DraftKings CS:GO Sunday DreamHack Cheat Sheet

GAMES (EDT)

• 8:00 a.m. BIG vs. Complexity
• 11:30 a.m. MAD Lions vs. mousesports
• 3:10 p.m. FURIA vs. Chaos

BIG (2–0) vs. Complexity (2–0)

Both BIG and Complexity are playing excellent right now, and this match will decide who takes the No. 1 spot in the group. These teams have faced against each other three times, with Complexity coming out on top twice. Interestingly, all three matches went three maps, and we saw two maps go to overtime in their last meeting. Mirage, Nuke and Inferno have been the most common picks in this series, and Dust2 has been the decider map in all three of their prior matches. tabseN is playing fantastic right now for BIG, posting 93 and 109 points in his last two games, respectively. Despite a lackluster performance against mousesports, syrsoN is coming in as the highest-priced player on the side of BIG at $8,400, and while this is high, it is worth having exposure to him, especially if people hesitate to roster him after a poor performance against mousesports. Mirage is very likely, and this is a map where syrsoN has been excellent, posting a K/D ratio of 1.43 with 0.79 kills/round across 24 maps for BIG, and he is no slouch on any of the other maps either. XANTARES definitely should not be forgotten, and he is a nice play at just $7,000. 

Complexity are coming off a clean sweep of MAD Lions, and it was blameF who excelled for his team, posting 45 kills, 11 assists and a K/D differential of plus-26. Both blameF and k0nfig are solid plays with the maps that we are likely to see in this one, and poizon is a very interesting value play just $6,200. 

• BIG Players to Target: syrsoN ($8,400), XANTARES ($7,000) / tabseN ($7,600)
• Complexity Players to Target: poizon ($6,200), k0nfig ($8,800) / blameF ($8,800)

MAD Lions (0–2) vs. mousesports (0–2)

Both of these teams are winless, and this match will decide who advances to the playoffs. mousesports have held the advantage against MAD Lions historically, with a 4–0 head-to-head record overall. However, this is a mousesports that is in a clear slump right now, so I would not completely rule MAD Lions out of this series. One thing stands out about the four previous matches between these two teams: mousesports have picked Dust2 in all best-of-three series. ropz has been a consistent force for mousesports on this map, posting a K/D ratio of 1.33 with 0.78 kills/round across 53 maps, and his stats have remained largely the same for 2020, as well. Dust2 has also always been a great map for woxic as well, and while he has been in poor form throughout the last few months, it might be worth taking a chance on him just due to how likely Dust2 is in this particular matchup. 

On the side of MAD Lions, Bubzkji stands out at $7,600. There aren't too many maps where Bubzkji does not have the potential to put up numbers, and he had two amazing games on Dust2 against FunPlus Phoenix earlier in the year, posting 54 kills and a K/D differential of plus-36 across both maps. Interestingly, Dust2 has been an excellent map for AcilioN, and while I would usually never recommend rostering him due to his low fragging potential, this is a spot where he has some, albeit limited, value as a contrarian play just due to how likely Dust2 is in this particular matchup. MAD Lions have thrown everything but the kitchen sink at mousesports, picking a different map in each and every one of their prior series. They actually picked Train into mousesports the last time around, but it seems more likely that they will attempt to exploit mousesports' weakness on a map like Mirage or Vertigo, or go for Nuke where MAD Lions would feel more comfortable. acoR is well worth considering at just $6,800, as well, but it needs to be pointed out how poor his form has been on Dust2, posting just 0.60 kills/round with a negative K/D ratio of 0.95 since AcilioN joined the team. But with Mirage and Vertigo being a likely map choice for MAD Lions, it is worth having some exposure to him with this pricing.

• mousesports Players to Target: ropz ($8,600), frozen ($7,800) / woxic ($6,600)
• MAD Lions Players to Target: Bubzkji ($7,600), acoR ($6,800)

FURIA (2–0) vs. Chaos (1–1)

FURIA remain undefeated after taking down both Liquid and MiBR, and they will be big favorites in this matchup against Chaos. It seems probable that FURIA will stick to their permaban, which is Dust2, while Chaos will likely ban Vertigo. With Vertigo out of the question, yuurih and HEN1 lose some value, which is why I think it is well worth paying up for KSCERATO at $9,000. Don't get me wrong, this is a one-sided matchup and both yuurih and HEN1 will have a chance at putting up big numbers too, especially if Chaos opts for Overpass, but KSCERATO is the one I would choose to have the most exposure to out of the trio. 

If Chaos wants to pull off another miracle and win this series, they will likely need to have a good performance from Xeppaa and voltage. However, FURIA are definitely the probable winner, and rostering any Chaos players is going to be a big risk. 

• FURIA Players to Target: KSCERATO ($9,000), HEN1 ($7,400), yuurih ($8,200)
• Chaos Players to Target: Xeppaa ($7,800) / voltage ($4,800)