MLB DFS: Wednesday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Wednesday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Wednesday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Sam GaviglioEduardo RodriguezRed Sox11411278109105999.5-1851:05 PM
    Reynaldo LopezCorey KluberIndians11411411010298948.5-3151:10 PM
    Alex ReyesJunior GuerraBrewers105103131961081038.51051:10 PM
    Sal RomanoPatrick CorbinDiamondbacks1161091061051111008.5-2253:40 PM
    Dallas KeuchelLuis SeverinoYankees1039514299123928.0-1856:35 PM
    Max ScherzerDavid HessOrioles106103114101121948.51857:05 PM
    Kyle HendricksJoe MusgrovePirates969710110383948.01107:05 PM
    Shohei OhtaniMike FiersTigers103981041031011049.01757:10 PM
    Jason VargasJulio TeheranBraves1021061169881987:35 PM
    Fernando RomeroBrad KellerRoyals1031028510276949.01258:15 PM
    Derek HollandJon GrayRockies1381211171161188711.5-1808:40 PM
    Nathan EovaldiSean ManaeaAthletics9697849787968.0-17010:05 PM
    Matt MooreJames PaxtonMariners919610594971048.0-27010:10 PM
    Jose UrenaClayton RichardPadres92978597971037.5-13010:10 PM
    Zach EflinRoss StriplingDodgers909511396901037.5-18510:10 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Patrick Corbin (L)v CIN259.024.37.317.01.183.611.28$10,900$9,4009421.8
    Zach Eflin (R)at LAD86.315.95.110.81.885.421.36$8,200$7,90010022.1
    Nathan Eovaldi (R)at OAK0.00.00.00.000.000.00$5,900$5,70010423.3
    Mike Fiers (R)v LAA202.320.28.212.01.915.121.40$5,500$6,10011219.7
    Sam Gaviglio (R)at BOS90.017.88.09.81.804.001.30$4,200$5,80012718.4
    Jon Gray (R)v SF 172.025.06.318.70.894.291.34$7,500$6,70010124.7
    Junior Guerra (R)v STL118.721.612.39.31.744.251.36$6,700$7,3009623.2
    Kyle Hendricks (R)at PIT202.321.26.514.71.203.071.14$8,400$8,4009919.0
    David Hess (R)v WAS17.313.96.96.92.084.151.33$5,200$5,90010719.8
    Derek Holland (L)at COL188.317.911.46.51.865.781.58$5,400$6,30010023.1
    Brad Keller (R)v MIN22.314.67.96.70.402.011.07$4,600$5,5008722.0
    Dallas Keuchel (L)at NYY214.720.57.513.01.013.061.14$8,200$8,70012022.1
    Corey Kluber (R)v CWS282.331.94.327.61.022.230.87$12,200$11,20010423.7
    Reynaldo Lopez (R)at CLE109.015.78.77.01.163.721.23$6,400$6,40010023.5
    Sean Manaea (L)v TB 228.719.97.012.91.064.051.26$8,300$8,20010124.8
    Matt Moore (L)at SEA216.018.18.89.31.386.001.63$4,400$5,60011719.4
    Joe Musgrove (R)v CHC116.321.65.715.81.394.491.29$6,900$5,50011519.9
    Shohei Ohtani (R)at DET40.332.38.723.61.123.351.07$11,200$9,0009320.4
    James Paxton (L)v TEX205.729.76.922.90.743.021.06$11,700$9,8009525.1
    Alex Reyes (R)at MIL0.00.00.00.000.000.00$7,000$6,20010723.6
    Clayton Richard (L)v MIA264.318.17.310.91.094.831.48$7,900$7,1009120.6
    Eduardo Rodriguez (L)v TOR191.026.48.517.91.234.151.28$7,900$7,7009821.6
    Sal Romano (R)at ARI142.017.610.47.21.145.011.53$4,000$6,0006125.7
    Fernando Romero (R)at KC 28.725.011.213.80.311.881.12$7,800$6,6008617.6
    Max Scherzer (R)at BAL272.335.46.928.50.932.410.90$13,900$11,8008724.9
    Luis Severino (R)v HOU264.329.36.722.60.822.791.03$10,400$10,40010522.0
    Ross Stripling (R)v PHI115.726.25.920.30.933.031.18$7,300$7,5009626.4
    Julio Teheran (R)v NYM248.319.19.39.71.524.421.34$7,600$6,50011120.3
    Jose Urena (R)at SD 233.016.78.08.71.274.061.25$6,300$6,8008326.4
    Jason Vargas (L)at ATL200.018.07.910.11.484.811.41$4,300$5,70013717.9

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Patrick Corbin (L)v CIN30.59.121.41.220.29719.77.911.91.270.337
    Zach Eflin (R)at LAD12.06.55.52.680.38416.04.711.30.950.315
    Nathan Eovaldi (R)at OAK19.610.68.92.030.36717.65.212.41.390.301
    Mike Fiers (R)v LAA19.08.310.71.600.33919.86.113.81.740.357
    Sam Gaviglio (R)at BOS14.79.65.11.760.34120.56.514.01.840.340
    Jon Gray (R)v SF 24.57.417.10.990.31226.67.119.50.850.315
    Junior Guerra (R)v STL21.212.29.01.190.30120.89.111.71.270.304
    Kyle Hendricks (R)at PIT22.97.515.41.100.29021.25.216.10.860.258
    David Hess (R)v WAS15.212.13.01.350.42212.82.610.32.530.291
    Derek Holland (L)at COL15.58.86.80.890.28117.010.46.61.840.375
    Brad Keller (R)v MIN11.113.9-2.80.000.24117.03.813.20.660.253
    Dallas Keuchel (L)at NYY25.24.320.80.750.24719.37.911.41.110.310
    Corey Kluber (R)v CWS27.46.321.20.980.26631.34.526.80.970.249
    Reynaldo Lopez (R)at CLE15.010.44.61.790.31819.58.411.10.350.306
    Sean Manaea (L)v TB 21.44.017.30.790.25920.07.412.61.230.324
    Matt Moore (L)at SEA19.18.210.91.540.37619.78.810.81.180.327
    Joe Musgrove (R)v CHC24.16.617.51.230.33219.55.414.11.470.326
    Shohei Ohtani (R)at DET27.89.718.10.480.23136.07.928.11.660.298
    James Paxton (L)v TEX20.77.213.50.710.31128.45.822.60.720.271
    Alex Reyes (R)at MIL17.711.46.30.000.29934.512.721.80.330.234
    Clayton Richard (L)v MIA25.55.619.90.110.29214.48.65.81.270.366
    Eduardo Rodriguez (L)v TOR29.58.321.30.940.32323.68.614.91.350.309
    Sal Romano (R)at ARI17.511.26.31.130.37317.79.68.11.150.325
    Fernando Romero (R)at KC 28.27.720.50.000.16223.413.010.40.500.320
    Max Scherzer (R)at BAL27.18.718.41.400.30741.14.236.90.720.200
    Luis Severino (R)v HOU28.38.020.31.040.29326.86.220.60.860.269
    Ross Stripling (R)v PHI23.17.016.20.540.25621.46.115.31.250.325
    Julio Teheran (R)v NYM16.811.55.41.450.33123.83.919.91.200.286
    Jose Urena (R)at SD 11.78.03.71.410.33421.37.913.51.090.308
    Jason Vargas (L)at ATL13.18.24.91.850.38419.67.711.91.350.326

    The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Derek VanRiper plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: RotoWireDVR, DraftKings: BentleysChair, Yahoo: d.vanriper,.
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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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