Taj Bradley

Taj Bradley

23-Year-Old PitcherSP
Tampa Bay Rays
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Much was expected from Bradley heading into the 2023 season, and he delivered on a portion of that. The best thing we could say about Bradley is he struck out 28% of the batters he faced in his rookie season with a 19.6% K-BB%. That is where the fantasy accolades end because his other efforts were hurtful to many fantasy rosters. Bradley struggled with his command and the misses within the strike zone often led to homers as he allowed 32 homers in 142.1 innings of work between Durham and Tampa Bay. Bradley's 2023 season looks a lot like Triston McKenzie's 2021 season, which is what fantasy managers should look at for hope this season. Bradley's curveball and changeup got the job done, but the misses with his fastball and cutter led to 20 of the 23 homers he allowed at the big league level. Kyle Snyder has an outstanding track record of helping pitchers improve their execution and Bradley is quite capable of doing in 2024 whan McKenzie did in 2022. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#292
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Rays in March of 2024.
Punches out seven
PTampa Bay Rays
September 27, 2024
Bradley allowed three hits and a walk over six shutout frames Friday, striking out seven and earning a win over the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
Bradley didn't face much of a threat as he rolled through his season finale. He needed only 71 pitches to complete the outing and forced 11 whiffs, including four with his splitter. It was Bradley's second quality start over his last seven appearances, and he finished the year with back-to-back wins. He posted a 2.90 ERA over 68.1 innings before the All-Star break, but his season ERA ended at 4.11 through 25 starts due to some second-half struggles. Bradley posted a 5.30 ERA while going 4-7 over his final 13 starts this season.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
92
Last 10 Games
91
Last 5 Games
93
How many pitches does Taj Bradley generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Taj Bradley generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-14%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
2022
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .241 540 161 47 117 30 2 16
Since 2022vs Right .247 498 122 39 111 17 2 29
2024vs Left .252 310 86 27 70 17 1 10
2024vs Right .216 268 68 20 52 5 0 12
2023vs Left .227 230 75 20 47 13 1 6
2023vs Right .282 230 54 19 59 12 2 17
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-4%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-10%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-4%
ERA on Road
2022
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.66 1.19 123.2 7 11 0 11.2 2.7 1.7
Since 2022Away 4.84 1.40 119.0 6 8 0 9.8 3.7 1.7
2024Home 3.89 1.16 71.2 4 7 0 12.1 3.0 1.4
2024Away 4.34 1.30 66.1 4 4 0 7.9 3.1 1.5
2023Home 5.71 1.23 52.0 3 4 0 10.0 2.3 2.1
2023Away 5.47 1.54 52.2 2 4 0 12.1 4.4 1.9
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Taj Bradley compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.28
 
K/9
10.0
 
BB/9
3.1
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
96.4 mph
 
ERA
4.11
 
WHIP
1.22
 
BABIP
.298
 
GB/FB
1.23
 
Left On Base
73.1%
 
Exit Velocity
83.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.9%
 
Spin Rate
2104 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.5%
 
Swinging Strike
13.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
Bradley put up an ERA north of 2.00 for the first time since 2019 when he logged a 3.66 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 53:15 K:BB in 12 starts (59 innings) at Triple-A. His 177.2-inning stretch from Single-A to High-A to Double-A across 2021 and 2022 where he kept his ERA under 2.00 with a 0.92 WHIP and 211:49 K:BB is one of the best prolonged statistical runs a pitching prospect has had in recent memory. All the while, Bradley has had his top two pitches down -- a mid-90s fastball with good life and a hard cutter that eats hitters up. He still hasn't added a reliable third offering, but his athleticism and command are well ahead of the typical 21-year-old starting pitcher. The Rays enter the season without need of Bradley's services in the rotation, so he should return to Triple-A for at least a month or two to try to develop a third pitch he can use when he makes his big-league debut this summer.
Bradley may still be a little underrated, but he fully broke out in 2021. The athletic 6-foot-2 righty logged a 1.83 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and 123:31 K:BB in 103.1 innings across Low-A and High-A. He had a run from May 25 through Aug. 6 where he was borderline untouchable, registering a 0.76 ERA, 0.71 WHIP and 70 strikeouts in 59 innings across 12 starts. Bradley boasts a mid-90s fastball and a blazing fast slider that he locates well. His curveball and changeup are still coming along, but given the Rays' track record and Bradley's youth (turns 21 in March), the expectation is that he will have a full, dominant repertoire by the time he reaches the majors. A lot can go wrong with pitching prospects who are over a year away from the majors, even ones as talented as Bradley, but he is one of the few such pitchers worth coveting in dynasty leagues.
More Fantasy News
Allows one run in win
PTampa Bay Rays
September 21, 2024
Bradley (7-11) earned the win against the Blue Jays on Saturday, allowing one run on six hits and two walks with four strikeouts over five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Fans six in loss
PTampa Bay Rays
September 15, 2024
Bradley (6-11) yielded two runs on five hits and three walks over 4.1 innings Sunday, striking out six and taking a loss against Cleveland.
ANALYSIS
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Records quality start
PTampa Bay Rays
September 10, 2024
Bradley didn't factor into the decision Tuesday against the Phillies, allowing four runs (three earned) on six hits and three walks over six innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out 10 in loss
PTampa Bay Rays
September 5, 2024
Bradley (6-10) took the loss against the Twins on Thursday, allowing four runs on six hits and one walk while striking out 10 batters over seven innings.
ANALYSIS
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Hammered for eight runs
PTampa Bay Rays
August 30, 2024
Bradley (6-9) allowed eight runs on eight hits and two walks over 2.1 innings Friday, striking out two and taking a loss against the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Top AL pitcher for July
PTampa Bay Rays
August 6, 2024
Bradley was named the American League Pitcher of the Month for July on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander finished the month with a dud against the Marlins on July 31 as he allowed four runs over five innings, but he still posted a 1.45 ERA, 0.81 WHIP and 31:8 K:BB in 31 innings across five starts. Bradley is in the midst of a breakout campaign with a 2.71 ERA and 10.7 K/9 through 15 starts this season.
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