Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel

28-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
San Francisco 49ers
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Samuel re-established himself as one of the best offensive weapons in the NFL in 2023, finding a middle ground between his monstrous breakout in 2021 (1,770 yards from scrimmage, 14 TDS) and a disappointing, injury-riddled 2022 (864 yards, five TDs). Rushing production (225 yards) and 12 total touchdowns allowed him to overcome a modest total of 89 targets, with Samuel being one of four 49ers in the range of 83-to-105 targets. He averaged 6.2 and 2.6 carries in his 14 full games, missing Weeks 7-8 with a shoulder injury and later playing only 20 snaps in a meaningless Week 18 contest. Samuel remained the most difficult wide receiver to tackle in the league, averaging 10.0 yards per target despite an aDOT of only 6.8 yards, thanks to his whopping 8.7 YAC average. Among wide receivers, only Rashee Rice gained a larger percentage of his yards after the catch -- a stat Samuel also ranked Top 5 in the previous two years. The downside, apart from facing considerable target competition from Brandon Aiyuk, George Kittle and Christian McCaffrey, is that Samuel's brute force means he takes far more hits per touch than a typical WR. He's missed 20.5 percent of regular-season games in his career, and that's a fair rate to expect going forward as he enters his age-28 season. Persistent trade rumors dating back to last year are the other major risk factor, though a move could actually help his fantasy value, depending on the team. The 49ers seem to be preparing for a future without either Samuel or Aiyuk, having spent a first-round pick on Ricky Pearsall and a fourth-rounder on Jacob Cowing. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed a three-year, $71.55 million contract with the 49ers in July of 2022.
Shut down by Seahawks
WRSan Francisco 49ers
November 17, 2024
Samuel had four receptions (on seven targets) for 22 yards while losing one yard on his only rushing attempt in Sunday's 20-17 loss to Seattle.
ANALYSIS
Samuel was blanketed by the Seahawks' athletic secondary due to George Kittle (hamstring) being inactive and Brandon Aiyuk (knee) done for the season. For reference, Samuel feasted on the Seahawks for 117 yards and a touchdown back in Week 6 when the receiving corps was at full strength. If Kittle is good to go for Week 12 after almost being able to suit up Sunday, then San Francisco's offense will look more like we have become accustomed to.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Deebo Samuel's 2024 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
  • % Targeted On Route
    Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
  • Avg Yds Per Route Run
    Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.
Air Yards Per Game
46.4
 
Air Yards Per Snap
1.05
 
% Team Air Yards
16.0%
 
% Team Targets
17.4%
 
Avg Depth of Target
8.0 Yds
 
Catch Rate
63.5%
 
Drop Rate
5.8%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
8.0
 
% Targeted On Route
21.2%
 
Avg Yds Per Route Run
2.00
 
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2024
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
San Francisco 49ers49ers 2024 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

39764%
13775%
33854%
00%
33454%
10960%
15725%
5229%
15224%
10859%
10016%
2313%
315%
158%
20%
00%
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Deebo Samuel lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Packers pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
GB
@ Packers
Sunday, Nov 24th at 4:25PM
Overall QB Rating Against
73.4
 
Cornerbacks
93.7
 
Safeties
43.1
 
Linebackers
82.3
 
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2024 Deebo Samuel Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Deebo Samuel's measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 0"
 
Weight
215 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.48 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.14 sec
 
Cone Drill
7.03 sec
 
Vertical Jump
39.0 in
 
Broad Jump
122 in
 
Bench Press
15 reps
 
Hand Length
10.00 in
 
Arm Length
31.38 in
 
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Deebo Samuel See More
NFL Waiver Wire: Week 12 Deep Dive
Yesterday
Dan Marcus goes deep into the free-agent pool to find upside adds who could pay off down the road, if not this week.
Weekly Rankings: Week 12 Value Meter
Yesterday
Justin Herbert is poised to be in a shootout with the Ravens on Monday night.
Target Breakdown: WR & TE Usage Report + Week 12 Waivers Preview
2 days ago
49ers WR Jauan Jennings had another huge game this past Sunday and boasts some of the best per-route numbers of any pass catcher in the NFL this season.
Box Score Breakdown: Week 11 Snaps, Routes, Personnel and Usage
3 days ago
DK Metcalf's return didn't slow down Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who came through huge for both fantasy managers and the Seahawks. RW's Jerry Donabedian has the full scoop from Sunday.
NFL Picks: Week 11 Underdog Pick'Em Selections
4 days ago
Dan Marcus scours the offerings at Underdog to find his best highers and lowers for Week 11, including a bet on Russell Wilson's passing yards.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Samuel is a unique player, to say the least, arguably in his own league among wide receivers when it comes to breaking and avoiding tackles. He actually has more career touchdowns on the ground (14) than through the air (12), though he's also shown a high ceiling as a pass catcher with his 1,405-yard campaign in 2021. Last year he displayed many of the same skills but to much lesser effect, held back by injuries, San Francisco's QB issues and perhaps some inevitable regression from his absurd 2021 numbers (11.6 YPT, eight rushing TDs on 49 carries, etc.). He's also missed 15 games in four seasons, mostly due to lower-body, soft-tissue injuries, further contributing to a profile that makes him one of the riskiest players at his position. The 49ers still have major questions at QB, and there's a ton of competition for both targets and carries in an offense with WR Brandon Aiyuk, TE George Kittle and RBs Christian McCaffrey and Elijah Mitchell. If talent and skills were the only factors, Samuel would be ranked higher.
The Niners fully unleashed Samuel last year, after injuries and a fluctuating role limited his impact his first two seasons. The 2019 second-round pick isn't a burner, but he's plenty fast (4.48 40) to get the job done while combining the size (6-0, 215) and ferocity of a running back with the route-running acumen of a veteran wideout. While it's the rushing work that makes him different, Samuel's biggest impact last year was actually chunk plays in the passing game, including five of 50-plus yards in the first two months. Coach Kyle Shanahan was rewarded for changing Samuel's role, again, with the wideout's aDOT rising from a freakishly low 2.2 in 2020 to a normal-ish 8.4 in 2021. He still got screens and shovel passes, but with more opportunities in the intermediate and deep areas as well. Then, in the second half of the year, Samuel played running back to help the team deal with injuries - a role he handled so well that it continued when Elijah Mitchell returned.
Foot and hamstring injuries cost Samuel the better part of 10 games last year, but on the rare occasion he did play, he looked like the rising star we saw during his rookie season. Samuel averaged 8.9 YPT on 44 targets and also carried the ball eight times for 26 yards, despite playing hurt. A stout 6-0, 215, with 4.48 speed, Samuel is a beast after the catch, breaking tackles and extending for extra yards. He also saw a heavy target share when he was finally healthy with 22 targets (and 17 catches) in Weeks 12-13. Samuel now returns to an unsettled quarterback situation. Oft-injured Jimmy Garoppolo enters training camp as the starter, though the Niners used the No. 3 overall pick (for which they paid dearly) to draft Trey Lance. Samuel will share looks with star tight end George Kittle and second-year man Brandon Aiyuk, but the 49ers’ lack of pass-catching depth could allow those three to combine for well over half the targets. Plus, Samuel had a unique role last year, mostly catching easy throws near the line of scrimmage (league-low 2.3 aDOT) and also taking eight carries. The QB-proof touches provide some protection if Garoppolo and Lance struggle.
Samuel started slowly as a rookie but took off in the season's second half, going 49-35-575-2 with 122 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns. Over a full season, that prorates to eight touchdowns and 1,394 yards from scrimmage. Samuel was also efficient. Despite eight drops, he managed 14.1 YPC and 9.9 YPT. He also saw a fair amount of red-zone use - 16 of his 81 targets were there, including seven from inside the 10. At 5-11, 214, Samuel has the physique of a running back and the ability to break tackles and get loose for big plays, given his 4.48 40 speed. In fact, coach Kyle Shanahan used Samuel in his running rotation, giving him 14 regular-season carries (three of which went for scores), plus six more totes in the postseason for 102 yards. Samuel should see more receiving work in Year 2 after the 49ers let Emmanuel Sanders walk via free agency, though the team used its first-round pick on the versatile and physical Brandon Aiyuk, who should serve as the deep threat. Jimmy Garoppolo showed he was no Patrick Mahomes in the Super Bowl, but he's competent enough to support a productive No. 1 receiver alongside Aiyuk and superstar tight end George Kittle, and few receivers will match Samuel's bonus production as a rusher. Unfortunately, Samuel suffered a broken foot while he was training in mid-June, requiring surgery and leaving him uncertain for Week 1. The injury, a Jones fracture, is fairly common among wide receivers, and the incidence of aggravation is much higher for players that rush back into action.
The 36th overall pick in this year's draft, Samuel could start opposite Dante Pettis out of the gate in what should be a productive Kyle Shanahan offense with a healthy Jimmy Garoppolo. At 5-11, 214, Samuel is stout, strong and plenty athletic with a 4.48 40 and 39-inch vertical. He's a strong route runner and dangerous in the open field after the catch, but he never reached 900 receiving yards in four seasons at South Carolina, limited by a mixture of injuries and poor quarterback play. Samuel is also on the old side for a rookie after turning 23 in January, so his physical development has likely maxed out already. He'll have to displace deep threat Marquise Goodwin, who's probably better suited to a situational role, among others, but Samuel's odds are good given his physical tools and draft slot.
More Fantasy News
Takes eight touches for 76 yards
WRSan Francisco 49ers
November 10, 2024
Samuel (hip/oblique) corralled five of six targets for 62 yards and added 14 rushing yards on three attempts in Sunday's 23-20 win over the Buccaneers.
ANALYSIS
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Suiting up in Week 10
WRSan Francisco 49ers
November 10, 2024
Samuel (rib/oblique) is active for Sunday's game at Tampa Bay, Lindsey Pallares of the 49ers' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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In line to suit up Sunday
WRSan Francisco 49ers
Oblique
November 9, 2024
Samuel (oblique/rib), who is officially questionable for Sunday's game against the Buccaneers due to an oblique injury, is expected to play, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
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Gets questionable designation
WRSan Francisco 49ers
Oblique
November 8, 2024
Samuel (oblique/rib) is questionable for Sunday's game at Tampa Bay, Lindsey Pallares of the 49ers' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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Another limited practice
WRSan Francisco 49ers
Oblique
November 7, 2024
Samuel (rib/oblique) practiced in a limited fashion Thursday, Nick Wagoner of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Blames outburst on frustration
WRSan Francisco 49ers
November 10, 2024
Samuel explained his sideline skirmish with two teammates during Sunday's win over the Buccaneers as the result of frustration with how the game was unfolding, Nick Wagoner of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Cameras caught Samuel confronting kicker Jake Moody after the latter's third missed field-goal attempt of the afternoon, and long snapper Taybor Pepper also jumped into the fray when the situation got briefly physical. However, both Samuel and Moody stated after the game they were past the issue, a statement likely made possible by the fact Moody was eventually able to connect on a game-winning kick as time expired.
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