Rhett Lowder

Rhett Lowder

22-Year-Old PitcherSP
Cincinnati Reds
Out
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 3/27/2025
2025 Fantasy Outlook
The Reds didn't seem to want to bring Lowder up after just one start at Triple-A, but injuries had ravaged the rotation by late August and they decided to go with it. Impressively, he more than held his own after being thrown into the deep end, pitching to a 1.17 ERA over six starts in the major leagues. Lowder, the seventh overall pick in 2023, began his first professional season at High-A Daytona before quickly advancing to Double-A Chattanooga. While it wasn't all luck by any means, the right-hander was quite fortunate during his in the majors and outperformed his underlying metrics. Lowder has four pitches and a bright future, but Cincinnati is likely hoping it can afford him additional time in the minor leagues refine his craft before giving him an extended look in the big-league rotation. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
From Preseason
#417
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Reds in August of 2024.
Resumes throwing Monday
PCincinnati Reds
Elbow
February 17, 2025
Lowder (elbow) will begin a throwing progression Monday, Charlie Goldsmith of Charlie's Chalkboard reports.
ANALYSIS
Lowder has been shut down in the early days of camp due to right elbow soreness that developed during his throwing sessions in January. The righty said Monday that he feels "great with where I'm at now" and views the brief shutdown period as a blessing in disguise because he was able to fine-tune some of his mechanics. Opening Day availability remains possible for Lowder, but the Reds will proceed cautiously with the young righty.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
83
Last 10 Games
83
Last 5 Games
84
How many pitches does Rhett Lowder generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Rhett Lowder generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-25%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-25%
BAA vs LHP
2023
No Stats
2022
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .184 60 11 11 9 1 0 0
Since 2022vs Right .246 68 11 3 16 1 0 0
2024vs Left .184 60 11 11 9 1 0 0
2024vs Right .246 68 11 3 16 1 0 0
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-66%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-66%
ERA at Home
2023
No Stats
2022
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 0.59 1.37 15.1 1 1 0 7.6 5.9 0.0
Since 2022Away 1.76 1.17 15.1 1 1 0 5.3 2.3 0.0
2024Home 0.59 1.37 15.1 1 1 0 7.6 5.9 0.0
2024Away 1.76 1.17 15.1 1 1 0 5.3 2.3 0.0
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Rhett Lowder compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.57
 
K/9
6.5
 
BB/9
4.1
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
93.0 mph
 
ERA
1.17
 
WHIP
1.27
 
BABIP
.279
 
GB/FB
1.33
 
Left On Base
89.7%
 
Exit Velocity
82.4 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
2.2%
 
Spin Rate
2344 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.3%
 
Swinging Strike
8.8%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2024 Fantasy Outlook
The ACC pitcher of the year in 2022 and 2023, Lowder pounds the strike zone with a well-rounded arsenal. The Reds used the seventh overall pick on the 6-foot-2 righty from Wake Forest after he logged a 1.87 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 143:24 K:BB in 120.1 innings across 19 starts as a junior. His changeup might be his lone plus pitch, but his fastball and slider project as above-average offerings. Lowder's fastball sits in the low 90s and can touch 97 mph with sink while his sweeping slider sits in the mid-80s. His plus control combined with the lack of effort in his delivery give him a pretty high floor if he can avoid significant injuries. Lowder throws all three of his offerings over 30 percent of the time, and he could be a quick mover through the minors. He opened the season at High-A Dayton and moved quickly to Double-A Chattanooga after five starts.
More Fantasy News
Team exercising caution
PCincinnati Reds
Elbow
February 16, 2025
Lowder (elbow) is being handled cautiously to the point that he may not be ready by Opening Day, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports. "I wouldn't even put an artificial timetable on him," manager Terry Francona said on Saturday. "Everybody shoots for Opening Day. I get it; I do, too. We need to do what's right by him, and we will. So that's kind of our timetable."
ANALYSIS
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Dealing with sore elbow
PCincinnati Reds
Elbow
February 11, 2025
Lowder's throwing program is being limited due to right elbow soreness, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Opening Day status uncertain
PCincinnati Reds
November 24, 2024
The Reds currently have at least six starters who could be on the Opening Day roster following the Brady Singer trade, Gordon Wittenmyer of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports. In addition to Singer, there's Hunter Greene, Nick Martinez, Nick Lodolo, Andrew Abbott and Lowder.
ANALYSIS
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Finishes with five scoreless
PCincinnati Reds
September 28, 2024
Lowder did not factor into the decision in Saturday's 3-0 loss to the Cubs, allowing three hits and three walks with one strikeout over five scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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Impresses in second win
PCincinnati Reds
September 21, 2024
Lowder (2-1) got the win Saturday against the Pirates, allowing five hits and two walks while striking out four over five scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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