Jake Fraley

29-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Cincinnati Reds

2024 Stats

AVG

.277

RBI

2025 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2025 Fantasy Outlook

Fraley was banged up throughout the 2024 season and landed on the injured list in August with a right knee sprain. In between the fits and starts, he managed just five home runs across 382 plate appearances, presumably related to his various health woes. The outfielder still reached 20 steals for the second straight year and finished strong with a .299/.353/.455 line in September. Fraley made six starts and totaled 33 plate appearances against left-handed pitching last season, and he is unlikely to be more than a platoon player under new manager Terry Francona. Nonetheless, Fraley is a bounce-back candidate and has appeal as a late-round outfielder given his well-rounded skill set and opportunity in an advantageous home park. Read Past Outlooks

League Majors

Bats L

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 6'0"

Weight 195

DOB 5/25/1995

Born Frederick, MD

College LSU

Drafted 2016 TB

Taking seat versus Sale

OFCincinnati Reds

September 19, 2024

Fraley is absent from the lineup in Thursday's contest versus Atlanta.

ANALYSIS
Southpaw Chris Sale is on the bump for Atlanta, so Fraley will begin the game on the bench. Amed Rosario will patrol right field for the Reds in Thursday's series finale.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+52%

OPS vs RHP

2024

+32%

OPS vs RHP

2023

+62%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+81%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.525	128	17	2	11	6	.190	.258	.267
Since 2022vs Right	.799	881	101	30	108	39	.276	.348	.450
2024vs Left	.564	56	8	1	3	2	.241	.268	.296
2024vs Right	.743	326	36	4	23	18	.284	.340	.402
2023vs Left	.504	41	5	0	5	3	.147	.268	.235
2023vs Right	.815	339	36	15	60	18	.268	.348	.467
2022vs Left	.476	31	4	1	3	1	.143	.226	.250
2022vs Right	.861	216	29	11	25	3	.277	.361	.500
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+7%

OPS at Home

2024

+4%

OPS at Home

2023

+4%

OPS at Home

2022

+14%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.792	464	52	16	52	17	.273	.343	.450
Since 2022Away	.739	545	66	16	67	28	.258	.332	.407
2024Home	.733	153	17	2	8	9	.285	.353	.380
2024Away	.704	229	27	3	18	11	.272	.314	.390
2023Home	.796	206	22	9	33	8	.257	.325	.471
2023Away	.766	174	19	6	32	13	.255	.356	.409
2022Home	.873	105	13	5	11	0	.287	.362	.511
2022Away	.765	142	20	7	17	4	.238	.331	.434
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Stat Review

How does Jake Fraley compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.37

BB Rate

6.8%

K Rate

18.3%

BABIP

.331

ISO

.109

AVG

.277

OBP

.330

SLG

.386

OPS

.716

wOBA

.317

Exit Velocity

84.3 mph

Hard Hit Rate

21.5%

Barrels/PA

2.4%

Expected BA

.245

Expected SLG

.323

Sprint Speed

23.7 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

44.2%

Line Drive %

24.4%

Fly Ball %

31.4%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Jake Fraley Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2017

Acquired from Seattle prior to the 2022 season, Fraley has emerged as a quality platoon outfielder/DH in his two years with Cincinnati. He spent time on the injured list last season with wrist and toe injuries, the latter of which required October surgery to repair. Fraley is expected to be fully ready for the start of spring training in 2024. Reds manager David Bell was rigid in his usage of Fraley, limiting him to a mere four starts and 41 plate appearances against left-handed pitching all season. When he had the platoon advantage, Fraley slashed .268/.348/.467 with all 15 of his home runs. He's done a better job of being aggressive within the strike zone, adding nearly 12 percentage points to his Z-Swing% over the past two years, and the speed element of his game showed up in 2023 in the form of 21 steals in 26 attempts. The fact that he doesn't play against lefty pitching limits his counting-stat upside, but among strict platoon bats in MLB, Fraley is right up there with (or just behind) the best.

Fraley was acquired by the Reds from the Mariners just before the start of the 2022 campaign, and he took a major step forward when available with an .812 OPS and 12 home runs in 247 plate appearances. The problem being he was sidelined for much of the summer with knee and toe injuries and played in only 68 games. Still, Fraley cut his strikeout rate nearly five percentage points to 21.9 percent and took advantage of playing at hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park with a .287/.362/.511 slash line at home. The Reds aren't likely to make any significant splashes in free agency, so Fraley should receive regular playing time to open 2023. He could be a decent depth option for mix-league fantasy formats and could especially have value as a streamer for homestands.

If you like OBP, Jake Fraley provides that. Throughout Fraley's short MLB career, he totaled 13 home runs and 11 steals with a slash line of .196/.320/.336 in 335 plate appearances. Fraley's high BB% at 17.4% comes a 26.8% K%. With more playing time, Fraley's upside could be a 20/20 season. However, Fraley's .531 OPS versus lefties may limit that. In terms of skills, Fraley rocks a 24.7% LD% and 5.9% barrel rate with a patient approach, evidenced by the 22.6% O-Swing% and 41.4% Swing% well below the league averages. Fraley dealt with a quad, hamstring, and shoulder injury throughout 2020-2021 that caused him to lose plate appearances. Outside of Mitch Haniger and Jarred Kelenic, Fraley will battle with Taylor Trammell, Dylan Moore, and Kyle Lewis in the outfield. Top prospect Julio Rodriguez is also on his way. Fraley serves as a cheap source of power and speed.

Fraley hasn't done much with his major-league opportunities, posting a .152/.200/.227 slash line and registering a 35.7 K% across 70 plate appearances over parts of the last two seasons. The outfielder's struggles are a sharp contrast to his hitting prowess in the minors. Between 2018 and 2019, Fraley batted .316 and struck out less than 20% of the time while progressing from High-A to Triple-A. His appeal grew with an emergence of power in 2019, when he more than doubled his previous minor-league output with 19 homers in only 382 at-bats. Fraley has reached double-digit stolen bases three times in four minor-league seasons, so he could have fantasy value as a moderate speed-power contributor if he can prove himself against big-league pitching. However, Fraley turns 26 in May and Jerred Kelenic is waiting in the wings, so Fraley's window to squeeze himself into Seattle's future plans could be closing.

The Mariners had to add Fraley to the 40-man in 2019 one way or another, so they selected his contract in August after he obliterated Double-A pitching (156 wRC+) and was OK in 38 games at Triple-A (104 wRC+). His season was cut short when he sprained ligaments in his thumb. Fraley missed significant time due to injuries earlier in his career, so he is not a normal 24-year-old from a developmental standpoint. The No. 77 pick from 2016 has been dominant at almost every MiLB stop. He is an above-average defender with above-average speed who excels at lifting the ball, but his LD% dipped after his promotion from Double-A while he worked on using the whole field. Fraley projects to be a better real-life player than Mallex Smith, so he will be given the opportunity this spring to take the center field job and run with it. There is some swing-and-miss in his game, but he has 20/20 upside.

Injuries prevented Fraley's career from taking off in his first full season after being selected by the Rays with the No. 77 overall pick in 2016. However, he hit .361/.449/.680 with 13 home runs and 39 steals over 40 games in the Australian Baseball League last offseason, which put him squarely back on the dynasty-league map. He followed that up by notching a 172 wRC+ in 260 plate appearances at High-A, but undisclosed injuries once again cost him time. An offseason trade to the Mariners put him on the national radar, which unfortunately ups the acquisition cost, but it was a boon for those who already had him rostered, as he goes from a club with ridiculous depth to an organization where he should have a clear path to playing time. Fraley is an excellent defender in center field, makes hard contact to all fields and rarely strikes out. The key going forward will be proving he can hold up over a full season. He will likely be assigned to Double-A.

The 21-year-old center fielder slashed .238/.339/.364 with a homer, 18 RBI, seven triples and 33 stolen bases at short-season Hudson Valley after being selected 77th overall in the 2016 first-year player draft. He posted a solid 14.2 percent strikeout rate and 83 percent contact rate while batting at or near the top of the order. The speed and plate skills make him somewhat intriguing, but will Fraley hit enough against higher-level pitching to take full advantage of his speed? Time will tell. . . and for most, waiting it out will be a tough sell.

More Fantasy News

Smacks fifth home run

OFCincinnati Reds

September 14, 2024

Fraley went 3-for-4 with a solo homer and an additional run scored in Saturday's 11-1 win over the Twins.