Best NBA Bets Today: Free Picks & Player Props for Thursday, October 30

Expert NBA betting picks for tonight: Devin Vassell threes, Ajay Mitchell points+assists, Aaron Wiggins rebounds and points props. Matchup analysis and betting value breakdowns.
Best NBA Bets Today: Free Picks & Player Props for Thursday, October 30
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Tonight's best NBA bets offer compelling player props from favorable matchups. Devin Vassell shoots 43.3 percent from three and is up against Miami's league-leading pace. Ajay Mitchell faces Washington's third-worst defense in an expected blowout rest situation. Aaron Wiggins gets increased usage with Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams sidelined against a terrible Wizards defense.

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Best NBA Bets Tonight

Devin Vassell over 2.5 made threes (-119) vs. Miami Heat

DraftKings, 2:50 PM CT

Alex Barutha: Vassell is making 3.3 threes on 43.3% this season. The Heat have been playing at a blistering pace and allowing the third-most 3PA per 48 minutes, notably allowing 12 three-point attempts to OG Anunoby and 11 attempts to Kon Knueppel. I'm banking on Vassell being next in line.

Ajay Mitchell over 17.5 points + assists (-124) vs. Washington Wizards

DraftKings, 2:59 PM CT

Alex Barutha: Mitchell has looked like a Sixth Man of the Year candidate, as he's gone over this mark in every game this season. I expect the Thunder to do what they can to rest Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, as the team is favored by 15.5 points. Washington is allowing the 3rd-most points per 48 minutes (126.2).

Devin Vassell O2.5 threes vs. Miami Heat (-119)

DraftKings, 4:00 PM CT

Nick Whalen: While this matchup features two of the three best defensive teams thus far, the Heat are leading the NBA in pace, so this should be a faster setup for San Antonio, which ranks 28th in that category. Through four games, Miami is surrendering nearly 44 three-point attempts per game. Vassell, himself, is 12-of-26 from beyond the arc over the Spurs' last three contests.

Aaron Wiggins O4.5 rebounds at Washington Wizards (-148)

DraftKings, 4:00 PM CT

Nick Whalen: Wiggins has gone over this number in three of the last four games and now faces a Wizards team that plays at the third-fastest pace and is giving up over 50 rebounds per game. The Thunder do get Isaiah Joe back tonight, but with no Chet Holmgren or Jalen Williams, Wiggins should again be set for an increased workload.

Aaron Wiggins over 15.5 points vs. Washington Wizards (-132)

FanDuel, 2pm EST

Ken Crites: One must give the Thunder credit for developing strong, young depth. Wiggins might be Exhibit A of OKC's wealth of affordable young reserves. In two starts this season, Wiggins has averaged 20.5 points. Last year, in 26 starts, he averaged 15.2 points. He'll start again tonight with Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren out. Wiggins will face a Wizards squad that has given up 129.5 points per game, which ranks dead last in the Association. Expect SGA to get most of Washington's attention, leaving Wiggins open for some easy catch-and-shoots.  The K-Train is 53-44 over 2+ seasons — feel free to fade!

ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Alex is RotoWire's Chief NBA Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, VSiN and other platforms. He firmly believes Robert Covington is the most underrated fantasy player of the past decade.
An early RotoWire contributor from the 90's, K-Train returns with the grace of Gheorghe Muresan and the wisdom of Joe Gibbs. Ken is a two-time FSWA award winner and a co-host on the RW NBA Podcast. Championships incude: 2016 RW Staff NBA Keeper, 2019 RW Staff NFL Ottoneu Keeper, 2022-23 SiriusXM NBA Experts, 2022-23 SiriusXM NBA Kamla Keeper and 2023-24 FSGA NBA Expert Champions. Ken still owns a RotoNews shirt.
Now in his 10th year with the company, Nick is RotoWire's Senior Media Analyst, a position he took on after several years as the Head of Basketball Content. A multi-time FSGA and FSWA award winner, Nick co-hosts RotoWire's flagship show on Sirius XM Fantasy alongside Jeff Erickson, as well as The RotoWire NBA Show on Sirius XM NBA with Alex Barutha. He also co-hosts RotoWire's Football and Basketball podcasts. You can catch Nick's NBA and NFL analysis on VSiN and DraftKings, as well as RotoWire's various social and video channels. Follow him on Twitter and Instagram @wha1en.
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