Noelvi Marte

Noelvi Marte

23-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Cincinnati Reds AAA
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Marte was suspended 80 games by Major League Baseball in March for violating the joint drug prevention and treatment program. Despite a rough offensive showing during his rehab assignment, Marte was brought back to the Reds' active roster on the first day he was eligible, debuting with a three-hit game June 27. He finished with an ugly .210/.248/.301 line across 242 plate appearances. Once a top prospect and centerpiece of the Luis Castillo trade, Marte has lost some of that shine in the last calendar year, but the 23-year-old still has time to regain the goodwill of the fans and trust of the front office. While his limited range at third base leaves some question about his future at the position, the power-speed combo and hitter-friendly park give him some buy-low appeal entering 2025. First things first, he will have to earn his keep under new manager Terry Francona. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#374
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Reds in March of 2024.
Opening season in minors
3BCincinnati Reds  AAA
March 10, 2025
The Reds optioned Marte to Triple-A Louisville on Monday.
ANALYSIS
After serving an 80-game suspension to begin the past season, Marte was unable to find a rhythm at the plate once he was cleared to rejoin the Reds in late June. He finished the season with a lowly .549 OPS over 242 plate appearances with the big club, and Marte's struggles have continued this spring, with the 23-year-old slashing .150/.182/.400 with eight strikeouts over 11 games. The Reds are hoping that the assignment to Louisville to begin the season will allow Marte to regain confidence and rediscover the plate approach that helped him make a splash as a rookie in 2023, when he hit .316 and got on base at a .366 clip over his 123 plate appearances with the big club. Until Marte proves he's worthy of another look in the majors, the Reds are likely to get by with Gavin Lux and Jeimer Candelario as their primary options at third base.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2020
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+1%
OPS vs RHP
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
+12%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+28%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023vs Left .637 80 13 1 6 3 .257 .313 .324
Since 2023vs Right .641 285 26 6 27 12 .242 .281 .361
2025vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Left .600 45 10 1 3 3 .214 .267 .333
2024vs Right .538 197 14 3 15 6 .209 .244 .294
2023vs Left .684 35 3 0 3 0 .313 .371 .313
2023vs Right .876 88 12 3 12 6 .317 .364 .512
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+16%
OPS on Road
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
+27%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023Home .586 152 16 1 10 4 .239 .283 .303
Since 2023Away .679 213 23 6 23 11 .249 .291 .388
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Home .474 100 10 0 3 2 .202 .240 .234
2024Away .602 142 14 4 15 7 .215 .254 .348
2023Home .803 52 6 1 7 2 .313 .365 .438
2023Away .836 71 9 2 8 4 .318 .366 .470
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Prospect Rankings History
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Marte's outlook changed completely in March when he was suspended 80 games for PEDs. He remains prospect-eligible after logging just 114 at-bats last season, and in that time he showed off his exciting combination of power (115.6-mph maxEV, 46.1 HardHit%), aggressiveness on the bases (6-for-8 on SB attempts) and ability to put the ball in play (77.5 Contact%). His 52.8 GB% was uncharacteristically high (45.8 GB% at Double-A, 41.6 GB% at Triple-A), and if that normalizes, he could eventually hit 25 homers in his first full season. Marte's home park, strikeout rate and stolen-base output give him a rare combination of a high floor and a high ceiling long term. Scouts were lukewarm on his defense at the hot corner while he was in the minors and that was the weakest part of his game in his big-league debut. He can make highlight plays, but it's possible he eventually moves to left field, although that probably wouldn't happen in 2024.
Marte probably won't reward those who bought in at the peak of his dynasty value in the summer of 2021, but he is still on track to be an everyday player who provides 25-plus homer pop. Once seen as a potential power/speed threat, Marte's power has emerged as his most projectable tool after he remade his body in recent years to add significant upper-body strength. He stole 23 bases on 32 attempts in 115 games last season, but Marte is trending toward being a below-average runner by the time he is entering his prime, so don't expect more than 5-to-10 steals per season in the majors. The righty slugger who will likely end up at third base figures to be more valuable in OBP leagues (11.5 BB%) than AVG leagues, and while Marte will never have a plus hit tool, he could hit around .250 with a .350 OBP. After getting traded from Seattle to Cincinnati in the Luis Castillo trade, Marte's future home park could aid him in eclipsing 30 homers per season at peak. There's still a lot to like here, even if the profile has changed somewhat over the past 18 months.
Marte has been a top-75 prospect for over two years and is likely another two years away from the majors, but he has been a steady riser this whole time. He has elite pedigree and a tantalizing combination of plus power and plus speed, and he has yet to struggle significantly in pro ball. Marte is far from a lock to stick at shortstop long term, but his dynasty stock wouldn't be negatively affected if he had to move to third base. The big thing to watch with Marte is the development of his hit tool. He has been young for every level he has played at, but it's worth noting that his K% jumped from 22.2% at Low-A to 33.3% in a tiny sample (33 PA) at High-A. His ability to hit for impact power (17 HR in 107 games) as a teenager in full-season ball is a rare accomplishment, especially considering it came with 24 steals (on 31 attempts) and a .273 average. Marte will head back to High-A at the outset of 2022 and could get a midseason bump to Double-A. This will be a very telling age-20 season for the high-upside infielder. He could finish the year as the No. 1 overall prospect in dynasty, but he could also show some warts that lower-level pitchers had been unable to expose.
One of the youngest players to get an invite to his team's alternate training site, Marte understandably went through some growing pains. He went from facing raw teenage pitchers in the Dominican Summer League in 2019 to facing pitchers with big-league experience as an 18-year-old. Once fall instructs began, however, Marte was playing against age-appropriate competition and his play improved drastically. He cut down on his strikeouts and started hitting the ball out of the park with triple-digit exit velocities. He has plus speed and projects for at least plus power. The Mariners are developing him as a shortstop, but considering he is already roughly 6-foot-2, 200 pounds, the hot corner may be his best long-term fit. At 19, and after having been thrown in the deep end this past summer, he could be assigned to High-A and could even reach Double-A this season.
Marte has top-five prospect upside, and this will be the last offseason to acquire him in dynasty leagues for a palatable price. He is on the Julio Rodriguez path -- a high-profile international signee ($1.55 million in 2018) who destroyed the Dominican Summer League (.309/.371/.511, nine HR, 17 SB in 65 games) and will be given an aggressive assignment for his stateside debut. He doesn't have as good of an approach as Rodriguez did at the same age, but Marte is a five-tool shortstop with at least 60-grade speed. He needs to work on using the whole field (23.4 Oppo%), but his 40.7 FB% is encouraging for a player who could develop 30-plus homer power. An 18-year-old who is already 6-foot-1, 181 pounds, Marte may have to move to third base, but his bat should profile anywhere. If he is as good as advertised, he should spend a good chunk of the year at Low-A, and if he hits there, his stock will explode.
In every July 2 international signing period, there are a few top players who already project as prospects who will be better in fantasy than reality. Marte, who signed for $1.55 million out of the Dominican Republic, is a prime example from the 2018 crop. He showcases a classic power-hitting swing from the right side, and may have as much home run and batting average upside as any international prospect in his class. Marte has the actions and a good enough arm for shortstop, but may eventually move to third base. He currently measures in at 6-foot-1, 181 pounds, but looks like he will add at least another 20-to-30 pounds in the coming years, so maintaining good eating habits and conditioning will be crucial if he is to reach his ceiling and not fall down the defensive spectrum. While he is a good runner now, that won't be a big part of his game by the time he reaches the majors in five or six years.
More Fantasy News
Taking reps with prospects
3BCincinnati Reds  AAA
February 19, 2025
While Marte is attending big-league spring training, he's taking his reps with the other prospects in camp, and not with the Reds' lineup regulars, Charlie's Chalkboard reports.
ANALYSIS
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Minor-league stint possible
3BCincinnati Reds  AAA
January 7, 2025
Marte might be at risk of a minor-league demotion to begin the 2025 season following the Reds' acquisition of Gavin Lux, Gordon Wittenmyer of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Logs one hit in loss
3BCincinnati Reds  AAA
September 29, 2024
Marte went 1-for-3 and was caught stealing in Saturday's 3-0 loss to the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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Not in Friday's lineup
3BCincinnati Reds  AAA
September 27, 2024
Marte is absent from the lineup for Friday's contest versus the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting Sunday
3BCincinnati Reds  AAA
September 22, 2024
Marte is not in the starting lineup for Sunday's game against the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Primarily playing third base
3BCincinnati Reds  AAA
February 21, 2023
Marte has primarily been playing third base during early workouts at Reds camp, per Bobby Nightengale of the Cincinnati Enquirer.
ANALYSIS
Marte exclusively played shortstop in the minors last year, but he made the transition to the hot corner in the Arizona Fall League and drew solid reviews for his defensive work there. Nightengale notes that "scouts see his future at third base compared to shortstop," as his "body type is similar to Manny Machado." The 21-year-old is still widely viewed as a top 100 overall prospect in the sport.
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