MLB DFS: Saturday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Saturday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Saturday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Jhoulys ChacinJames ShieldsWhite Sox9590122991101069.01252:10 PM
    Chad KuhlLuke WeaverCardinals911029710082959.0-1402:15 PM
    Trevor CahillJason HammelRoyals1031028510276949.01302:15 PM
    Masahiro TanakaKevin GausmanOrioles106103114101121949.51604:05 PM
    Gio GonzalezBrandon McCarthyBraves1021061169881989.01154:10 PM
    J.A. HappMatt BoydTigers103981041031011048.51254:10 PM
    Trevor BauerLance LynnTwins10510395105113939.01304:10 PM
    David PriceJustin VerlanderAstros8393109941091017.5-1907:15 PM
    Walker BuehlerGerman MarquezRockies1381211171161188710.51157:15 PM
    Mike MontgomeryJacob deGromMets909310190921067.5-1257:15 PM
    Matt HarveyEric LauerPadres92978597971038.5-1158:40 PM
    Cole HamelsGarrett RichardsAngels919691961021098.0-1809:07 PM
    Vince VelasquezAndrew SuarezGiants90975310074998.0-12010:05 PM
    Caleb SmithZack GreinkeDiamondbacks1161091061051111007.5-16010:10 PM
    Chris ArcherMarco GonzalesMariners919610594971047.5-12510:10 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Chris Archer (R)at SEA272.327.77.320.41.194.131.27$8,500$8,80010719.1
    Trevor Bauer (R)at MIN248.726.98.118.81.053.731.30$12,000$10,0009121.9
    Matt Boyd (L)v TOR192.018.68.79.80.984.591.41$6,600$7,4009521.9
    Walker Buehler (R)at COL50.329.48.321.10.723.221.11$6,400$8,6007623.4
    Trevor Cahill (R)at KC 128.023.49.913.51.414.011.37$10,200$8,4008817.5
    Jhoulys Chacin (R)at CWS243.719.19.79.50.893.841.28$7,300$7,00010224.0
    Jacob deGrom (R)v CHC266.729.87.222.71.053.041.14$11,500$10,60011519.7
    Kevin Gausman (R)v NYY251.321.78.013.71.434.581.46$5,600$7,30012123.6
    Marco Gonzales (L)v TB 100.019.56.013.61.174.591.50$6,000$7,80010324.2
    Gio Gonzalez (L)at ATL265.322.89.713.10.812.751.21$8,400$9,10013017.4
    Zack Greinke (R)v MIA269.026.95.221.71.203.311.06$10,700$9,1008223.0
    Cole Hamels (L)at LAA213.019.08.810.21.314.061.23$6,200$8,3008819.3
    Jason Hammel (R)v OAK245.717.26.011.21.215.281.42$4,500$7,60010223.1
    J.A. Happ (L)at DET211.024.77.217.61.153.631.25$11,100$9,50012117.5
    Matt Harvey (R)at SD 139.016.29.46.82.016.351.60$5,600$6,3008426.2
    Chad Kuhl (R)at STL219.021.310.111.21.154.231.43$6,200$7,8009522.6
    Eric Lauer (L)v CIN29.319.010.28.81.847.672.08$4,400$5,5009921.8
    Lance Lynn (R)v CLE236.320.111.09.11.263.961.35$4,300$7,20010522.8
    German Marquez (R)v LAD219.721.07.613.41.274.341.39$5,100$7,3009822.4
    Brandon McCarthy (R)v WAS150.018.37.211.10.784.381.38$6,000$6,50010619.7
    Mike Montgomery (L)at NYM161.718.09.78.20.673.561.22$7,300$6,9007325.8
    David Price (L)at HOU137.023.48.714.80.923.681.23$6,800$7,90011821.3
    Garrett Richards (R)v TEX81.725.410.215.20.883.201.20$7,100$8,0009123.9
    James Shields (R)v MIL186.318.310.38.11.504.971.37$5,100$6,30010423.6
    Caleb Smith (L)at ARI75.027.411.416.11.084.561.28$9,000$8,10010024.8
    Andrew Suarez (L)v PHI36.723.95.218.71.725.651.36$4,800$6,5009622.6
    Masahiro Tanaka (R)at BAL240.725.05.819.31.764.711.20$9,500$8,7008325.4
    Vince Velasquez (R)at SF 129.324.69.814.81.674.661.42$9,400$8,40010524.8
    Justin Verlander (R)v BOS287.327.57.620.01.002.731.04$12,100$11,20012418.5
    Luke Weaver (R)v PIT118.725.17.417.70.994.251.27$7,900$7,70010218.8

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Chris Archer (R)at SEA27.18.718.41.310.32128.16.521.51.210.296
    Trevor Bauer (R)at MIN24.68.016.61.090.31723.88.615.20.930.308
    Matt Boyd (L)v TOR17.47.89.60.340.27219.48.311.11.370.338
    Walker Buehler (R)at COL30.88.822.00.780.25528.38.020.40.660.263
    Trevor Cahill (R)at KC 22.212.89.40.870.30124.29.215.01.540.320
    Jhoulys Chacin (R)at CWS14.211.13.11.130.33723.77.516.20.660.284
    Jacob deGrom (R)v CHC25.37.318.00.790.28230.06.223.81.210.289
    Kevin Gausman (R)v NYY22.58.614.01.260.31722.06.315.71.550.348
    Marco Gonzales (L)v TB 16.04.911.11.450.32920.36.214.11.110.358
    Gio Gonzalez (L)at ATL22.76.616.20.270.24422.69.513.11.050.311
    Zack Greinke (R)v MIA24.05.518.51.150.30024.55.619.01.330.296
    Cole Hamels (L)at LAA19.37.911.40.750.26221.79.212.51.310.320
    Jason Hammel (R)v OAK18.78.510.21.250.33318.65.013.51.280.316
    J.A. Happ (L)at DET21.25.615.60.730.25223.17.815.31.180.305
    Matt Harvey (R)at SD 16.09.56.51.930.40018.56.811.71.130.321
    Chad Kuhl (R)at STL20.210.89.51.500.37520.57.812.70.740.300
    Eric Lauer (L)v CIN13.310.03.31.800.41320.510.310.31.850.431
    Lance Lynn (R)v CLE15.213.71.51.730.36024.58.615.90.880.286
    German Marquez (R)v LAD17.58.39.20.750.32923.46.716.71.710.356
    Brandon McCarthy (R)v WAS20.99.711.20.680.30718.98.210.80.740.324
    Mike Montgomery (L)at NYM19.38.410.90.560.27019.710.09.70.750.292
    David Price (L)at HOU19.53.815.60.900.29325.07.317.71.130.306
    Garrett Richards (R)v TEX26.39.716.50.770.25623.210.612.60.780.312
    James Shields (R)v MIL16.012.13.91.790.35518.78.210.51.690.348
    Caleb Smith (L)at ARI27.48.418.90.440.33127.512.614.91.330.276
    Andrew Suarez (L)v PHI28.32.226.10.000.23022.06.415.62.630.424
    Masahiro Tanaka (R)at BAL22.84.818.01.400.29723.25.517.71.420.306
    Vince Velasquez (R)at SF 25.110.314.91.760.36127.17.719.41.360.312
    Justin Verlander (R)v BOS31.38.622.71.170.27024.65.519.01.000.265
    Luke Weaver (R)v PIT23.38.414.91.060.33327.46.520.91.240.308

    The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Derek VanRiper plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: RotoWireDVR, DraftKings: BentleysChair, Yahoo: d.vanriper,.
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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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