German Marquez

30-Year-Old PitcherSP

Colorado Rockies

2025 Stats

W-L

0-0

ERA

0.00

WHIP

0.00

Rest-of-Season Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2025 Fantasy Outlook

Marquez is the latest reminder that all Tommy John surgery returns are not alike. Marquez made it back from his 2023 surgery and made just one appearance for the Rockies before a stress reaction in his repaired elbow shut him down for the rest of the season. Marquez signed a two-year deal before the 2024 season, so he has one more year to pitch for the only club he has ever pitched for at the major league level, which has spanned 1,020 innings of work dating back to 2016. Unfortunately, he has worked just 24 innings over the past two seasons, and right now, we do not yet know how his rehab from his latest setback is going. Marquez has mostly been a streaming start option in his career, but with this being his final year of his contract, it would be expected the Rockies will do the smart thing for once and deal someone in his final year once Marquez can prove he is once again healthy. Marquez has pitched to a 15 percent K-BB with a 3.83 ERA and 1.19 WHIP on the road for his career, and teams will be interested in his stuff as we get closer to the trade deadline assuming Marquez is back to full strength. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

Rest of Season

From Preseason

#396

ADP

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'1"

Weight 230

DOB 2/22/1995

Born San Felix, Venezuela

College None

Drafted 2011 TB

First start of spring

PColorado Rockies

February 26, 2025

Marquez threw two scoreless innings in his Cactus League debut Tuesday, Patrick Saunders of the Denver Post reports.

ANALYSIS
Marquez also struck out two and walked two. Most importantly, he threw 32 pitches and came away with no injury concerns, a significant development after he was limited to only one start in 2024 while recovering from an elbow injury. Marquez figures to lead the Rockies' rotation in 2025.

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2024 MLB Game Log

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2023

-29%

BAA vs LHP

2025

No Stats

2024

-58%

BAA vs LHP

2023

-20%

BAA vs LHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2023vs Left	.224	55	12	4	11	3	1	3
Since 2023vs Right	.317	45	8	3	13	3	0	2
2025vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2025vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2024vs Left	.167	8	1	2	1	0	0	0
2024vs Right	.400	12	2	2	4	0	0	1
2023vs Left	.233	47	11	2	10	3	1	3
2023vs Right	.290	33	6	1	9	3	0	1
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Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2023

-37%

ERA at Home

2025

No Stats

2024

-100%

ERA at Home

2023

-33%

ERA at Home

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2023Home	3.60	0.60	5.0	1	0	0	7.2	0.0	0.0
Since 2023Away	5.68	1.47	19.0	1	2	0	7.6	3.3	2.4
2025Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2025Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2024Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2024Away	6.75	2.25	4.0	0	0	0	6.8	9.0	2.3
2023Home	3.60	0.60	5.0	1	0	0	7.2	0.0	0.0
2023Away	5.40	1.27	15.0	1	2	0	7.8	1.8	2.4
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

For years, Marquez was a pitcher fantasy players longed to see get a chance outside of Colorado, as his park-adjusted numbers were quite strong. That changed last season. Marquez managed an ERA- of 88 through the end of 2021, but that number spiked to 108 last year as his ERA jumped to 5.00. His 1.49 HR/9 effectively tied his career-worst mark of 1.50, set back in 2019, but his struggles went beyond just the long ball. His strikeout rate fell by four points to 19.3%, while his groundball rate dipped to a merely above-average 47.6%, his lowest mark since 2018. Toss in a merely average 8.1 BB% and you get a pitcher who would be fine but forgettable on most teams and a potential disaster in Denver. If you can justify giving a roster spot to Marquez while only ever using him on the road, you could be in fine shape, as his 6.70 home ERA last season came with a 3.43 road ERA, but expecting anything more than that may be unwise.

Marquez is one of the league's best starters, but he makes half his starts in Colorado where he can get BABIP'd to death. Over his career, he has a 3.85 ERA and .285 BABIP on the road and at home those numbers jump to 4.73 and .330, respectively. Last season, the narrative got turned on its head a bit. The big difference was his 57.7 GB% at home (0.8 HR/9) compared to a 43.9 GB% (1.4 HR/9) on the road. The discrepancy seemed to be based primarily on him pitching low in the zone at home and high on the road since his pitch mix was nearly identical. Maybe he should just throw low in the zone all the time since he's one of the few starters with two pitches boasting a 20% or higher swinging-strike rate. Due to his home field and nonexistent offense, Marquez won't be worth the hassle for many, but there is value to be extracted here if you pick your spots right.

Marquez is under contract with the Rockies for another three guaranteed years (with a fourth-year team option for 2024), which is a shame because it would be wonderful to see what he could do statistically in a full season away from Coors Field. As if 2020 did not suck enough, Marquez took a beating at home with a 5.68 ERA and a .296 opponents' batting average in 38 innings of work. He was not hurt by homers (two), but the expansiveness of the outfield and the altitude's impact on his breaking stuff make him too hittable. Conversely, he had a 2.06 road ERA and a .201 opponents' batting average away from Coors. His overall strikeout rate fell for a third consecutive season, pushing his K-BB% to a rather pedestrian 14% last season. He has not lost any velocity, so the drop in strikeouts could have been a result of the unbalanced scheduling of 2020.

A divisive player last draft season, Marquez's backers argued his huge second half in 2018 proved he could thrive anywhere, while his detractors pointed to the long list of pitchers before him who couldn't tame Coors Field. Though Marquez displayed stellar skills -- his 19.4 K-BB% and 12.7 SwSt% were both top 20 among qualified starters -- the skeptics ultimately got the last laugh. Marquez submitted a bloated 6.26 ERA (3.30 xFIP) and 1.55 WHIP in 13 starts at altitude, and his road numbers, while good, couldn't atone for the Coors-inflicted damage. For that reason, Marquez is best suited for leagues with daily lineup moves, but those rostering him in weekly formats should aim to fill out their staff with low ERA/WHIP arms. Despite the ratio risk he carries, Marquez offers high-end strikeout upside; he was tracking for a second straight 200-K season until he was shuttered in late August with an arm injury.

Marquez took a big leap in his second full season, finishing eighth in the major leagues in strikeouts. Something clicked around midseason. He posted a 2.41 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 137:20 K:BB in his final 16 starts spanning 108.1 innings, including a minuscule 1.90 ERA at Coors Field during that stretch. Both his breaking pitches -- his curveball and his slider -- had swinging-strike rates north of 20%, and Marquez had the fourth-best K-BB% among qualified starters in the second half (28.4%). The Coors Field effect is always risky on a start-to-start basis, but Marquez has two full seasons under his belt and will turn just 24 in February, so there's plenty of reason to expect growth and continued success.

Fun with small samples: in nearly the same number of innings, Marquez's home ERA was 4.59 compared to 4.19 away from Coors Field, which makes sense. However, a 1.26 home WHIP versus 1.49 away is curious until you see Marquez's road BABIP was a bloated .331. Skills-wise, Marquez fanned more and walked fewer at home, though he predictably surrendered more homers in Coors. The message isn't Marquez is a better pitcher at home, but rather if he can improve his performance on the road, which he should, he can be a useful starter. In his favor is a low walk rate (2.7 BB/9) and a groundball tilt (45.2 percent) to help combat the long ball. Colorado did an excellent job managing his innings, limiting the righty to 29 starts spanning 162 frames. Marquez should eclipse that total in 2018, but not by much as the Rockies look to protect their still just 23-year-old arm.

Marquez was more or less an add-on in the trade that brought Jake McGee to Colorado from Tampa Bay, but after one season in the Rockies' system, it seems like the 21-year-old was actually the true prize. The right-hander started off strong, holding a 2.85 ERA and a 126:33 K:BB ratio with Double-A Hartford, prompting a promotion to Triple-A Albuquerque. He also performed well at that stop, leading the Rockies to send Marquez to the big leagues ahead of schedule. The top prospect had some rough outings with Colorado, but he also displayed the pitching prominence that led the Rockies to accelerate him through their farm system. His pitching style fits his future home park quite well (good control, few home runs allowed), and if he can continue to adjust to big league hitters, Marquez could break camp in the rotation and become one of its staples for years to come.

More Fantasy News

Clean bill of health for camp

PColorado Rockies

February 13, 2025

Rockies manager Bud Black said Thursday that Marquez (elbow) is back to full health for spring training, Patrick Lyons of JustBaseball.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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Pushed to 60-day IL

PColorado Rockies

Elbow

August 23, 2024

Marquez (elbow) was transferred to the 60-day injured list Friday.

ANALYSIS
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Shut down for season

PColorado Rockies

Elbow

August 8, 2024

Rockies manager Bud Black said Thursday that Marquez will not return from the 15-day injured list this season after being diagnosed with a stress reaction in his right elbow, Manny Randhawa of MLB.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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Continuing to ramp up

PColorado Rockies

Elbow

August 3, 2024

Marquez (elbow) will throw a bullpen session this weekend and will then be either activated or sent on a rehab assignment, MLB.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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Set to throw Wednesday

PColorado Rockies

Elbow

July 30, 2024

Marquez (elbow) is set to throw a bullpen session Wednesday, MLB.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Well-earned nod

PColorado Rockies

March 29, 2023

Marquez earned the nod as the Rockies' Opening Day starter after recording a sparkling 0.53 ERA over 17.0 innings in Cactus League.

ANALYSIS
Marquez' spring performance is encouraging, but expectations should be tempered. Marquez was burned by the long ball last season, allowing 30 home runs -- tied for fourth most in the league. His hard-hit percentage allowed of 47.2 percent ranked among the worst in baseball. He also posted the lowest strikeout rate of any full season in his career. Even if he bounces back, Marquez is best viewed as a streamer when on the road.

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