This article is part of our NFL Picks series.
We had some better success in the NFL Week 4 Tickets, with DK Metcalf finishing with more than 100 receiving yards in the Seahawks' win over the Dolphins (+330) and Mike Evans finishing with more than 62.5 receiving yards (-110), ending up with 122 yards and a touchdown in the Bucs' win over the Chargers (the +145 for an Evans touchdown and a Bucs' win obviously hit too).
On the down side, Ezekiel Elliott failed to score at all, let alone twice (+240) despite 20 total touches and the Cowboys scoring 38 points in their loss to the Browns. Additionally, Kenyan Drake failed to get in the end zone, which contributed to them losing to the Panthers, making that player parlay (+140) look stupid in hindsight.
With some improvements in our favor, let's see what's ahead for Week 5, which promises to be as weird as ever given multiple rescheduled games due to COVID-19 concerns.
Robby Anderson to have 100+ receiving yards and Carolina Panthers win (+630)
Let's start off with a big one, with Robby Anderson getting plenty of love in the fantasy community this week after getting 34 targets in four games, helping him to respective games of six catches for 114 yards, 9-101, 5-55 and 8-99. Up next is a matchup against a Falcons defense that's allowed the fourth-most receiving yards to wide receivers this season, and that includes allowing only 86 to wide receivers last week in their loss to the Packers, a game in which Aaron Rodgers threw for 327 passing yards (tight end Robert Tonyan had 98 and running back Jamaal Williams had 95). You could always play it much safer with taking the over 73.5 receiving yards for Anderson (-113), with the somewhat comforting fact that quarterback Teddy Bridgewater's passing yards prop of 291.5 (-113 on both sides) is actually higher than opposing quarterback Matt Ryan's 290.5 (-113 both sides).
Oh, and we can't ignore that Anderson is classified with an upgraded matchup in this week's Corner Report.
DeVante Parker Over 63.5 yards (-110)
We'll take it down a notch for this next one, with Parker coming in off his best game of the season, grabbing 10 of 12 targets for 110 yards against the Seahawks last week. The matchup against the 49ers will certainly be tougher, though they are dealing with a plethora of cornerback injuries, which is also referenced in the Week 5 Corner Report, obviously helping Parker get an upgrade there as well. The Dolphins are 8.0-point road underdogs in this one, and there is every expectation that quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick will be throwing the ball to keep them in it, which only helps his favorite receiver, Parker.
James Robinson Over 85.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-113)
Robinson was highlighted in this week's running back Hidden Stat Line, particularly because he has been getting a huge percentage of the Jaguars' running back touches even though he tends to come off the field for obvious passing downs. Nevertheless, his production has been excellent, accounting for 107 combined rushing and receiving yards last week against Cincinnati, 129 in Week 3 against Miami, 120 in Week 2 against Tennessee and 90 in Week 1 against the Colts. Up next is a matchup against the Texans, who have allowed the most rushing yards to running backs this season, aided by the third-worst 5.38 yards per carry allowed. They've had an incredibly tough schedule, facing the Chiefs, Ravens, Steelers and Vikings, and while the Jaguars aren't remotely close to their level, Robinson's usage will give him ample opportunities to break that 85.5-yard threshold for the fifth straight game.
Daniel Jones Over 260.5 passing yards, Evan Engram anytime touchdown and Darius Slayton Over 56.5 receiving yards Same Game Parlay (+636)
Let's get a little nuts with our last one. The Giants have looked absolutely horrific this season, in particular quarterback Daniel Jones, who has thrown for fewer than 200 yards in each of the past two games and hasn't had a touchdown pass since Week 1. His matchups certainly haven't been great, but he gets his best one this weekend against the Cowboys, who have allowed 11 passing touchdowns in the past three games, while last week's loss to the Browns was their first game allowing fewer than 270 passing yards, with a lot of that because Cleveland went up big early and only threw 30 passes. Jones feels a bit like the wildcard of the bet, but if the Giants, who are 7.5-point underdogs, try to keep pace, they'll have to use Jones' arm to do it.
Meanwhile, the Cowboys also allowed a tight end touchdown in each of their past three, and while Evan Engram hasn't really been able to take advantage of his opportunities, he's still been targeted 30 times this season, including four times in the red zone. Meanwhile, Darius Slayton gets a matchup against a Cowboys defense that's allowed the ninth-most receiving yards and most touchdowns to wide receivers this season. You can also switch the props for the pass catchers, with Jones Over 260.5 yards, Engram over 50.5 yards and a Slayton touchdown paying +606. Or, if you want to take Jones out of the equation, Engram over 50.5 yards and a Slayton touchdown is +398, while Slayton over 56.5 yards and an Engram touchdown is +480.
