Lourdes Gurriel

30-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Arizona Diamondbacks

2024 Stats

AVG

.268

RBI

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2024 Fantasy Outlook

The Diamondbacks traded for Gurriel to provide some right-handed thump to a predominantly left-handed outfield. He delivered with a career-high 24 homers, but his 106 wRC+ was its lowest since his rookie campaign. Gurriel split his time between left field and designated hitter, where he established new career highs with 145 games and 592 plate appearances. Despite his home run total, moving from Rogers Center to Chase Field suppressed Gurriel's power, but more importantly he was snake bit on ground ball BABIP as his .202 is well below the .265 mark he recorded coming into the season. Gurriel's defense in left field was stellar with 14 defensive runs saved in only 95 games. His arm and range rated as above average. This should help him maintain regular playing time and not fall back into the short side of a platoon. Gurriel has limited upside, but his floor offers stability to a mixed-league outfield. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

Rest of Season

Overall Projection

Overall Rank

Dynasty

From Preseason

#220

ADP

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'4"

Weight 215

DOB 10/19/1993

Born Sancti Spiritus, Cuba

College None

Drafted 2016 TOR

Knocks in run, steals bag

OFArizona Diamondbacks

July 9, 2024

Gurriel went 1-for-4 with an RBI and a stolen base in Monday's 5-4 extra-innings loss to Atlanta.

ANALYSIS
Gurriel knocked in a run with a sacrifice fly and stole his fourth bag of the season. He's up to 55 RBI for the season, second on the team to Christian Walker (65). Gurriel's hit well over the last three weeks, compiling a .352 average (25-for-71) and .952 OPS with eight extra-base hits, 13 RBI and 10 runs over the last 17 contests.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+12%

OPS vs LHP

2024

+47%

OPS vs LHP

2023

+8%

OPS vs LHP

2022

+12%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.816	355	41	9	46	3	.311	.352	.464
Since 2022vs Right	.731	1087	118	33	143	9	.261	.307	.424
2024vs Left	.948	101	17	5	17	1	.357	.376	.571
2024vs Right	.646	257	25	8	38	3	.232	.268	.378
2023vs Left	.815	160	14	4	21	2	.301	.363	.452
2023vs Right	.756	432	51	20	61	3	.247	.289	.467
2022vs Left	.675	94	10	0	8	0	.278	.309	.367
2022vs Right	.759	398	42	5	44	3	.295	.352	.408
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+6%

OPS at Home

2024

+18%

OPS on Road

2023

+16%

OPS at Home

2022

+10%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.774	708	82	25	102	6	.265	.315	.459
Since 2022Away	.732	734	77	17	87	6	.282	.322	.411
2024Home	.672	178	19	7	33	2	.220	.270	.402
2024Away	.791	180	23	6	22	2	.314	.328	.463
2023Home	.830	295	33	15	49	4	.261	.315	.515
2023Away	.715	297	32	9	33	1	.262	.303	.412
2022Home	.780	235	30	3	20	0	.303	.349	.431
2022Away	.709	257	22	2	32	3	.281	.339	.370
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Stat Review

How does Lourdes Gurriel compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.19

BB Rate

3.6%

K Rate

19.6%

BABIP

.301

ISO

.165

AVG

.268

OBP

.299

SLG

.434

OPS

.733

wOBA

.319

Exit Velocity

88.6 mph

Hard Hit Rate

34.9%

Barrels/PA

5.6%

Expected BA

.261

Expected SLG

.421

Sprint Speed

23.7 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

38.2%

Line Drive %

20.6%

Fly Ball %

41.2%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Lourdes Gurriel Prospect Ranking History

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

Gurriel maintained a high batting average and on base rate, but his power fell to a career low. At the end of the season, it was revealed he had been playing with a wrist issue, which required surgery in the offseason. Gurriel also missed most of September with a sore hamstring. he chased less, resulting in a personal-low strikeout rate. Gurriel's batted ball distribution was typical, but he hit grounders harder while losing exit velocity on fly balls, dropping his HR/FB to a meager 4.2%. Gurriel hit a career-high 32 doubles, so he was more useful in points-leagues. Gurriel is slated to be healthy in the spring and should remain in left field after being traded to the Diamondbacks, though he'll need to compete for playing time with the club's young plethora of outfielders. It's unclear how much of his drop in homers was related to playing with a sore wrist. With no steals and possibly waning power, Gurriel has slipped to a back-end outfielder in mixed leagues, best used as a batting average stabilizer, especially with his chances for runs and RBI likely to diminish in a weaker Arizona lineup.

Gurriel had an OK season, providing some power with a decent batting average. Even though his steals are drying up (one steal in four attempts), he was a fine third or fourth outfielder. The season didn't start out great for him, with Gurriel posting a .710 first-half OPS, but he raised it in the second half to .889. He improved across the board, especially with his walk rate doubling (3.8% to 8.8%) and his strikeout rate dropping (20.1% to 17.1%). Being more selective meant his Isolated Power (.160 to .233) and BABIP (.296 to .318) improved. He might have been struggling early with COVID systems but eventually got healthy. It's tough to know if he'll keep the second-half gains, but that upside does exist for him. Pay for the 2021 season knowing there is a second gear.

Year 3 for Gurriel saw another step forward, offensively. He cut down on his chase rate and shaved his strikeout rate to 21.4%. Gurriel ranked in the top 10% of the league in hard-hit rate. Like his brother, Lourdes is an aggressive hitter who is not particularly interested in taking walks. That dings him a bit in OBP leagues, but there's a lot to like here regardless. Gurriel will hit for power and also swipe a few bags although his sprint speed is below league average, so any major growth in that department seems unlikely. He has handled same-handed pitching quite well in his career (.281/.325/.480 vs. RHP) and it's hard to see him being a negative in the BA category even if there's significant giveback. Absent from 2020 were the injury woes of seasons past, aside from a side issue which cost Gurriel the Opening Day start. If he's ever going to stay healthy and turn into a fantasy star, this is the year.

In a Blue Jays offense ripe with young talent, Gurriel could tend to be overshadowed, though he put together a respectable season of his own. The 26-year-old was sent to Triple-A in mid-April after sputtering to start the year, but managed to turn things around once he returned, hitting .292/.339/.580 after his recall to the majors May 24 (71 games). He battled through knee and quad injuries before being shut down due to appendicitis in late September, after lower-body issues cut short his 2018 season. Gurriel has room for improvement in his walk rate (5.8%) and strikeout rate (25.1%), but he makes the most of his limited contact with a 43.5% hard-hit rate. Gurriel is OF-only in most leagues, and it could very well remain that way since he was not a good defender in the infield. Regardless, Gurriel could be a mid-round value thanks to his batting average and power potential.

In his first taste of the majors, Gurriel hit .281 and flashed some pop. At one point in July, he had an 11-game multi-hit streak, during which he batted an even .500 (25-for-50). It was the longest such streak by a rookie in major-league history. A pair of lower-body injuries derailed his season, and the "expected" numbers from Statcast suggest he overachieved a bit, but he rarely made soft contact and Gurriel showed an ability to go to the opposite field. Much like his brother, Lourdes rarely takes a walk (3.4%). He also proved to be a liability at shortstop, but he was passable at second base and there's little doubt that the rebuilding Blue Jays will give Gurriel regular at-bats in 2019 to evaluate his future in the organization. Batting average is tough to find outside the first several rounds of a draft, and Gurriel showed enough in that department as a 24-year-old to warrant a flier in most formats.

A chiseled 6-foot-2, 185 pounds, Gurriel definitely looks the part of a quality prospect, but he has been a flop thus far since signing a seven-year, $22 million deal with the Blue Jays last offseason. Gurriel suffered a hamstring injury in his first pro game, which cost him two months, and he scuffled at High-A and Double-A after returning. The one bright spot from his first pro season was the .291/.309/.494 slash line he posted in 79 at-bats in the Arizona Fall League. He walked just once over that span, but at least he flashed the potential to do some damage with the bat, hitting seven doubles and three home runs. Gurriel split time between second base and shortstop in his first season, but he doesn't have the range for shortstop, and fits better at second or third base. He turned 24 this offseason, so the clock is ticking for him to prove he can be more than a utility player in the big leagues.

The younger, less-accomplished brother of Yulieski Gurriel, Lourdes signed a seven-year, $22 million deal with the Blue Jays this offseason. He waited until he turned 23 in October to sign the deal so he would not be subject to international bonus pools. Often the best gauge of a Cuban or Asian talent is the open market price tag, and for Gurriel's prime years to come at a $3.14 million average annual value is a red flag. The general consensus pegs him as roughly average with his hit, power and speed tools, with the hit and power potentially being fringe average. He will likely begin 2017 at Double-A where he will play shortstop until he proves he can't handle the position. Most evaluators expect him to end up at second, third or left field. The sum of the tools might be a utility player that is more valuable in real life than fantasy. He could overshoot that projection, particularly if his hit tool is better than the market thought, but the upside does not appear to match the name value.

More Fantasy News

Not starting Sunday

OFArizona Diamondbacks

July 7, 2024

Gurriel is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Padres.