If you are searching for player props that will hit in Week 17, the best bit of research you can do is betting on players to reach contract incentives. Players always play with more urgency when they know money is on the line, and here are four players to bet on in Week 17 who have very attainable statistical incentives in their contracts:
NFL Player Incentives Week 17
Player | Incentive | Current Stats | Bonus |
| Khalil Shakir Incentive 1 | 5 Rec. TDs | 4 TDs | $150,000 |
| Khalil Shakir Incentive 2 | 6 Rec. TDs | 4 TDs | $300,000 |
| Rico Dowdle Incentive 1 | 1,350 Yards From Scrimmage | 1,280 YFS | $1,000,000 |
| Rico Dowdle Incentive 2 | 8 Total TDs | 7 TDs | $250,000 |
| Keenan Allen Incentive 1 | 80 Receptions | 73 Receptions | $750,000 |
| Keenan Allen Incentive 2 | 750 Rec. Yards | 724 Rec. Yards | $250,000 |
| Keenan Allen Incentive 3 | 6 TDs | 4 TDs | $250,000 |
| Stefon Diggs Incentive 1 | 80 Receptions | 76 Receptions | $500,000 |
| Stefon Diggs Incentive 2 | 1,000 Rec. Yards | 869 Rec. Yards | $500,000 |
Khalil Shakir Incentive Week 17
- 5 Rec TD: $150,000 (4 touchdowns)
- 6 Rec TD: $300,000
It's been a rough season for the No. 1 wide receiver for the Bills as he is averaging just 45.6 yards per game. Buffalo was hopeful that he would develop into an every-down option, but that just hasn't been the case this season. However, Shakir can still earn some big incentives over the next two weeks and should see plenty of targets as the Bills are still competing for the AFC East. And if not for the division, they'll want to get the No. 5 seed, which looks to be a rematch against Pittsburgh.
Shakir needs one touchdown to earn $150,000, and with two more scores, he can add $450,000 to his wallet. Don't be surprised if the Bills give him a few more end zone looks over the next two games.
Best Khalil Shakir Prop Bets Week 17
- Khalil Shakir – Anytime Touchdown: +280 (DraftKings Sportsbook)
Rico Dowdle Incentives Week 17
- 1350 Scrimmage Yards: $1M (Current Stats: 1,280 yards)
- 8 Total TD: $250k (Current Stats: 7 TDs)
Rico Dowdle will be playing for several contract incentives, and he needs them as he is a 27-year-old running back with just $5.1M in career earnings. He's just 70 scrimmage yards away from reaching 1,350 yards on the season. That seems very doable despite not rushing for more than 58 yards in any of the past six games. If he were to reach that incentive, it would make up over 16% of his career earnings. Needless to say, you can bet Dowdle will do everything possible to get 70 yards in Week 17.
He can make an additional $250,000 by getting into the end zone this week, but that could be challenging considering he's scored just once in the last five weeks. It's not an easy matchup for him with the Panthers hosting the Seahawks, but don't be surprised if he gets it done.
Best Rico Dowdle Prop Bets: Week 17
- Rico Dowdle – Anytime Touchdown: +195 (DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Rico Dowdle – Rushing + Receiving Yards: OVER 65.5 (FanDuel Sportsbook)
Keenan Allen Incentives Week 17
- 80 receptions: $750,000 (Current Stats: 73 receptions)
- 750 receiving yards: $250,000 (Current Stats: 724 receiving yards)
- 6 touchdowns: $250,000 (Current Stats: 4 touchdowns)
Keenan Allen has been reborn in Los Angeles and it has everything to do with Justin Herbert. And he's on the verge of hitting multiple incentives that could pay him upwards of $1,000,000. And with the Chargers still in the hunt for the No. 1 seed in the AFC, expect Allen to see plenty of targets over the next two weeks. He should reach 750 receiving yards by the end of Week 17 and it's not out of the equation that he gets to 80 receptions, either.
Best Keenan Allen Prop Bets: Week 17
- Keenan Allen – Receptions: OVER 3.5 (DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Keenan Allen – Receiving Yards: OVER 33.5 (FanDuel Sportsbook)
Stefon Diggs Incentives Week 17
- 80 receptions: $500k (Current Stats: 76 receptions)
- 1000 receiving yards: $500k (Current Stats: 869 yards)
Diggs had a massive performance on Sunday Night Football, and that has suddenly put multiple incentives in play for him over the final two weeks. The concern for Diggs is that the Patriots could rest him in Week 18 if they have nothing to play for, which means he needs a big Week 17 to close in on a few goals.
Diggs needs four receptions to trigger a $500,000 bonus for 80 receptions, and that feels very attainable. But he needs 141 yards over the final two games to reach 1,000 yards on the season. That feels a bit out of reach for Week 17, but he is coming off a 138-yard game, and the Jets don't have the cornerbacks to slow him down. Don't expect him to reach that number, but expect a big game for the former All-Pro wide receiver.
And with Kayshon Boutte and Mac Hollins both out, Stefon Diggs should be getting the ball early and often on Sunday.
Best Stefon Diggs Prop Bets: Week 17
- Stefon Diggs – Receptions: OVER 4.5 (BetMGM Sportsbooks)
- Stefon Diggs – Receiving Yards: OVER 59.5 (BetMGM Sportsbook)
