Vladimir Guerrero
25-Year-Old
2024 Stats
AVG
.296
HR
13
RBI
50
R
42
SB
2
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
In the spring of 2022, Guerrero Jr. famously stated that 2021 was a trailer and now fans will see a movie. Like most sequels, the team and the player has failed to deliver on promises. Guerrero's 2021 nomadic season in friendly run environments helped him established career hights he has failed to come close to in each of the past two seasons. Management tweaked Rogers Centre before the 2023 season, but that did not prevent Guerrero's overall numbers from sliding for a second consecutive season as he and the rest of the club struggled to produce runs despite plenty of traffic on the bases throughout the season. If you treat 2021 as an outlier rather than a ceiling, 2024 Guerrero Jr. should not disappoint you given his skills provide a very high floor. Just remember that sequels are rarely better than the original and Vlady's 2021 season is a cult classic that should be appreciated rather than expected. Read Past Outlooks
Returns to Toronto lineup
Guerrero (finger) will start at first base and bat third in Tuesday's game versus the Astros.
ANALYSIS
Guerrero was removed from Sunday's game after being hit in the right hand by a pitch and didn't play Monday due to swelling in the fourth and fifth fingers on his right hand. However, he's feeling well enough to give it a go Tuesday as the Blue Jays continue their series against the Astros.
Guerrero was removed from Sunday's game after being hit in the right hand by a pitch and didn't play Monday due to swelling in the fourth and fifth fingers on his right hand. However, he's feeling well enough to give it a go Tuesday as the Blue Jays continue their series against the Astros.
Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
27
41
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
8
9
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
+6%
OPS vs RHP
2024
+5%
OPS vs LHP
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .770 | 317 | 9 | 40 | .268 | ||||
Since 2022vs Right | .820 | 1447 | 62 | 201 | .276 | ||||
2024vs Left | .878 | 71 | 3 | 19 | .283 | ||||
2024vs Right | .834 | 305 | 10 | 31 | .299 | ||||
2023vs Left | .766 | 124 | 2 | 9 | .284 | ||||
2023vs Right | .792 | 558 | 24 | 85 | .260 | ||||
2022vs Left | .711 | 122 | 4 | 12 | .245 | ||||
2022vs Right | .841 | 584 | 28 | 85 | .280 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
+4%
OPS on Road
2024
+3%
OPS at Home
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | .797 | 871 | 35 | 129 | .270 | ||||
Since 2022Away | .827 | 893 | 36 | 112 | .281 | ||||
2024Home | .854 | 190 | 6 | 28 | .318 | ||||
2024Away | .830 | 186 | 7 | 22 | .274 | ||||
2023Home | .716 | 336 | 10 | 46 | .238 | ||||
2023Away | .858 | 346 | 16 | 48 | .289 | ||||
2022Home | .842 | 345 | 19 | 55 | .273 | ||||
2022Away | .795 | 361 | 13 | 42 | .276 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Vladimir Guerrero compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.65BB Rate
10.4%K Rate
16.0%BABIP
.330ISO
.171AVG
.296OBP
.373SLG
.467OPS
.840wOBA
.371Exit Velocity
94.3 mphHard Hit Rate
41.2%Barrels/PA
9.6%Expected BA
.302Expected SLG
.532Sprint Speed
22.3 ft/secGround Ball %
51.8%Line Drive %
18.6%Fly Ball %
29.6%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
It was expected that Guerrero would drop back from his incredible 2021 season due to Toronto playing full-time at Rogers Centre rather than the cozy environments of Dunedin and Buffalo, as well as the changes to Camden Yards for road trips. Factor in the mushball and his homers dropped off to where we realistically should have expected them to be, but it was surprising to see both his runs and RBIs fall back below 100 considering the talent in the lineup around him in Toronto. Whereas he hit .315 with 11 homers with runners in scoring position in 2021, those numbers fell to .267 and five respectively last year in nearly identical sample sizes. RISP production lacks year-over-year stickiness, but it was an issue last year as the league did tend to pitch around him leading to more walks (11 percent) in those situations than others (eight percent.) The eight steals were a nice bonus, considering he is not the fleetest of foot. We can call him a five-category contributor as a first baseman; he cannot quite pull off a younger Paul Goldschmidt, but who can?
More Fantasy News
Wasn't available to pinch hit
Blue Jays manager John Schneider said that Guerrero (finger) wasn't available to pinch hit Monday versus the Astros after being a late scratch from the lineup, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Scratched from lineup
Guerrero was scratched from the lineup for Monday's game against the Astros due to right fourth/fifth finger discomfort, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Cleared for Canada Day start
Guerrero (hand) will start at first base and bat third in Monday's game against the Astros.
ANALYSIS
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X-rays negative on hand
Guerrero had X-rays on his right hand come back negative after being hit by a pitch during Sunday's 8-1 loss to the Yankees, Hazel Mae of Sportsnet reports.
ANALYSIS
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Continues hot streak in win
Guerrero went 3-for-5 with a home run and six RBI in Saturday's 9-3 win over the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Not expected to move
According to Bob Nightengale of USA Today, the Blue Jays aren't expected to trade Guerrero, who is dealing with a finger discomfort, until at least the offseason.
ANALYSIS
Trade rumors have persisted despite GM Ross Atkins downplaying the possibility of dealing Guerrero and Bo Bichette this summer, who both are under contract for 2025, and it appears Atkins is continuing with that mindset. Guerrero had a rough first month of the season as he finished April with a .229/.331/.347 slash line, but he's crushed the ball over the past two months with a .942 OPS in 52 games. The 25-year-old's .174 ISO would be his lowest since his rookie campaign, but he's making more consistent strong contact with a career-best 57.8 percent hard-hit rate.
Trade rumors have persisted despite GM Ross Atkins downplaying the possibility of dealing Guerrero and Bo Bichette this summer, who both are under contract for 2025, and it appears Atkins is continuing with that mindset. Guerrero had a rough first month of the season as he finished April with a .229/.331/.347 slash line, but he's crushed the ball over the past two months with a .942 OPS in 52 games. The 25-year-old's .174 ISO would be his lowest since his rookie campaign, but he's making more consistent strong contact with a career-best 57.8 percent hard-hit rate.