NASCAR Draft Kit: 2023 Driver Projections

Mark Taylor projects wins, poles, laps led and more for the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series season. Check out the sortable rankings now.

Updated on January 12, 2023 11:45AM EST

NASCAR Draft Kit: 2023 Driver Projections

By:

Mark Taylor

Updated on January 12, 2023 11:45AM EST

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The following are our driver projections for the 2023 season.

Click column headings to sort.

RANK	DRIVER	WINS	POLES	LAPS LED	TOP 5	TOP 10
1	Kyle Larson	5	4	895	15	22
2	Joey Logano	2	4	756	14	20
3	Chase Elliott	3	3	940	12	21
4	Denny Hamlin	2	3	785	11	20
5	Christopher Bell	2	4	698	10	19
6	Kyle Busch	3	2	774	11	18
7	William Byron	2	1	655	9	18
8	Ryan Blaney	1	2	712	10	17
9	Ross Chastain	2	1	580	9	17
10	Kevin Harvick	2	1	433	8	16
11	Tyler Reddick	2	2	321	8	15
12	Martin Truex Jr.	2	1	526	8	15
13	Chase Briscoe	1	1	186	7	14
14	Alex Bowman	1	1	171	6	13
15	Daniel Suarez	1	0	125	6	12
16	Austin Dillon	0	0	87	5	11
17	Austin Cindric	1	1	147	4	10
18	Bubba Wallace	1	1	131	4	9
19	Erik Jones	1	0	50	3	8
20	Brad Keselowski	1	1	71	3	9
21	AJ Allmendinger	1	0	94	4	8
22	Chris Buescher	0	1	24	3	7
23	Ryan Preece	0	0	34	1	6
24	Ty Gibbs	0	1	67	1	6
25	Michael McDowell	0	1	25	1	6
26	Aric Almirola	0	0	38	2	5
27	Justin Haley	0	0	36	2	4
28	Noah Gragson	0	0	11	1	4
29	Harrison Burton	0	0	17	1	3
30	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	0	0	21	1	4
31	Todd Gilliland	0	0	6	0	1
32	Corey Lajoie	0	0	11	0	0
33	Ty Dillon	0	0	1	0	0
34	Cody Ware	0	0	0	0	1
35	B.J. McLeod	0	0	1	0	0
36	Josh Bilicki	0	0	1	0	0
37	Jimmie Johnson	0	0	7	0	0
38	Austin Hill	0	0	0	0	0
39	J.J. Yeley	0	0	0	0	0
40	David Ragan	0	0	5	0	1

The following are our driver projections for the 2023 season.

Click column headings to sort.

RANK	DRIVER	WINS	POLES	LAPS LED	TOP 5	TOP 10
1	Kyle Larson	5	4	895	15	22
2	Joey Logano	2	4	756	14	20
3	Chase Elliott	3	3	940	12	21
4	Denny Hamlin	2	3	785	11	20
5	Christopher Bell	2	4	698	10	19
6	Kyle Busch	3	2	774	11	18
7	William Byron	2	1	655	9	18
8	Ryan Blaney	1	2	712	10	17
9	Ross Chastain	2	1	580	9	17
10	Kevin Harvick	2	1	433	8	16
11	Tyler Reddick	2	2	321	8	15
12	Martin Truex Jr.	2	1	526	8	15
13	Chase Briscoe	1	1	186	7	14
14	Alex Bowman	1	1	171	6	13
15	Daniel Suarez	1	0	125	6	12
16	Austin Dillon	0	0	87	5	11
17	Austin Cindric	1	1	147	4	10
18	Bubba Wallace	1	1	131	4	9
19	Erik Jones	1	0	50	3	8
20	Brad Keselowski	1	1	71	3	9
21	AJ Allmendinger	1	0	94	4	8
22	Chris Buescher	0	1	24	3	7
23	Ryan Preece	0	0	34	1	6
24	Ty Gibbs	0	1	67	1	6
25	Michael McDowell	0	1	25	1	6
26	Aric Almirola	0	0	38	2	5
27	Justin Haley	0	0	36	2	4
28	Noah Gragson	0	0	11	1	4
29	Harrison Burton	0	0	17	1	3
30	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	0	0	21	1	4
31	Todd Gilliland	0	0	6	0	1
32	Corey Lajoie	0	0	11	0	0
33	Ty Dillon	0	0	1	0	0
34	Cody Ware	0	0	0	0	1
35	B.J. McLeod	0	0	1	0	0
36	Josh Bilicki	0	0	1	0	0
37	Jimmie Johnson	0	0	7	0	0
38	Austin Hill	0	0	0	0	0
39	J.J. Yeley	0	0	0	0	0
40	David Ragan	0	0	5	0	1

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Mark Taylor

Author

Taylor is RotoWire's senior NASCAR writer. A nine-time FSWA finalist, Taylor was named the Racing Writer of the Year in 2008, 2009, 2010, 2016 and 2017. He is also a military historian, focused specifically on World War II and the U.S. Navy's efforts in the Pacific.