DFS College Basketball: Saturday Preview

DFS College Basketball: Saturday Preview

This article is part of our DFS College Basketball series.

DraftKings has gone with a huge 12-game main slate, with tip-offs spanning the entire day, starting at noon EST and going as late as 10:30 p.m. They've also added a four-game evening slate, all of which overlap with the main contest. As such, we'll focus on the eight unique games for the first portion of this column, then isolate the four later contests afterward.

Main Slate

Top Players

Christian Braun, G, Kansas ($8,000)

It figures to be hard to fade the Jayhawks completely, and their production remains top heavy. As such, give me Braun as an anchor at a slight discount to Ochai Agbaji ($8,500). Braun hasn't had less than 30.5 DKP in any of his last seven outings despite the frequently lopsided games. That figures to be the case Saturday, and it's been proven irrelevant.

Jared Rhoden, G/F, Seton Hall ($8,100)

The real appeal is Rhoden's position flexibility. He's also managed nine or more boards in four of his last five, which should give him a 4x floor when paired with the fact he'll easily take 10-plus shots. It's not an ideal matchup facing a Villanova defense that ranks first in defensive efficiency, per KenPom.com, but with a lack of top-tier forwards, we'll take this usage stability and build around.

Middle Tier

Justin Lewis, F, Marquette ($6.800)

We have a pick 'em contest, with a total flirting at 150 and a star player priced sub-7k. Simply put, yes please. Lewis has at least seven boards in four straight and in seven of 10, hoisting at least 11 shots in nine of those outings. Creighton plays slow, 211th nationally, but Marquette doesn't care, eighth nationally. 28.0 DKP seems a minimum, which makes Lewis a terrific building block.

Caleb Mills, G, Florida State ($6,500)

The Wolfpack are 180th in efficiency per KenPom.com, and I'm not convinced their 212th ranking in tempo is legit given previous seasons' exposure. They don't defend and want to match points, yet dont have the talent to do so. FSU should win this game easily, and Mills will be in the center of that. He's coming into his own in his new home, going for 30-plus DKP in three of his last five, and with the ability to contribute in assists and steals, the floor is high.

Values

Ryan Nembhard, G, Creighton ($5.700)

The floor here is what we want for a bargain option. Nembhard has put up at least 20.75 DKP in nine of his last 10. He plays 34.6 minutes a game and gets a pace boost facing a Marquette team that is eighth in adjusted tempo and 68th overall in adjusted defense. 

Ty Etienne, G, Wichita State ($4,800)

Etienne has the upside we love for GPPs at this price, and the 3x floor that won't hurt in cash settings. We have a tight spread (-2.5) and a reasonable total (142.5), which should continue to afford this veteran steady usage and opportunity. Efficiency has simply been the issue, as he's shooting a career-low 34.6 percent, something we don't care about for DFS. We just love that he takes 14.2 shots a game.

Evening Slate

Top Players

Alondes Williams, G, Wake Forest ($8,800) 

On the main slate, you may want to differentiate a little, but overall, I don't see much reason to fade Williams. Miami is 184th in adjusted defense, this game could easily get into the 150 point total, and that results in Williams giving us 4x comfortably. He rarely leaves the floor, scores in bunches and contributes in all categories, giving him 6x upside to boot.

Will Richardson, G, Oregon ($7,100) 

The price is actually a season-low for Richardson, which is a bit shocking given his current form. After a very slow start to the year, he's averaged 15.6 ppg, 3.7 rpg and 4.7 apg across the Ducks' last seven games. The matchup with Utah isn't superb, as the Utes check in at 190th in tempo, but just 123rd in adjusted defense. Richardson posted 30.25 DKP against defensive-minded Baylor, and less than that here would disappoint. 

Middle Tier

Jake LaRavia, F, Wake Forest ($6,700)

The trend with this evening slate is this Deacons-Hurricanes matchup. I don't love the number on Laravia, but DK is keeping things consistent across slates, which is creating value/chalk for the evening. This is a dude who's been priced as high as $7,800, plays 33.4 minutes nightly and consistently produces points and rebounds. On a slate with minimal at best top-tier frontcourt choices, Laravia seems like a plug and play.

Jalen Hill, F, Oklahoma ($6,000)

Truth be told, I like Tanner Groves ($7,300) a lot more against Kansas State's undersized rotation. But Hill is also in a plus spot against a four-guard lineup, which presents him with ample rebounding opportunities. With a few of those coming on the offensive end, there's a vision toward double-double potential.

Values

Cole Swider, F, Syracuse ($5,800)

I'm not really sure what DraftKings is waiting on to move the price on Swider. He averages 28.3 DKP, a cool 4.9x return and has only been under 20 DKP in the Orange's first two games of the year. The matchup does him no favors against Virginia's lethargic pace, but he never leaves the floor, averaging 33.8 minutes. Playing time allows him to stumble into production at worst, and the price is simply too good to be true.

Jordan Miller, G, Miami ($5,200)

This game is one I want multiple pieces of on the evening slate. Miller presents as a nice value based on his diverse production, but his lack of consistent scoring makes for some volatility. Yet he put up 15.75 DKP two games ago by scoring one point and averages nearly 30 minutes on the year, so I trust him to stumble into at least a 4x return. He's a terrific rebounder as a guard, and in a game I expect to be relatively high scoring and defenseless, there's some nice potential.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Chris Bennett plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: k30kittles, DraftKings: k30kittles.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Chris Bennett
Bennett covers baseball, college football and college basketball for RotoWire. Before turning to fantasy writing, he worked in scouting/player development for the Atlanta Braves and Montreal Expos. He's also a fan of the ACC.
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