7 | 12.0 | 1.21 | 0.321 |
| Elieser Hernandez (R) | v ARI | 9.0 | 12.8 | -3.8 | 2.16 | 0.433 | 11.9 | 3.4 | 8.5 | 0.60 | 0.292 |
| Derek Holland (L) | v COL | 14.7 | 8.6 | 6.1 | 0.78 | 0.268 | 17.6 | 10.3 | 7.4 | 1.83 | 0.377 |
| Jakob Junis (R) | at MIL | 18.1 | 6.7 | 11.4 | 1.31 | 0.328 | 22.0 | 5.4 | 16.5 | 1.88 | 0.326 |
| Corey Kluber (R) | at STL | 27.5 | 6.1 | 21.4 | 0.99 | 0.262 | 31.3 | 4.3 | 27.0 | 0.95 | 0.247 |
| Chad Kuhl (R) | at NYM | 20.7 | 10.5 | 10.2 | 1.49 | 0.372 | 20.0 | 7.9 | 12.1 | 0.77 | 0.308 |
| John Lamb (L) | at BOS | 19.0 | 8.9 | 10.1 | 1.02 | 0.319 | 18.9 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 2.23 | 0.399 |
| Jon Lester (L) | at LAD | 28.7 | 4.4 | 24.2 | 0.71 | 0.246 | 21.7 | 8.3 | 13.4 | 1.20 | 0.302 |
| Reynaldo Lopez (R) | v MIN | 15.6 | 10.1 | 5.4 | 1.55 | 0.323 | 19.1 | 8.8 | 10.4 | 0.42 | 0.312 |
| Lance Lynn (R) | at CWS | 15.1 | 14.6 | 0.6 | 1.58 | 0.353 | 25.1 | 8.2 | 16.9 | 0.86 | 0.281 |
| Carlos Martinez (R) | v CLE | 20.1 | 11.8 | 8.3 | 1.00 | 0.323 | 26.6 | 6.5 | 20.2 | 0.73 | 0.265 |
| Steven Matz (L) | v PIT | 16.8 | 7.8 | 9.0 | 0.43 | 0.306 | 22.2 | 6.7 | 15.5 | 1.52 | 0.329 |
| Frankie Montas (R) | at DET | 15.6 | 11.9 | 3.7 | 2.76 | 0.410 | 23.1 | 9.0 | 14.1 | 0.74 | 0.317 |
| Charlie Morton (R) | v TOR | 34.1 | 9.4 | 24.7 | 0.86 | 0.270 | 21.5 | 8.6 | 12.8 | 0.99 | 0.321 |
| James Paxton (L) | at BAL | 23.0 | 7.1 | 15.9 | 0.63 | 0.313 | 28.1 | 6.0 | 22.2 | 0.79 | 0.278 |
| Freddy Peralta (R) | v KC | 39.4 | 15.2 | 24.2 | 1.17 | 0.275 | 42.9 | 10.7 | 32.1 | 0.00 | 0.119 |
| David Price (L) | v LAA | 19.9 | 4.2 | 15.8 | 0.95 | 0.299 | 24.8 | 7.1 | 17.7 | 1.11 | 0.304 |
| Tyson Ross (R) | at TEX | 17.9 | 10.7 | 7.2 | 1.04 | 0.355 | 21.9 | 11.4 | 10.5 | 0.85 | 0.299 |
| Anibal Sanchez (R) | v CIN | 22.7 | 9.0 | 13.7 | 1.56 | 0.339 | 19.4 | 5.7 | 13.7 | 2.14 | 0.371 |
| Max Scherzer (R) | at TB | 27.4 | 8.5 | 18.9 | 1.40 | 0.306 | 41.2 | 4.1 | 37.1 | 0.72 | 0.198 |
| Luis Severino (R) | at PHI | 28.3 | 7.9 | 20.4 | 1.01 | 0.287 | 27.5 | 5.9 | 21.7 | 0.87 | 0.267 |
| Ross Stripling (R) | v CHC | 24.3 | 6.2 | 18.1 | 0.84 | 0.265 | 22.0 | 5.7 | 16.3 | 1.11 | 0.311 |
