Texans at Colts Betting Odds, Picks and Predictions for Week 13
We have a key AFC South matchup in Week 13 with the Colts hosting the Texans. The Colts sit atop the division at 8-3, while the Texans are 6-5 and in third place. Let's look at the betting side of this game and highlight three wagers to consider.
Mike Barner's season record: 38-34 (-3.58 units)
Texans at Colts Betting Odds
Colts: Spread -3.5 (-105 Fanatic, FanDuel), -178 Moneyline (FanDuel)
Texans: Spread +3.5 (-110 Bet365, BetMTM, Caesars, DraftKings), +165 Moneyline (BetMGM)
Game Total: Over 44 (-110 Bet365), Under 45 (-114 BetRivers)
Despite reportedly dealing with a fractured fibula, Daniel Jones is still expected to play against the Texans. C.J. Stroud (concussion) is expected to make his return after being sidelined for the last three games.
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Texans at Colts Betting Picks
Dalton Schultz over 41.5 receiving yards (-114 FanDuel) for 1 Unit
Schultz finished with just one catch for eight yards in a win over the Bills last week. He was only targeted four times in the victory. It was a rare off performance from him, considering that he had posted at least five receptions and 51 receiving yards in five of his previous six games. He had also been targeted at least eight times in four of his previous five matchups.
Playing the Colts puts Schultz in a favorable position to get back on track. They are tied for the seventh-most receptions allowed to tight ends in the league. They have also allowed 8.19 yards per target to the position. With the expectation that Schultz receives more opportunities this week, he could blow past this line.
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Woody Marks over 14.5 rush attempts (-128 DraftKings) for 1 Unit
Marks has taken over as the lead running back for the Texans. He has received at least 14 carries in each of the last three games. That included 18 carries against the Titans in Week 11, and 16 rushing attempts versus the Bills in Week 12. Over that three-game stretch, Nick Chubb only ran the ball a total of 14 times.
The Texans have one of the best defenses in the league, so they don't need to take a ton of chances on offense to win games. Stroud coming back could actually provide a boost for Marks in terms of his rushing attempts. Stroud has averaged just 30.3 pass attempts per game, while Davis Mills has averaged 38.7 attempts over his three starts. Marks has been busy even with Mills throwing more, so I think he comes away with at least 15 carries again.
Race to 30 points: NEITHER (-161 DraftKings) for 1 Unit
The Texans don't usually score a ton of points. They are averaging 22.1 points per game for the season. In terms of this prop, they have reached at least 30 points just two times. Over their last four games, they have scored 23 points or fewer three times.
The Colts are the much more potent offensive team. They lead the NFL by averaging 31.0 points per game. However, the Jones injury is a concern. Even though he is expected to play, his mobility might be limited. The Texans have allowed just 16.5 points per game, so putting points on the board won't be easy for the Colts. Last season, neither of these teams reached 30 points in either of their two matchups.
Texans at Colts Prediction
The Colts are 6-0 at home, while the Texans are 2-3 on the road. The Jones injury is worrisome as his mobility is often a key to his success. Still, the home-field advantage might be too much for the Texans to overcome in what has the makings of a low-scoring affair.
Colts 24, Texans 20
