Trevor Larnach

Larnach struggled in his first taste of the majors as the 2018 first-round draft pick had difficulty making contact despite prodigious power. He showed promise after he was recalled in May by hitting seven home runs with a .775 OPS in his first 47 games. He fell into a long slump in the second half by hitting .167 with a .480 OPS before demoted in August. He has a sweet left-handed swing with plus power, but will need to reduce his strikeouts (34.6%) and show more promise against left-handed pitchers (.525 OPS). He has limited defensive ability as corner outfielder, so his bat will need to force himself into the lineup. He'll likely need to right himself at Triple-A before getting another chance, but could factor as a reserve or in a platoon role right away with a strong spring. He still has upside as a three-category anchor who hits around .260 with 30-plus home runs.

If the only aspect of evaluating prospects for fantasy was triple-slash line potential with the assumption of everyday at-bats, Larnach would be ranked quite a bit higher. However, he fits best in left field, where he still projects to be a below-average defender, and he won't be a threat on the bases. He is an imposing 6-foot-4 slugger who struck out 27.6 percent of the time as a 22-year-old at Double-A in 2019. Larnach is a good hitter for his size, given his plus-plus all-fields power, but strikeouts will probably always be a part of the package, given his long levers. This all puts a lot of pressure on Larnach to do a ton of damage at the plate in order for him to just be a 2- or 3-win player. He should debut this summer and his sweet left-handed swing should keep him in the majors for a long time. The most likely good outcome is a three-category anchor who hits around .260 with 30-plus home runs.

He has not put up jaw-dropping counting stats, but Larnach has been consistently dominant at every full-season stop. In 2018, he logged a 149 wRC+ at Low-A and followed that up with a 148 wRC+ at High-A and Double-A (48% better than a league-average hitter). He has had an Oppo% over 30% and a GB% under 49% at every stop and owns a 10.6 BB% against full-season pitching. The skill set seemed incredibly stable until he struck out 27.6% of the time at Double-A, up from 20.5% at High-A. For a 22-year-old who is a near lock to get double-digit starts at designated hitter every year, Larnach needs to have a pretty airtight offensive profile to be a real asset. The left-handed slugger has plus raw power but has not been able to get to it consistently in games. Given the Twins' organizational depth chart, Larnach is unlikely to reach the majors this year unless he dominates in the upper levels.

Where a player gets drafted is part of the story, but often just a small part when it comes to dynasty-league value. Case in point: Larnach, an Oregon State outfielder the Twins selected with the No. 20 pick in the 2018 draft, might be the best fantasy asset from that class. He projects as a fringe-average defender in an outfield corner, but his bat has a chance to be special. Larnach handled the Appy League with ease (139 wRC+), lacing balls to all fields while walking almost as much as he struck out. He didn't slow down after a promotion to Low-A, notching a 0.65 BB/K, .209 ISO and 149 wRC+ -- marks that would have ranked in the top seven in the Midwest League among qualified hitters. Despite standing 6-foot-4, 210 pounds, Larnach covers the entire plate with a beautiful left-handed swing, displaying easy plus power. He won't be much of a threat on the bases by the time he reaches the majors, but could hit .300 with 30-plus homers in his peak seasons.