If you have the day off for Veterans' Day, get out of the house and catch some fresh air. Don't worry about studying up for Monday's NBA slate, because I've got you covered. If you followed my selections from Sunday, you cashed like I did. I think I'm in line for more double-ups today, so let's get started with FanDuel's nine-game offering.
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SLATE OVERVIEW
For the latest spreads and over-unders, visit RotoWire's NBA Odds page. There, you can also find player props, futures, picks articles and sportsbook bonus codes.
The 247.5 total for CLE/MIA is one of the highest numbers we've seen all year, and I took the time to add some players from this matchup right away. The POR/ORL total also compelled me to make some picks despite Orlando's back-to-back. The lower total between Charlotte and the Lakers kept me away from targets in that game, but I wasn't scared off by the below-average number for the NOP/PHX matchup.
Visit RotoWire's NBA Daily Starting Lineups to find out starters for every game on the schedule!
INJURIES
For all the latest updates, visit RotoWire's NBA Injury News page and our comprehensive NBA Injury Report. Below are some of the most recent and relevant injuries for Monday. Keep in mind that this is not a complete list. Use your best judgment when evaluating ongoing injury scenarios elsewhere on the slate.
DET Tobias Harris (ankle) - OUT
DET Isaiah Stewart (ankle) - QUESTIONABLE
If Stewart is available, he's the best pivot for Harris's absence. The severity of Harris' injury is unclear, but Ronald Holland's ($4,600) usage will go up if both of these tags hold.
LAL Austin Reaves (groin) - QUESTIONABLE
If Reaves misses again, Jake LaRavia ($5,700) will be the preferred pivot.
CHA LaMelo Ball (ankle) - OUT
CHA Miles Bridges (back) - QUESTIONABLE
I'll stick with Collin Sexton ($5,800) over Sion James ($3,900) here, and I'll ignore the Bridges absence.
MIA Bam Adebayo (toe) - OUT
All of Miami's starters will need to step up in Adebayo's absence, and Kel'el Ware ($6,500) will be the go-to big man in his stead.
CHI Josh Giddey (ankle) - QUESTIONABLE
Tre Jones ($5,700) will be Chicago's best option in the backcourt if Giddey misses.
DAL Anthony Davis (calf) - QUESTIONABLE
DAL Daniel Gafford (ankle) - QUESTIONABLE
DAL Dereck Lively (knee) - DOUBTFUL
I don't trust the frontcourt rotation here, and I believe it's best to leave these spots alone if the injury report stays as-is.
PHO Jalen Green (hamstring) - OUT
Green's return may have been premature. I'm fine with Grayson Allen ($5,800) as the backcourt fill-in.
ATL Trae Young (knee) - OUT
ATL Nickeil Alexander-Walker (back) - QUESTIONABLE
ATL Jalen Johnson (quad) - QUESTIONABLE
Alexander-Walker could return to action Monday, but I'll give Dyson Daniels ($7,700) a look if he's out.
LAC Kawhi Leonard (ankle) - OUT
LAC Bradley Beal (hip) - QUESTIONABLE
John Collins ($4,800) will step forward during the next week while Leonard recovers. Kris Dunn ($4,100) is his direct replacement in the lineup, but I would only use him if Beal is a scratch.
ELITE PLAYERS
All four of our five-figure players are healthy and ready to go as we begin the week. On paper, Giannis Antetokounmpo's ($12,500) matchup against a compromised Dallas interior is the best spot among the quartet. Luka Doncic's ($13,000) duel against Charlotte is also a good spot, but I will not spend $13k for any player, regardless of their potential. Victor Wembanyama and Cade Cunningham will also stay off my list today.
In the $9k tier, Devin Booker ($9,500) looms large as the primary offensive engine for Phoenix in a favorable matchup against the Pelicans. Anthony Edwards and Paolo Banchero have quick turnarounds, so I'll keep them off the board.
In the $8k range, I like Evan Mobley ($8,700) against Miami with Adebayo on the sidelines.
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EXPECTED CHALK AND MID-RANGE TARGETS
Franz Wagner, ORL ($7,400) vs. POR
Although Wagner logged heavy usage during the home tilt against Boston and is on the tail end of a back-to-back set, the fact that he'll remain at home against Portland lessens the blow somewhat. This should be an interesting duel between Wagner and Deni Avdija, and I prefer Wagner's number over Avdija's slight salary inflation.
Cooper Flagg, DAL ($6,800) vs. MIL
If there's ever been a time for Flagg to take a leadership role and power the team, it's during Davis's absence. He posted a diverse line against Washington in his last game, and although the pips on the graph jump around a bit, you can draw an upward arrow through them. He might be a couple hundred above where he needs to be, but his dual eligibility will come in handy.
Mark Williams, PHO ($6,100) vs. NOP
This is a decent spot for Williams against the Pelicans. Even with the Suns' recent struggles, the Pelicans are poor on both sides of the ball and are banged up inside. A Booker/Williams matchup is a stack I will utilize frequently this evening.
Shaedon Sharpe, POR ($5,900) @ ORL
Although I said that Wagner's back-to-back wasn't a huge concern, there's bound to be some backcourt fatigue that will loosen up Orlando's defense somewhat. Sharpe's salary is a value-baiting spot worth considering, as he's broken the 5x barrier in each of his last three games. He can also blow well past that and hit 40 FDFPs or more.
VALUE PLAYS
As usual, you'll find our best values in the injury report. I'll flesh out two of my favorite spots below $6k and also provide a short list of additional bargains.
Jusuf Nurkic, UTA ($5,800) vs. MIN
With Walker Kessler out for the year, the center job is Nurkic's to lose. Nurkic has had a rocky recent history, and it's one reason why I'm interested in adding him. His ownership should be extremely low right now, and it only takes a couple of players to overperform at 5.0% exposure to make a big difference in your build.
Bogdan Bogdanovic, LAC ($4,000) vs. ATL
Bogdanovic's last stop in his NBA career was Atlanta, so I guess you could consider this a revenge game of sorts. I will take a risk on Bogdanovic if Beal is out, but he may also get additional time this season while Leonard sits. When the sharpshooter gets hot, he can rack up the points quickly, and his bargain salary will open up additional elite opportunities.
Also consider:
- C Donovan Clingan, POR ($5,500)
- PG/SG Donte DiVincenzo, NYK ($5,700)
- SF/PF Saddiq Bey, NOP ($4,600)
- PG/SG Marcus Smart, LAL ($4,800)
