MLB DFS: Tuesday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Tuesday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Tuesday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Lucas GiolitoMike ClevingerIndians11411411010298949.5-3006:10 PM
    Jeremy HellicksonDylan BundyOrioles106103114101121949.0-1157:05 PM
    Jon LesterNick KinghamPirates969710110383948.01057:05 PM
    Charlie MortonCC SabathiaYankees1039514299123929.01007:05 PM
    Marco EstradaRick PorcelloRed Sox11411278109105999.5-1957:10 PM
    Nick TropeanoMichael FulmerTigers103981041031011049.01107:10 PM
    Steven MatzAnibal SanchezBraves1021061169881987:35 PM
    Michael WachaZach DaviesBrewers105103131961081039.0-1157:40 PM
    Kyle GibsonDanny DuffyRoyals1031028510276949.01158:15 PM
    Jeff SamardzijaKyle FreelandRockies1381211171161188711.5-1408:40 PM
    Luis CastilloZack GodleyDiamondbacks1161091061051111008.0-1209:40 PM
    Blake SnellDaniel GossettAthletics9697849787968.010010:05 PM
    Austin Bibens-DirkxFelix HernandezMariners919610594971048.0-18010:10 PM
    Dan StrailyTyson RossPadres92978597971037.0-16010:10 PM
    Jake ArrietaKenta MaedaDodgers909511396901037.5-18510:10 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Jake Arrieta (R)at LAD219.721.77.913.81.023.281.20$7,500$8,10010222.3
    Austin Bibens-Dirkx (R)at SEA75.713.46.47.01.674.761.36$4,000$6,20010519.1
    Dylan Bundy (R)v WAS232.323.87.416.41.554.301.21$9,500$9,00010619.8
    Luis Castillo (R)at ARI146.725.28.916.31.353.991.22$8,000$7,8006225.7
    Mike Clevinger (R)v CWS186.725.110.614.50.823.181.24$8,70010523.6
    Zach Davies (R)v STL229.315.47.08.40.984.041.35$5,300$7,1009623.3
    Danny Duffy (L)v MIN205.020.57.812.81.194.481.36$4,000$6,4009225.0
    Marco Estrada (R)at BOS241.020.88.412.41.615.081.39$5,500$6,80012518.6
    Kyle Freeland (L)v SF 216.317.09.08.00.963.871.40$7,900$7,40010124.0
    Michael Fulmer (R)v LAA222.018.06.511.50.773.891.18$6,000$7,60011019.9
    Kyle Gibson (R)at KC 214.019.29.39.91.224.791.47$7,300$7,3008917.4
    Lucas Giolito (R)at CLE94.314.811.92.91.345.061.35$5,6009923.7
    Zack Godley (R)v CIN210.724.79.415.40.943.671.25$8,600$7,9009620.1
    Daniel Gossett (R)v TB 105.716.87.49.51.876.131.57$4,600$6,00010521.8
    Jeremy Hellickson (R)at BAL202.015.26.38.81.694.811.19$8,200$6,5008625.0
    Felix Hernandez (R)v TEX148.020.38.212.11.644.861.33$6,900$6,3008524.7
    Nick Kingham (R)v CHC18.330.42.927.50.983.440.76$7,800$8,30011220.0
    Jon Lester (L)at PIT237.722.98.214.61.213.861.29$8,100$8,00011618.9
    Kenta Maeda (R)v PHI185.026.76.620.11.263.991.18$10,800$9,3009526.4
    Steven Matz (L)at ATL109.318.17.910.21.735.191.44$5,900$6,70014018.2
    Charlie Morton (R)at NYY208.327.78.319.40.913.151.13$12,100$9,90012123.2
    Rick Porcello (R)v TOR270.721.15.215.91.434.421.33$10,100$8,9009924.1
    Tyson Ross (R)v MIA109.320.412.28.20.995.191.46$9,200$8,4008022.8
    CC Sabathia (L)v HOU194.318.87.611.21.303.661.25$5,700$6,60011521.4
    Jeff Samardzija (R)at COL242.322.85.517.41.344.681.21$5,800$5,5007323.9
    Anibal Sanchez (R)v NYM119.321.96.515.42.045.811.55$5,100$5,80011020.3
    Blake Snell (L)at OAK194.023.410.013.51.073.621.23$10,600$8,7009623.5
    Dan Straily (R)at SD 207.721.58.712.71.564.121.31$6,300$7,0008226.7
    Nick Tropeano (R)at DET39.720.110.110.11.363.861.24$7,200$7,5009220.4
    Michael Wacha (R)at MIL222.022.28.114.10.853.811.32$8,400$8,50011123.6

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Jake Arrieta (R)at LAD23.911.212.61.020.31121.76.415.30.780.255
    Austin Bibens-Dirkx (R)at SEA8.28.20.01.640.34617.75.012.71.690.332
    Dylan Bundy (R)v WAS18.67.910.71.360.33527.57.819.71.690.307
    Luis Castillo (R)at ARI22.89.513.31.570.31427.28.418.91.150.300
    Mike Clevinger (R)v CWS22.910.912.10.810.30125.211.214.01.030.307
    Zach Davies (R)v STL17.58.09.51.090.33316.94.911.90.980.308
    Danny Duffy (L)v MIN27.54.822.70.490.21222.07.314.71.450.340
    Marco Estrada (R)at BOS22.08.213.81.310.28921.39.112.21.540.343
    Kyle Freeland (L)v SF 30.36.723.60.880.30013.29.63.60.980.333
    Michael Fulmer (R)v LAA18.17.111.00.770.29219.95.914.00.880.281
    Kyle Gibson (R)at KC 16.48.77.71.140.36019.19.29.91.290.332
    Lucas Giolito (R)at CLE13.413.8-0.41.560.35114.610.04.61.710.346
    Zack Godley (R)v CIN23.210.912.30.930.31822.56.915.71.260.313
    Daniel Gossett (R)v TB 12.99.53.51.540.38619.65.813.82.090.362
    Jeremy Hellickson (R)at BAL16.27.88.31.530.32918.74.514.21.330.300
    Felix Hernandez (R)v TEX18.19.88.31.380.33620.58.412.01.370.321
    Nick Kingham (R)v CHC20.03.316.70.000.20838.52.635.91.740.257
    Jon Lester (L)at PIT28.94.024.90.600.23922.28.513.81.240.307
    Kenta Maeda (R)v PHI20.28.611.61.290.32431.35.126.21.030.261
    Steven Matz (L)at ATL17.08.38.70.510.32122.26.315.91.520.326
    Charlie Morton (R)at NYY34.38.725.60.720.24521.58.313.21.040.328
    Rick Porcello (R)v TOR21.95.216.61.260.30920.53.816.71.150.306
    Tyson Ross (R)v MIA18.011.86.30.990.35122.511.810.70.900.305
    CC Sabathia (L)v HOU23.38.714.61.150.30518.37.810.51.220.311
    Jeff Samardzija (R)at COL21.96.615.31.430.33321.35.216.11.000.285
    Anibal Sanchez (R)v NYM22.58.713.81.430.33719.35.813.52.350.384
    Blake Snell (L)at OAK27.010.616.40.160.24123.011.012.11.070.321
    Dan Straily (R)at SD 20.311.98.41.160.31421.76.115.51.840.324
    Nick Tropeano (R)at DET22.811.611.21.360.35921.19.012.11.960.330
    Michael Wacha (R)at MIL19.98.711.10.660.29821.87.114.61.100.338

    The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Derek VanRiper plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: RotoWireDVR, DraftKings: BentleysChair, Yahoo: d.vanriper,.
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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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