DraftKings NHL: Monday Breakdown

DraftKings NHL: Monday Breakdown

This article is part of our DraftKings NHL series.

SLATE PREVIEW

The Blues and Coyotes round out their seven-game series Monday at 4 p.m. EST. That should be an exciting bout, but they're excluded from the DFS main slate. Instead, we'll focus on the nine games starting at 7 p.m. EST. 

The Maple Leafs (-280) are easily the top favorites of the night, and their matchup against the Senators is one of two games with 6.5 O/U (the other being Edmonton-Winnipeg). Meanwhile, Steven Stamkos will return to action after a false positive COVID-19 test. 

Advanced statistics are courtesy of Natural Stat Trick.

GOALIES

Andrei Vasilevskiy, TB vs. FLA ($8,300): There's no legitimate conversation about the league's best goaltender. Vasilveskiy is as steady as they come, posting a .933 save percentage and a 9-2-1 record this season. The Panthers have plenty of upside -- they've averaged 3.08 goals per game -- but that's not enough to fade Vasilevskiy as the chalk for DFS purposes. 

Jake Oettinger, DAL vs. NSH ($7,900): The rookie has been impressive lately, serving in a 1A role in front of Anton Khudobin. The Stars are playing Tuesday as well, so it's unclear which netminder will get the nod Monday night. However, it should be a favorable matchup regardless. The Predators rank 26th in the league with 2.07 xGF/60, and their top center Ryan Johansen (upper body) is still out.

Jonathan Bernier, DET vs. CHI ($7,300): To preface, this is a risky start because the Red Wings have produced little offensively this year. Nevertheless, they've excelled defensively this year, as they rank seventh in the league with 1.91 xGA/60. The Blackhawks have plenty of weapons, but they're inconsistent with their production, sitting 16th in the league with 2.99 goals per game. Thomas Greiss could start as well, and he'd be an intriguing goaltending option, too. 

VALUE PLAYS/ONE-OFFS

Jack Roslovic, CLM at CAR ($5,400): Roslovic is right at home with the Blue Jackets, as he's generated nine points over the last seven games. He's truly driving the offense at a rate we didn't see in Winnipeg, including a highlight-reel goal a few nights back. The 24-year-old is getting top-line minutes, while Hurricanes netminder James Reimer has a 3.11 GAA.

Rickard Rakell, ANA at SJ ($4,400): I'm not expecting Rakell to return to his 30-goal seasons. After all, his last campaign of that caliber was three years ago. However, he's still shooting like crazy, firing 49 pucks on net through 15 games but scoring just once (2.0 percent). The lowest rate of his career is 8.1 percent, and a matchup against Martin Jones -- who has given up three or more goals in eight of nine starts -- is an excellent opportunity to get back on track. 

Yanni Gourde, TB vs. FLA ($3,600): Gourde's expected to see increased usage at even strength and possibly on the power play with Anthony Cirelli (upper body) out of the picture. He already capitalized on the opportunity with an assist over 18:33 of ice time Saturday. 

Brock McGinn, CAR vs. CLM ($3,400): McGinn is skating on the first line alongside Sebastian Aho. He's capitalized on the opportunity with five scores through seven games, firing 15 shots on net in the process. The 27-year-old doesn't handle power-play time, but Columbus' defense gives up plenty of opportunities at even strength. 

LINE STACKS

Maple Leafs vs. Senators  

Auston Matthews (C - $8,800), Mitch Marner (W - $7,500), Joe Thornton (W - $2,900)

Jumbo Joe is expected to return to the lineup Monday, so this line likely will get back together. Matthews and Marner have combined for 18 goals and 21 assists through the first 15 games. Thornton is still a solid playmaker and will add some more grit to the line, and the power-play opportunity against the Senators, whose PK (74.6 percent) ranks 24th in the league, makes this a high-ceiling unit.

Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets

Jordan Staal (C - $5,700), Andrei Svechnikov ($6,300), Warren Foegele ($3,400)

The Hurricanes are mixing up their lines a bit, and it's certainly working out. Staal has already been fantastic this year with 12 points through 10 games. Svechnikov has been a scoring machine as usual, and Foegele has posted five points over the past six games. There's a strong opportunity Monday. The Blue Jackets have given up at least three goals in seven straight games, as a strong defensive system hasn't covered up shaky goaltending. Furthermore, their PK (77.1 percent) ranks 20th in the league. 

Senators at Maple Leafs  

Colin White (C - $3,700), Nick Paul (W - $3,200), Evgenii Dadonov (W - $3,500) 

This line has been playing together for a few games now, and they've generated a ton of chances, recording 3.92 xGF/60 at even strength. They're underperforming with 2.52 GF/60, so there should be some positive regression in their future, especially because Dadonov is a finisher, as he scored on 15 percent of his shots last year. 

DEFENSEMEN

Morgan Rielly, TOR vs. OTT ($5,500): Rielly is a strong addition to a Toronto stack. He's accrued 11 points through the first 15 games, supplying 28 shots on net in the process. His work with the man advantage is what separates him from the pack, as he'll be on PP1 with Matthews and Marner. 

Miro Heiskanen, DAL vs. NSH ($5,000): Cale Makar and Quinn Hughes steal the show, but Heiskanen has enjoyed a solid beginning to the season. He's dished out eight assists -- three on the power play -- through 12 games. We'd like to see some more shooting from him, but the Predators' brutal PK (67.8 percent) raises Heiskanen's ceiling tonight. 

Rasmus Andersson, CGY at VAN ($4,900): It was a rough outing for the Flames on Saturday, but they'll aim to bounce back against a typically vulnerable crew. The Canucks are last in the league with 2.7 xGA/60, leaving a ton of opportunities for their opponents. The 24-year-old provides a solid floor by blocking plenty of shots, and he has seven points and 23 shots on net in the ledger, too. 

Hampus Lindholm, ANA at SJ ($4,000): Lindholm has accrued six points through 15 games, which is his typical career pace. The opportunity against the Sharks is appealing, as their PK (76.9 percent) ranks 22nd in the league, and they rank 27th in the league with 2.41 xGA/60. Martin Jones doesn't look like the Sharks' solution, either. 

Evan Bouchard, EDM vs. WPG ($3,600): It appears Bouchard has earned a spot in the lineup due to his play over the last five games. He's averaging 16 minutes of ice per contest, but he managed to fire 14 shots on net and put up two points in that stretch. The Jets' defense is suspect, and Connor Hellebuyck has already shown some weaknesses this year.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Jordan Mazzara plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: Mazz30 Yahoo: Mazz30 DraftKings: Mazz30.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jordan Mazzara
Jordan has produced NFL and NHL content for RotoWire since 2017. He's the beat writer for the St. Louis Blues and Seattle Seahawks.
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