Willy Adames

29-Year-Old ShortstopSS

San Francisco Giants

2024 Stats

AVG

.251

RBI

112

2025 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2025 Fantasy Outlook

Adames had a down year in 2023 with 24 homers and a career-low .717 OPS, but he rebounded last season in a contract year as he finished with 32 home runs, 112 RBI, 93 runs, 21 steals and a .251/.331/.462 slash line. That set a new career high for homers, which came as the result of an increased 20.6-degree launch angle. It wasn't all roses for Adames in 2024, however, as he took a major step back defensively with minus-16 Defensive Runs Saved and zero Outs Above Average, which is a difference of 24 and 16, respectively, from his 2023 figures in each category. A defensive bounce back in 2025 wouldn't be surprising, but he is unlikely to approach his 2024 offensive production, especially after signing a long-term deal with the Giants. Given that the Brewers were second in the majors in stolen-base attempts and the Giants ranked 28th, there's no reason to project Adames to approach his 21 steals from 2024, and he'll also be playing his home games in the fourth-worst park for righty power, per Statcast (Brewers' home park ranks sixth best). Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

From Preseason

Overall Rank

Dynasty

#78

ADP

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'0"

Weight 210

DOB 9/2/1995

Born Santiago, DR

College None

Drafted 2012 DET

Seven-year deal official

SSSan Francisco Giants

December 10, 2024

Adames officially signed his seven-year, $182 million contract with the Giants on Tuesday after passing his physical, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.

ANALYSIS
Adames' deal contains a full no-trade clause and will keep him on the Giants' books through the 2031 contract. He netted the big contract after he hit .251 while establishing career highs in home runs (32), stolen bases (21), RBI (112) and runs (93) over his 161 games with the Brewers in 2024. Expect Adames' stolen-base production to a take hit with the move to a Giants squad that wasn't active in the run game under manager Bob Melvin a season ago, and his home-run total will likely drop as well while he leaves the more favorable hitting confines of American Family Field for a more pitcher-friendly environment in Oracle Park.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+12%

OPS vs RHP

2024

+37%

OPS vs RHP

2023

+9%

OPS vs LHP

2022

+11%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.693	506	62	13	55	8	.215	.318	.374
Since 2022vs Right	.779	1435	187	74	235	26	.243	.312	.467
2024vs Left	.623	179	25	4	16	3	.191	.307	.316
2024vs Right	.851	509	68	28	96	18	.271	.340	.511
2023vs Left	.763	159	18	4	19	2	.231	.352	.410
2023vs Right	.701	477	55	20	61	3	.212	.296	.406
2022vs Left	.699	168	19	5	20	3	.224	.298	.401
2022vs Right	.778	449	64	26	78	5	.243	.298	.479
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+9%

OPS at Home

2024

+5%

OPS at Home

2023

+17%

OPS at Home

2022

+5%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.789	949	133	51	158	16	.238	.316	.473
Since 2022Away	.727	992	116	36	132	18	.234	.311	.415
2024Home	.815	330	44	18	65	11	.247	.330	.485
2024Away	.774	358	49	14	47	10	.254	.332	.442
2023Home	.775	310	42	15	45	2	.230	.319	.456
2023Away	.661	326	31	9	35	3	.205	.301	.360
2022Home	.775	309	47	18	48	3	.235	.298	.477
2022Away	.738	308	36	13	50	5	.241	.299	.440
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Stat Review

How does Willy Adames compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.43

BB Rate

10.8%

K Rate

25.1%

BABIP

.297

ISO

.211

AVG

.251

OBP

.331

SLG

.462

OPS

.794

wOBA

.346

Exit Velocity

88.6 mph

Hard Hit Rate

31.5%

Barrels/PA

7.7%

Expected BA

.243

Expected SLG

.461

Sprint Speed

21.4 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

31.4%

Line Drive %

18.9%

Fly Ball %

49.8%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Willy Adames Prospect Ranking History

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

Adames' 2023 campaign was a frustrating one, as he clubbed 24-plus homers for the third straight year and had a career-best 11.7 percent walk rate, but his .217/.310/.417 slash line left plenty to be desired. He may have deserved some better results with a .242 xBA and .442 SLG, but he saw his hard-hit rate drop by over seven points to 36.1 percent, while he also swung at more pitches out of the zone (a career-high 35.6 percent). He still provided strong defense at shortstop with plus-eight DRS, which is likely why he was able to retain his everyday spot in the lineup. Adames had relatively neutral home/road splits during his first full season with Milwaukee in 2022, but he was awful on the road last year with a .665 OPS. He could be a buy-low candidate for 2024 given his previous success but will obviously come with some risk for fantasy managers, especially if struggles persist away from American Family Field.

Adames's 2022 outlook reminded fantasy managers how the shortstop was two different players: the struggling Home Willy at Tropicana Field and the awesome Road Willy away from it. Adames certainly enjoyed a full season in his new home as he hit 18 of his 31 homers in Milwaukee while setting a career high in RBIs and steals while finishing as the seventh most valuable shorstop on the season in standard formats. The new home digs helped him with homers, but switching leagues and divisions threw in a level of unfamilarity which led to batting average challenges both at home and on the road despite his third consecutive reduction in strikeout rate as his challenges with non-fastballs continue to linger. Adames is in a contract year, and has proven his merits defensively and has shown the ability to hit for power, but he remains a batting average risk until he shows he can effectively handle non-fastballs.

Fantasy managers and Rays fans were well aware of the split personalities of Home Willy and Road Willy heading into 2021. The shortstop mashed on the road but struggled to hit at home while complaining about the lights at Tropicana Field. The late-May trade to Milwaukee freed Road Willy into full-time masher as he hit .285/.366/.521 after the trade with 20 homers, 61 runs and 58 RBI while missing some time late in the season on the injury list. Now Adames will enjoy a full season in his new comfy home in a division with no less than three teams in rebuild mode in Pittsburgh, Chicago and Cincinnati. There were those who thought Adames had a chance at NL MVP before he went down with his injury, and he is absolutely in that conversation to begin 2022. In addition to the favorable conditions he now enjoys in his home park, he has a decent surrounding cast and will play an imbalanced schedule against projected second-division clubs.

At 25 years old, Adames already has more than 1,100 PA under his belt at the major-league level. Known more for his glove at shortstop, Adames seemed to be making major strides at the plate in 2020 only to lose a lot of that steam in the playoffs. He was 37% better than league average by wRC+ during the regular season, but he also struck out 36.1% of the time and those swing-and-miss issues carried over to the postseason (25 strikeouts in 59 at-bats). Statcast paints a pretty grim picture when it comes to expected stats, and Adames' whiff rate on offspeed pitches stands out as an obvious red flag. We still like the talent and pedigree, but complicating matters is the fact that Wander Franco, the top prospect in baseball, is breathing down his neck. Adames' defense remains a plus and it's not out of the question that Franco could break in at second base and push Brandon Lowe to the outfield full time.

There was a time when .254 with 20 homers and four steals from a shortstop would be envied. Now, the position is the infield's strongest. Adames is still just 24 years and showing signs of improvement, despite what appears to be a downturn from his rookie campaign. Adames doesn't have an elite ceiling, but he can elevate up the ranks. His contact, hard-hit rate and average exit velocity all increased during his sophomore season; the results just don't reflect the gains. Adames' xwOBA in 2018 was .293 while it was .315 last season, illustrating the better skills, though that mark is still tepid compared to other shortstops. Adames' perceived step back creates a buying opportunity for a cheap middle infielder with breakout potential, including steals as his sprint speed is well above average. Plus, he's the rare Tampa position player in the lineup nearly every day thanks to his stellar defense.

Stop us if you have heard this story before: prospect crushes Triple-A pitching while fans and fantasy players pine for his promotion. Player is promoted, has early success, but then goes into a huge slump. Prospect is demoted, comes back with a new mindset, and eventually reaches the levels of success everyone hoped he would immediately enjoy. Blake Snell did that in 2017 and Adames did that in 2018. He hit .224/.227/.329 with a 34% strikeout rate before he was demoted in July, but returned to hit .305/.383/.435 over the rest of the season with a 27% strikeout rate and an 11% walk rate. The power will come as he continues to physically mature as he is still just 23 years old. He will hit 20 homers in a season before he steals 10 bases, and that could happen in 2019. Adames is not going to be a superstar, but he will be a better-than-average offensive shortstop for the foreseeable future.

There may not be a better example in the minors of the difference between game power and raw power. Adames has never hit more than 11 home runs in a season and his career-high ISO is .159. However, he is one of the strongest shortstops in pro ball and has plus raw power. As he grows more comfortable and receives more upper-level instruction, he will start to access that power more in games, and when he does, his stock will explode. His best current offensive skill is his ability to work the count and get on base at a high clip, posting walk rates over 11 percent ever since joining the Rays in 2014. This pairs nicely with his above-average hit tool, and should eventually allow him to hit near the top of a big-league lineup. Adames will chip in a handful of steals, but he is not a burner. Some have questioned whether he would stick at shortstop long term, but he silenced the doubters in 2017, and should take over as the Rays' shortstop of the future early this season.

The 21-year-old enjoyed a strong year at Double-A Montgomery, slashing .274/.366/.409 with career highs in homers, walks and stolen bases. His numbers were up across the board from his 2015 campaign at High-A Charlotte, and he now looks to take the next step at Triple-A Durham in the coming season. Part of his improvement was in the area of plate discipline, as he lowered his strikeout rate almost a full six percentage points to 21.3 percent. Adames was added to the Rays' 40-man roster on Nov. 18, and if he continues to thrive in Triple-A, he could potentially see the field with the big league club before the end of the 2017 campaign. Based on his body of work to date, Adames projects as an excellent multi-category fantasy producer whenever he does settle in with the Rays for good.

Adames came to Tampa Bay in the David Price deal and is a very intriguing prospect, despite what the stats have been thus far. He will open the season in Double-A Montgomery as a 20-year-old, making him one of the youngest players in the league at a critical position. With Daniel Robertson in front of him, the Rays have no reason to rush him to the majors, but of the two, it is likely Adames that will stick at shortstop while Robertson goes to second base. The offense should begin to look better as he fills out physically. The recent acquisition of Brad Miller under a few more years of player control almost ensures Adames won’t be seen until 2018.

Adames was the third piece the Rays received in the David Price deal, and unlike Drew Smyly and Nick Franklin, Adames is several years away from the big leagues. However, he has the potential to be the best player of the three, especially if he can stick up the middle. A bat-first shortstop, Adames spent his entire age-18 season at the Low-A affiliates of the Tigers and the Rays, compiling a .271/.353/.429 slash line with eight home runs and six steals in 514 plate appearances. For an 18-year-old to do that in a full season league suggests he is advanced enough with the stick to move fast if his defense does not hold him back. An optimistic ETA would be late 2016, with a more likely debut in the summer of 2017. Still, in dynasty leagues where each team gets 10 minor league keepers, Adames needs to be owned based on his potential production in power and batting average, which should play even if he gets moved to third base.

More Fantasy News

Gets seven-year megadeal

SSSan Francisco Giants

December 7, 2024

Adames agreed to a seven-year, $182 million contract with the Giants on Saturday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.