Most Lucky and Unlucky Power 4 College Football Teams

Discover the luckiest and unluckiest Power 4 college football teams from each week of the season. Find out which conference topped the luck rankings and why!
Most Lucky and Unlucky Power 4 College Football Teams

Using data from TeamRankings.com, RotoWire.com pulled out the most lucky and unlucky college football teams among the Power 4 conferences, based on the luck rankings from week 2 of the season. We also ranked the conferences against one another based on average team rankings in terms of luck, as part of our college football betting insight.

Most Lucky Power 4 Teams 

Rank Team Lucky Rating 
N.C. State Wolfpack 0.8 (↑7) 
T2 Iowa State Cyclones 0.7 (↑2) 
T2 Mississippi State Bulldogs 0.7 (↑11) 
T4 Florida State Seminoles 0.6 (↓3) 
T4 Miami Hurricanes 0.6 (↓2) 
T4 Michigan State Spartans 0.6 (↓14) 
LSU Tigers 0.5 (↓5) 
T8 Auburn Tigers 0.4 (-) 
T8 Rutgers Scarlet Knights 0.4 (-) 
T10 Ohio State Buckeyes 0.3 (↓6) 
T10 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 0.3 (↓6) 
T10 Maryland Terrapins 0.3 (↑8) 
T10 Vanderbilt Commodores 0.3 (↑18) 
T10 Missouri Tigers 0.3 (↑18) 

This data comes from the TeamRankings.com site.

When it comes to college football teams that are living well, it's hard to beat the North Carolina State Wolfpack. N.C. State (2-0) has a plus-11 point differential combined after victories over East Carolina and Virginia this year.

Overall, the Wolfpack's luck rating of 0.8 ranked just ahead of Iowa State and Mississippi State, who check in at 0.7 apiece. The Cyclones beat Iowa, 16-13, in the contest lovingly known as "El Assico," while the latter held on for dear life to upset then-No. 12 Arizona State, 24-20, to move to 2-0. The Bulldogs have matched their total number of wins from last season, though CFB futures lines still consider them a longshot to do much else.

In Iowa State's case, the home side moved to 3-0 despite gaining just 238 yards. The Cyclones forced an interception and held the visiting Hawkeyes to even fewer yards (214).

For the Bulldogs, it was more a matter of surviving than thriving. MSU led 17-3 at the half before holding on for dear life, with ASU scoring 17 points in the second half to close things up. Bulldogs QB Brenen Thompson won it on a 58-yard TD pass with 30 seconds left.

Other lovable winners so far in Power 4 conferences (the SEC, Big 12, Big Ten and ACC) include the Florida State Seminoles, Miami Hurricanes and Michigan State Spartans, all with matching scores of 0.6. The LSU Tigers are seventh at 0.5 this week and Auburn and Rutgers are tied for eighth, at 0.4 apiece.

Here is a look at the other side of luck. Remember, the best sportsbook promo codes are here at RotoWire.com.

Most Unlucky Power 4 Teams 

Rank Team Lucky Rating 
Kansas State Wildcats -1.0 (↑4) 
Florida Gators -0.8 (↑25) 
Alabama Crimson Tide -0.6 (↓2) 
T4 West Virginia Mountaineers -0.5 (↑22) 
T4 Boston College Eagles -0.5 (↑22) 
T6 Virginia Cavaliers -0.4 (↑28) 
T6 Iowa Hawkeyes -0.4 (↑18) 
T6 Virginia Tech Hokies -0.4 (↑1) 
T6 Clemson Tigers -0.4 (↓7) 
10 Michigan Wolverines -0.3 (↑17) 

Can the unluckiest teams so far turn things around for their college football odds this season?

On the flip end of the coin toss, we have the teams with the least amount of luck through the first weekend in September.

Kansas State fell to 1-2 after losing to Army at home, 24-21 on Saturday. The visiting Black Knights scored 10 unanswered points to seal the win.

Overall, the Wildcats and their minus-1.0 luck score is just ahead of the Florida Gators (minus-0.8), who managed to lose at home to USF, 18-16, despite holding the ball for nearly 10 more minutes than their visitors from Tampa. USF pulled off the upset on a day where they entered as an 18-point underdog on most U.S. sports betting sites.

Other CFB teams that join the Gators and Wildcats on the wrong end of our luck scale include the Alabama Crimson Tide, who have the third-worst luck score at minus-0.6 despite getting right in a 73-0 cakewalk over Louisiana Monroe on Saturday. The West Virginia Mountaineers and Boston College Eagles are next in line with matching lucky scores of minus-0.5.

Virginia, Iowa, Virginia Tech and Clemson (minus-0.4) share matching lucky scores, followed by Michigan (-0.3) for the full top 10 list of unluckiest FBS teams in the country right now. Real money sportsbook apps have lines and props for college football all season.

Power 4 Conference Luck Index 

Rank Conference Average Team Ranking 
T1 SEC 23 (↓2) 
T1 Big Ten 23 (↓3) 
ACC 25 (-) 
Big 12 30 (↓2) 

The SEC and Big Ten have the best luck of any conference so far, with an average team ranking of 23 for each, among Power 4 leagues. The ACC is third (25 average team ranking) and the Big 12 brings up the rear, with an average team ranking of 30.

The Big Ten and SEC lay claim to each of the top six CFP championship leaders on the bet365 sportsbook CFP odds board as of Sept. 9, with Ohio State (+550), Penn State and Georgia (+600 apiece), Texas (+750), LSU and Oregon (+1000 each) leading the way. It's fair to say that both power conferences will take things just as they are across the gridirons of the Power 4 level so far this college football season.

For the top college football betting promos, let RotoWire.com be your guide all season.

Q&A:

Q: Which Power 4 college football team was ranked the luckiest after Week 2?

A: According to TeamRankings.com data compiled by RotoWire, the North Carolina State Wolfpack were ranked the luckiest Power 4 team after Week 2, posting a luck rating of 0.8. Iowa State and Mississippi State followed closely behind at 0.7, Florida State, Miami (Fla.), and Michigan State were tied at 0.6.

Q: Who are the unluckiest Power 4 teams after Week 2 of the college football season?

A: The Kansas State Wildcats topped the "unlucky" list with a luck rating of minus-1.0, followed by Florida Gators (-0.8) and Alabama Crimson Tide (-0.6). Other teams struggling with bad breaks included the West Virginia Mountaineers and Boston College Eagles, all finishing with negative scores in the Week 2 luck rankings.

Q: Which Power 4 conference has the best overall luck score after Week 2?

A: The SEC and Big Ten came out on top with the highest average team luck rankings (23), making them the "luckiest" conferences of Week 2. The ACC ranked third (25) while the Big 12 was the unluckiest Power 4 conference with an average team ranking of 30.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Christopher has covered the sports betting industry for more than seven years, and takes the lead on both sports analysis and legislative developments for GDC Group. His work has also appeared on ArizonaSports.com, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.
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