2024 Stats
W-L
1-0
ERA
3.38
WHIP
0.56
K
9
SV
0
2025 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Expectations for Senga were high coming into 2024, especially with how he closed the 2023 season once he was fully acclimated to the major league environment. However, Senga pitched fewer major league innings than Spencer Strider in 2024, as a shoulder capsule injury late in camp shelved him until late July. Senga then came back to pitch on July 26 only to injure his calf muscle and then miss the remainder of the regular season. All we have to move forward with a valuation of the pitcher is the recency bias of his health around just how awesome his ghost fork pitch is for results. That fork ball had a 60 percent whiff rate in 2023, which is beyond absurd, but his cutter and four-seamer also did very well. There is no doubt Senga has the stuff to be a staff ace for the Mets and fantasy teams, but the recent health issues are a vivid reminder of what his downside can be. We almost suggest treating Senga as you did Chris Sale in 2024 drafts; focus on the upside while determining just how comfortable you are with the downside. Read Past Outlooks
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Fully healthy since early January
Senga said Tuesday that he's felt fully healthy since the beginning of January, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
Senga made just four appearances in 2024 between the regular season and playoffs due to shoulder and calf problems. He spent the first half of the offseason rehabbing but has gone through his normal throwing progression since then and won't have any restrictions at the start of camp. The 32-year-old had a 2.98 ERA and 202 strikeouts in the 2023 regular season and could be in line for a big bounce-back season in 2025 if he can stay off the injured list.
Senga made just four appearances in 2024 between the regular season and playoffs due to shoulder and calf problems. He spent the first half of the offseason rehabbing but has gone through his normal throwing progression since then and won't have any restrictions at the start of camp. The 32-year-old had a 2.98 ERA and 202 strikeouts in the 2023 regular season and could be in line for a big bounce-back season in 2025 if he can stay off the injured list.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
42
Last 10 Games
42
Last 5 Games
42
How many pitches does Kodai Senga generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Kodai Senga generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-16%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-100%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .186 | 100 | 42 | 55 | 6 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .222 | 111 | 36 | 73 | 12 | |||
2024vs Left | .000 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||
2024vs Right | .167 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |||
2023vs Left | .190 | 96 | 41 | 55 | 6 | |||
2023vs Right | .224 | 106 | 36 | 71 | 11 | |||
2022vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2022vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-33%
ERA at Home
2024
-100%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 2.47 | 1.05 | 98.1 | 12.2 | 3.8 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 3.68 | 1.40 | 73.1 | 9.6 | 4.4 | ||||
2024Home | 3.38 | 0.56 | 5.1 | 15.2 | 1.7 | ||||
2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2023Home | 2.42 | 1.08 | 93.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | ||||
2023Away | 3.68 | 1.40 | 73.1 | 9.6 | 4.4 | ||||
2022Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2022Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Kodai Senga compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
9.00K/9
15.2BB/9
1.7HR/9
1.7Fastball
95.8 mphERA
3.38WHIP
0.56BABIP
.142GB/FB
0.67Left On Base
62.5%Exit Velocity
83.0 mphBarrels/BBE
7.1%Spin Rate
2027 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
28.6%Swinging Strike
13.7%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2017
Senga's first year in the majors couldn't have gone much better from an individual standpoint, as he made 29 starts and posted a 2.98 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 202:77 K:BB across 166.1 innings. He joined the Mets on a three-year, $45 million contract after spending the first 11 years of his career in Japan, and he ended up being a bright spot on what was mostly a disappointing team in Queens. The 31-year-old struggled with walks -- his 11.1 percent walk rate was third worst among qualified starters -- but he helped offset the free passes with a 29.1 percent strikeout rate, 0.92 HR/9 and 80.3 percent left-on-base rate. A 3.87 xERA and 3.77 xFIP are hardly a surprise given his walks, though it's a right shoulder strain that is of utmost concern for prospective fantasy managers. The Mets shut Senga down in February and he will not pick up a baseball "until symptoms subside and strength returns," per president of baseball operations David Stearns.
More Fantasy News
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Unlikely to pitch Friday
Mets manager Carlos Mendoza indicated that Senga is unlikely to pitch Friday in Game 5 of the NLCS against the Dodgers, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
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Could pitch in relief in Game 5
Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said Wednesday that Senga will pitch Friday in Game 5 of the NLCS versus the Dodgers, although not necessarily as the starter, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
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Named NLCS Game 1 starter
Senga will start Game 1 of the NLCS against the Dodgers on Sunday, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
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Likely to start NLCS Game 1
Senga is likely to start Game 1 of the NLCS on Sunday, Andy Martino of SNY.tv reports.
ANALYSIS
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Likely to start potential Game 5
Mets manager Carlos Mendoza indicated Monday that Senga is likely to start a potential Game 5 of the NLDS against the Phillies, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
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Chance for NLDS roster
Senga could be added to the Mets' NLDS roster, Mike Puma of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
Senga is working his way back from a calf injury and most recently threw a 25-pitch live batting practice session Monday. Though he missed out on the National League Wild Card Series roster, Senga could contribute out of New York's bullpen in its NLDS matchup against the Phillies.
Senga is working his way back from a calf injury and most recently threw a 25-pitch live batting practice session Monday. Though he missed out on the National League Wild Card Series roster, Senga could contribute out of New York's bullpen in its NLDS matchup against the Phillies.