Out
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 4/11/2025
2024 Stats
W-L
2-2
ERA
1.17
WHIP
1.27
K
22
SV
0
2025 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
The Reds didn't seem to want to bring Lowder up after just one start at Triple-A, but injuries had ravaged the rotation by late August and they decided to go with it. Impressively, he more than held his own after being thrown into the deep end, pitching to a 1.17 ERA over six starts in the major leagues. Lowder, the seventh overall pick in 2023, began his first professional season at High-A Daytona before quickly advancing to Double-A Chattanooga. While it wasn't all luck by any means, the right-hander was quite fortunate during his in the majors and outperformed his underlying metrics. Lowder has four pitches and a bright future, but Cincinnati is likely hoping it can afford him additional time in the minor leagues refine his craft before giving him an extended look in the big-league rotation. Read Past Outlooks
Still throwing off flat ground
Lowder (elbow) has been throwing off flat ground the last few weeks since being cleared by the medical staff, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Lowder said he's progressing through the throwing program and believes he'll be on the "mound here shortly," although there's been no schedule established. The recently turned 23-year-old right-hander had been a candidate for the rotation, but it now appears likely he'll begin the season on the injured list before eventually heading to Triple-A Louisville. Lowder was impressive in a brief stint in the majors at the end of the 2024 regular season, posting a 1.17 ERA over six starts (30.2 innings).
Lowder said he's progressing through the throwing program and believes he'll be on the "mound here shortly," although there's been no schedule established. The recently turned 23-year-old right-hander had been a candidate for the rotation, but it now appears likely he'll begin the season on the injured list before eventually heading to Triple-A Louisville. Lowder was impressive in a brief stint in the majors at the end of the 2024 regular season, posting a 1.17 ERA over six starts (30.2 innings).
Pitching Stats
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2024
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
83
Last 10 Games
83
Last 5 Games
84
How many pitches does Rhett Lowder generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Rhett Lowder generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-25%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-25%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .184 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 0 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .246 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .184 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .246 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2022vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2022vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-66%
ERA at Home
2024
-66%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 0.59 | 1.37 | 15.1 | 7.6 | 5.9 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 1.76 | 1.17 | 15.1 | 5.3 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2024Home | 0.59 | 1.37 | 15.1 | 7.6 | 5.9 | ||||
| 2024Away | 1.76 | 1.17 | 15.1 | 5.3 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2023Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2023Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2022Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2022Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Rhett Lowder compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.57K/9
6.5BB/9
4.1HR/9
0.0Fastball
93.0 mphERA
1.17WHIP
1.27BABIP
.279GB/FB
1.33Left On Base
89.7%Exit Velocity
82.4 mphBarrels/BBE
2.2%Spin Rate
2344 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
23.3%Swinging Strike
8.8%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2024 Fantasy Outlook
The ACC pitcher of the year in 2022 and 2023, Lowder pounds the strike zone with a well-rounded arsenal. The Reds used the seventh overall pick on the 6-foot-2 righty from Wake Forest after he logged a 1.87 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 143:24 K:BB in 120.1 innings across 19 starts as a junior. His changeup might be his lone plus pitch, but his fastball and slider project as above-average offerings. Lowder's fastball sits in the low 90s and can touch 97 mph with sink while his sweeping slider sits in the mid-80s. His plus control combined with the lack of effort in his delivery give him a pretty high floor if he can avoid significant injuries. Lowder throws all three of his offerings over 30 percent of the time, and he could be a quick mover through the minors. He opened the season at High-A Dayton and moved quickly to Double-A Chattanooga after five starts.
More Fantasy News
Resumes throwing Monday
Lowder (elbow) will begin a throwing progression Monday, Charlie Goldsmith of Charlie's Chalkboard reports.
ANALYSIS
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Team exercising caution
Lowder (elbow) is being handled cautiously to the point that he may not be ready by Opening Day, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports. "I wouldn't even put an artificial timetable on him," manager Terry Francona said on Saturday. "Everybody shoots for Opening Day. I get it; I do, too. We need to do what's right by him, and we will. So that's kind of our timetable."
ANALYSIS
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Dealing with sore elbow
Lowder's throwing program is being limited due to right elbow soreness, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Opening Day status uncertain
The Reds currently have at least six starters who could be on the Opening Day roster following the Brady Singer trade, Gordon Wittenmyer of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports. In addition to Singer, there's Hunter Greene, Nick Martinez, Nick Lodolo, Andrew Abbott and Lowder.
ANALYSIS
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Finishes with five scoreless
Lowder did not factor into the decision in Saturday's 3-0 loss to the Cubs, allowing three hits and three walks with one strikeout over five scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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