Max Muncy

Max Muncy

34-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Los Angeles Dodgers
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Muncy continued to take the launch angle revolution to an extreme, but at least it paid off with tying his career best in homers and setting a new personal high with 105 RBI. Muncy's average exit velocity and hard-hit rate were around 80th percentile, but even with a 49.3 percent fly ball rate, Muncy collected only 17 doubles, resulting in a low .221 BABIP. As usual, Muncy walked at an elevated 14.7 percent clip, so he was still better suited for on-base and points leagues than standard 5x5 with batting average. The Dodgers extended Muncy's contract through 2025 with a club option for 2026, so they are clearly happy with his production and his skill set generally ages well. Buffer his batting average in standard leagues and like the Dodgers, you'll be happy with his three-category contributions. Just keep in mind for the first time in several drafts, Muncy does not have multiple-position eligibility; he's third base only to begin the campaign. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#221
ADP
$Signed a two-year, $24 million contract extension with the Dodgers in November of 2023. Contract includes a $10 million team option for 2026.
Starting at first base for Game 6
3BLos Angeles Dodgers
October 20, 2024
Muncy will start at first base and bat fifth in Game 6 of the NLCS against the Mets on Sunday, Noah Camras of DodgersNation.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Enrique Hernandez will start at third base Sunday while Muncy shifts to first base due to Freddie Freeman (ankle) being absent from the starting lineup. Muncy has gone 5-for-13 with nine walks, two home runs and four RBI over the first five games of the NLCS.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
34
5
8
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
6
4
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+21%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+20%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+37%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+7%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .675 393 52 22 55 1 .167 .288 .388
Since 2022vs Right .820 1044 159 50 167 3 .226 .355 .464
2024vs Left .743 76 16 5 7 0 .172 .289 .453
2024vs Right .891 217 31 10 41 1 .254 .382 .509
2023vs Left .642 171 22 11 26 0 .155 .263 .378
2023vs Right .881 408 73 25 79 1 .237 .363 .518
2022vs Left .679 146 14 6 22 1 .178 .315 .364
2022vs Right .724 419 55 15 47 1 .202 .334 .390
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+12%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+33%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+12%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .823 700 110 42 108 1 .225 .337 .485
Since 2022Away .738 737 101 30 114 3 .195 .336 .402
2024Home .964 155 29 12 29 0 .246 .361 .603
2024Away .724 138 18 3 19 1 .216 .355 .369
2023Home .856 282 45 19 45 0 .227 .358 .498
2023Away .764 297 50 17 60 1 .198 .310 .455
2022Home .708 263 36 11 34 1 .211 .300 .408
2022Away .714 302 33 10 35 1 .182 .354 .360
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Max Muncy compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.58
 
BB Rate
15.4%
 
K Rate
26.3%
 
BABIP
.265
 
ISO
.262
 
AVG
.232
 
OBP
.358
 
SLG
.494
 
OPS
.852
 
wOBA
.366
 
Exit Velocity
90.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
33.3%
 
Barrels/PA
6.1%
 
Expected BA
.229
 
Expected SLG
.448
 
Sprint Speed
21.0 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
25.3%
 
Line Drive %
20.5%
 
Fly Ball %
54.2%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2017
2016
Muncy's fantastic 2021 season ended with the news of his elbow not healing as expected and his draft value was diminished by the looming concerns Muncy may need TJ surgery and miss the 2023 season. He ended up playing nearly full-time and came close to matching his 2021 plate appearances total, but there was a noticeable decline in his production as he struggled at the plate with an extreme flyball (63%) and pull (49%) approach at the plate. The new shift rules can fix some of the concerns, but not if he continues to hit flyballs at that rate. The biggest difference between the two seasons was how Muncy handled the fastball: he hit .307 and slugged .693 off fastballs in 2021 but those numbers dramatically declined to .196 and .408 respectively in 2022 and the league fed him a steady diet of fastballs. He and the club worked out a two-year extension in August with a club option in the second year so if the Dodgers are willing to invest in his talents again, maybe we should feel comfortable giving him another chance. After all, only he, Pete Alonso, and Mike Trout have as many as three seasons of 35+ homers over the past five seasons.
After a hiccup in 2020, Muncy just continued to perform as he always does, hitting near a .250 average with 35 homers. He was one of several hitters who struggled in the shortened 2020 season (.720 OPS). Most of his struggles can be tied to a low .203 BABIP. It's not the first time's he's struggled with that issue, nor will it be the last. This past season, he posted a .200 BABIP over the last two months. Muncy did, however, show some nice skill changes. His K% dropped for the fourth straight season, to 20.3% from a high of approximately 27%. His 112 mph maxEV and 91 mph avgEV were career highs. While he played in a career-high 144 games, he missed time with injuries to his oblique (IL stint), ankle, side, shoulder and back, and worse yet, he revealed in late November that he's not healing as anticipated from a torn UCL. His level of participation in spring training should be monitored closely. If healthy, he's a power bat who should rack up a decent number of runs and RBI hitting in the middle of the Dodgers' potent lineup.
Muncy struggled to find a rhythm at the plate last season, finishing with a disappointing .192/.331/.389 slash line. It's tempting to note his league-worst .203 BABIP and attribute the low batting average to bad luck, but that would be oversimplifying things. In reality, the surest way to rack up base hits is with plenty of line drives, and Muncy's 13.8 LD% was the second-lowest mark in the league. That was a far cry from 2019 and he was still in the 81st percentile in barrel rate, so it's reasonable to expect some movement toward the norm -- and a consequent jump in average -- this season. The power is still present, and Muncy's proven willingness to take a walk -- his 15.8 BB% since 2018 ranks fifth among qualified batters -- gives him extra value in fantasy leagues that use OBP. Factor in Muncy's multi-position eligibility (1B, 2B, 3B) as a reason to nab him if he slips too far down 2021 draft boards.
Let's take a moment to appreciate Muncy for a second. We all know the story about him being DFA'd by Oakland and grabbed by the Dodgers and his breakout in 2018. Six weeks into 2019, Muncy was hitting .242 with five HR and 18 RBI, and looked like a bust for fantasy owners. He went on to hit .253 with a .383 OBP, 30 HR, 90 runs and 80 RBI the rest of the way. In the process, he equaled his HR total from 2018 and obliterated his runs and RBI. Yes, he wasn't as good as 2018 overall, but he was still darn good and those who held true despite the slow start were handsomely rewarded. The skills over the past two years have been rather stable, but Muncy did see his flyball rate come down in 2019. Muncy has more value in OBP leagues as the batting average has a low ceiling with the strikeouts, but it certainly hasn't cut into his run production. The added bonus is three-position eligibility in 2020 (2B, 3B and 1B).
In this space last year...wait, we didn't write an outlook for Muncy in 2018. He failed to crack the major leagues in 2017 and instead spent the entirety of the season at Triple-A. After signing a minor-league contract with the Dodgers, he was assigned to minor-league camp March 12. Muncy got the call to Los Angeles on April 17 and went on to post the fifth-best wRC+ among 183 players with at least 450 plate appearances. He crushed right-handed pitching to the tune of a .601 SLG and .334 ISO while walking at a robust 16.4% clip overall. Muncy did strike out 27.2% of the time and hit just .185 against breaking pitches according to Brooks Baseball, but in the end, he was a top-10 fantasy first baseman. It's tough to forecast anything close to a full repeat, but Muncy is at least locked into a platoon role and there will be more doubters than believers, creating a possible buying opportunity for those contrarians out there.
Muncy is the prototypical "Moneyball" product: There's not a lot of hype behind him, but man, can he take walks. Last season at Triple-A Nashville, the 26-year-old walked 13.1 percent of the time and bumped that figure up to 15 percent during his scattered appearances in the big leagues. Even with that bright spot, Muncy still has plenty of blemishes keeping him from garnering regular playing time in Oakland. He strikes out too much, as his strikeout rate hovered around 20 percent both in the minors and in the majors, and he doesn't have the power to make up for it (.071 ISO in the majors). His ability to play all over the infield and the corner outfield spots could help him land a reserve utility role with the big league club, but with bigger prospects knocking on the door to the majors, it will be tough for Muncy to climb much higher than that.
A rash of early season injuries gave Muncy a chance to make his Major League debut, but he did not do much with it, slashing .206/.268/.392 with three homers in 102 at-bats. Muncy had a breakout minor league season in 2013 when he hit 25 bombs with 100 RBI between Single-A and Double-A, but backed that season up with only seven homers in 435 Double-A at-bats in 2014. Muncy does exhibit a solid feel for the strike zone and his high walk numbers have enabled him to post a career .378 OPS across four minor League seasons. The A's farm system is not stacked overall, but one of their strengths is at corner infield which is not a great sign for Muncy's long-term prospects. After two years of his power slipping following the 2013 breakout, Muncy's star is dwindling, but the 25-year-old will begin the year at Triple-A with a chance to appear in Oakland again if injuries strike before their bigger corner prospects are ready.
More Fantasy News
Not starting Friday
3BLos Angeles Dodgers
September 27, 2024
Muncy is absent from Friday's lineup against Colorado, David Vassegh of AM 570 LA Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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Good to go Tuesday
3BLos Angeles Dodgers
September 24, 2024
Muncy (side) is starting at third base and batting fifth Tuesday against the Padres, Eric Stephen of SBNation.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Scratched from Sunday's lineup
3BLos Angeles Dodgers
Side
September 22, 2024
Muncy has been removed from the Dodgers' lineup Sunday against the Rockies due to side soreness, David Vassegh of AM 570 LA Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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Scores four times in rout
3BLos Angeles Dodgers
September 19, 2024
Muncy went 2-for-3 with two walks, an RBI and four runs in Thursday's 20-4 rout of Miami.
ANALYSIS
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Getting day off
3BLos Angeles Dodgers
September 18, 2024
Muncy is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Option expected to be exercised
3BLos Angeles Dodgers
November 2, 2023
The Dodgers are expected to exercise Muncy's $10 million option for 2024, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
There were definitely some ups and downs, but on the whole Muncy had a nice bounce-back season in 2023, slashing .212/.333/.475 with 36 home runs and 105 RBI. The 33-year-old was used at just one position this season for the first time in his career, with all 124 of his appearances in the field coming at third base. Muncy should open 2024 at the hot corner again for the Dodgers.
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