Luis Patino

Luis Patino

25-Year-Old PitcherRP
San Diego Padres
60-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 7/1/2025
2024 Fantasy Outlook
The guy who was once the biggest piece of the Blake Snell to San Diego deal is now toiling in a middle relief role for one of the worst bullpens in baseball. Patino has consistently struggled with his command around injuries and 2023 was no different no matter who his employer was. Patino walked 56 batters around 68 strikeouts in the 81.1 innings he pitched in Durham, Charlotte, Chicago, and Tampa Bay. His split-change has shown promise, but he does not get to use the pitch as much as he would like because he falls behind in the count too frequently and has to use fastballs to catch back up. Chicago needs a replacement for Reynaldo Lopez and perhaps they envisions Patino as that guy with his raw stuff if the coaching staff and front office can realign what Tampa Bay could not. Until they do, you can safely ignore Patino in all formats outside of 50 round draft and holds. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
$Signed a one-year contract with the Padres in March of 2024.
Shifts to 60-day IL
PSan Diego Padres
Elbow
May 22, 2024
The Padres transferred Patino (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
Patino's move to the 60-day IL was fully expected at some point after he underwent Tommy John surgery April 30. With the right-hander expected to be sidelined until at least the middle of the 2025 season, he'll be a strong candidate to get non-tendered by the Padres this offseason.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-5%
BAA vs RHP
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-45%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-33%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .288 92 16 12 23 3 0 3
Since 2022vs Right .273 105 13 15 24 5 0 6
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left .325 46 11 6 13 2 0 2
2023vs Right .178 53 7 8 8 0 0 1
2022vs Left .250 46 5 6 10 1 0 1
2022vs Right .372 52 6 7 16 5 0 5
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-69%
ERA at Home
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-38%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-82%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.32 1.47 33.1 1 2 0 6.5 4.1 1.6
Since 2022Away 14.04 3.00 8.1 0 1 0 5.4 13.0 3.2
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 4.82 1.55 18.2 0 1 0 7.7 4.3 1.4
2023Away 3.00 2.00 3.0 0 0 0 6.0 15.0 0.0
2022Home 3.68 1.36 14.2 1 1 0 4.9 3.7 1.8
2022Away 20.25 3.56 5.1 0 1 0 5.1 11.8 5.1
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Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Luis Patino See More
Spring Training Job Battles: NL West
238 days ago
Many of the job battles in the NL West involve Rockies pitchers you want no part of, but whoever wins the Padres' closer role could return plenty of fantasy value.
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the NL West
257 days ago
Brad Johnson helps get ready for draft day by analyzing pitching staffs, and this week he focuses on the National League West, and in Los Angeles, Walker Buehler will start the season on the IL.
Fantasy Baseball: Four Pitches That Should Be Thrown More in 2024
293 days ago
Corbin Young discusses four seldom-used pitches that could help drive pitchers to new heights in 2024, including Zach Eflin's sweeper.
Collette Calls: Value in the Scrap Heap for 2024
341 days ago
Jason Collette highlights 10 hitters and 10 pitchers who have been nearly forgotten about in the first handful of 2024 drafts, including shortstop Tim Anderson.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Yeah, But
September 23, 2023
Todd Zola has Weekly Pitcher Rankings for the final week of the 2023 season, with plenty of scenarios in play for pitchers who could get pulled from starts based on their teams' playoff status.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2022 was a lost season for Patino who went down early with an oblique injury in his first start of the season and then later with shoulder discomfort limiting him to six starts at the major league level and another 11 in rehab and development in the minors. He had one very impressive outing against the lowly Royals in mid-August, but high other outings were disastrous including one outing where the Yankees hung nine earned runs on him in 1.1 inning of work. The numbers were terrible because he pitched from behind more often than not and the league rightly sat fastball and got what they were looking for. If his command and/or durability do not improve, he could be converted into a power reliever moreso than a starter, but Tampa Bay will give his mechanics and body every attempt to succeed before pushing him to the pen. The talent is there, but the execution is not yet there. A very late round dart throw at best until something changes for the better.
For as hard as Patino throws (96 mph), he's been a disappointment so far in his short career. While he has a 9.0 K/9, the walks (4.1 BB/9) and home runs (1.4 HR/9) have pushed his ERA near 4.50 with a 1.37 WHIP. He's basically just a fastball-slider pitcher and so far he's had problems navigating lineups even a second time. The fastball (11.3 SwStr%) and slider (14.2 SwStr%) generate a good number of swings-and-misses, but most of the contact he allows is in the air (30.8 GB%). To make matters worse, his performance deteriorated as the season went on with a 21.8 K-BB% in the first half that dropped to 10.6% in the second half. The 22-year-old has the opportunity to turn it around for a team that has historically put its pitchers in good position to succeed.
While many were clamoring for MacKenzie Gore to get the call, it was Patino who earned a promotion from the alternate site in August -- almost three months before his 21st birthday. He was promoted explicitly to work out of the bullpen and logged between one and 2.1 innings in all 11 of his appearances. It was a massive jump for the Colombian fireballer, who had only two starts above High-A under his belt prior to getting invited to the Padres' alternate site. As a flyball pitcher who walked an uncharacteristically high percentage of batters (16.5 BB%), Patino struggled to prevent runs. He leaned heavily on his 97-mph fourseamer (touches 100), throwing his changeup and slider a combined 35 percent of the time. The Padres are open to Patino winning a rotation spot this spring, but it's also possible he could reprise a multi-inning role out of the bullpen or continue developing as a starter at Triple-A.
Other than the high-risk nature of young pitchers who throw hard, Patino has few flaws. At 6-foot, he is undersized for a right-handed starter; he struggles to generate groundballs (38.4 GB% at High-A); and he dealt with a blister at the end of the season -- sometimes blisters reoccur. Everything else about the 20-year-old generates glowing praise. He has been the youngest starting pitcher in every full-season league he has played in. With his arsenal, it is easy to see why. His pitches all have excellent life, and it starts with his mid-90s fastball, which is a 70-grade pitch. He throws a hard slider that flashes plus and is working on getting more consistent with his changeup. His command/control improved as the season went on and he made two starts at Double-A as a 19-year-old. With good health, he will throw 100-plus innings for the first time and could reach the majors in some capacity.
A dominant full-season debut allowed Patino to emerge as a top-five pitching prospect in the top system in baseball, which is no small feat. Among Midwest League pitchers who threw at least 80 innings, Patino had the lowest FIP (2.33), lowest WHIP (1.07), highest K-BB% (22.4) and also happened to be the youngest pitcher in that subset. He dominates with a mid-90s fastball and a pair of potentially plus breaking balls. His changeup is still a work in progress, but given his age and advanced feel, it would not be surprising if that too ended up being a plus pitch for the 6-foot, 192-pound righty. He threw 70-plus pitches in all but one of his 17 starts, so he has experience turning a lineup over multiple times. While there is a temptation to ding shorter righties, Patino’s repertoire will allow him to have success at the highest level. From a dynasty-league perspective, the only knock is that he is a pitching prospect who is a couple years away from the majors.
More Fantasy News
Undergoes Tommy John surgery
PSan Diego Padres
Elbow
April 30, 2024
Patino announced via his personal Instagram account that he underwent Tommy John surgery on his right elbow Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Placed on injured list
PSan Diego Padres
Elbow
March 19, 2024
The Padres placed Patino on the 15-day injured list Tuesday with right elbow inflammation.
ANALYSIS
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Reports to camp after visa delay
PSan Diego Padres
March 1, 2024
Patino has reported to Padres' camp after being delayed by visa issues, Jeff Sanders of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
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Arrival at camp delayed
PSan Diego Padres
February 13, 2024
Patino isn't yet at the Padres' camp due to an issue with his visa, AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports.
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Claimed by Padres
PSan Diego Padres
December 22, 2023
The Padres claimed Patino off waivers from the White Sox on Friday, Jeff Sanders of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Chance to start Saturday?
PChicago White Sox
September 6, 2023
Patino could be in the mix to start Saturday against the Tigers, per Daryl Van Schouwen of the Chicago Sun-Times.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander was recalled from Triple-A Charlotte on Friday and covered four innings out of the bullpen Saturday against Detroit, and he could be inserted into the rotation with Michael Kopech potentially exiting the rotation. Patino posted a 4.31 ERA in 19 outings for the Rays in 2021 but has a 7.39 ERA over nine appearances in the big leagues over the past two seasons.
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