Kodai Senga

Kodai Senga

31-Year-Old PitcherSP
New York Mets
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Senga's first year in the majors couldn't have gone much better from an individual standpoint, as he made 29 starts and posted a 2.98 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 202:77 K:BB across 166.1 innings. He joined the Mets on a three-year, $45 million contract after spending the first 11 years of his career in Japan, and he ended up being a bright spot on what was mostly a disappointing team in Queens. The 31-year-old struggled with walks -- his 11.1 percent walk rate was third worst among qualified starters -- but he helped offset the free passes with a 29.1 percent strikeout rate, 0.92 HR/9 and 80.3 percent left-on-base rate. A 3.87 xERA and 3.77 xFIP are hardly a surprise given his walks, though it's a right shoulder strain that is of utmost concern for prospective fantasy managers. The Mets shut Senga down in February and he will not pick up a baseball "until symptoms subside and strength returns," per president of baseball operations David Stearns. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#147
ADP
$Signed a three-year, $45 million contract with the Mets in December of 2022. Contract includes $15 million player option for 2026 and $15 million player option for 2027.
Unlikely to pitch Friday
PNew York Mets
October 18, 2024
Mets manager Carlos Mendoza indicated that Senga is unlikely to pitch Friday in Game 5 of the NLCS against the Dodgers, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
Mendoza had previously said Senga would be used in some capacity. However, David Peterson will start the game and it now appears Mendoza doesn't intend to use Senga in relief, barring an emergency. Senga started Game 1 of the NLCS and yielded three runs with a 0:4 K:BB over 1.1 innings.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
42
Last 10 Games
42
Last 5 Games
42
How many pitches does Kodai Senga generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Kodai Senga generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-16%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-100%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2022
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .186 342 100 42 55 7 0 6
Since 2022vs Right .222 372 111 36 73 14 0 12
2024vs Left .000 7 4 1 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right .167 13 5 0 2 0 0 1
2023vs Left .190 335 96 41 55 7 0 6
2023vs Right .224 359 106 36 71 14 0 11
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-33%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-34%
ERA at Home
2022
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 2.47 1.05 98.1 7 3 0 12.2 3.8 0.8
Since 2022Away 3.68 1.40 73.1 6 4 0 9.6 4.4 1.1
2024Home 3.38 0.56 5.1 1 0 0 15.2 1.7 1.7
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 2.42 1.08 93.0 6 3 0 12.0 4.0 0.8
2023Away 3.68 1.40 73.1 6 4 0 9.6 4.4 1.1
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Kodai Senga compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
9.00
 
K/9
15.2
 
BB/9
1.7
 
HR/9
1.7
 
Fastball
95.8 mph
 
ERA
3.38
 
WHIP
0.56
 
BABIP
.142
 
GB/FB
0.67
 
Left On Base
62.5%
 
Exit Velocity
83.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.1%
 
Spin Rate
2027 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
28.6%
 
Swinging Strike
13.7%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2017
Senga has been one of Japan's best pitchers over the last decade, anchoring the staff for a Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks team that won six NPB titles. The Hawks don't allow their players to leave via the posting system, however, so Senga had to wait until his age-30 season to try his luck against the toughest level of competition. The righty has a large repertoire led by a fastball that has touched triple digits and a devastating forkball. Those weapons have helped him to a 2.59 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 28.2 percent strikeout rate over the course of his career. He made the jump at the right time, having posted an even better 1.94 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in his final year in Japan. The Mets landed Senga for $75 million over five years, but he will assuredly use his opt-out clause after the 2025 season if he is healthy and has shown an ability to be effective in MLB. He has room to take a sizable step back from his NPB numbers and still serve as a capable mid-rotation arm at the MLB level, with upside for more, though durability could be a concern. He's eclipsed 150 innings in just one of the last six seasons.
The Japanese 23 year-old fastball/spliter pitcher emerged as a starter for Softbank Hawks in 2016.
More Fantasy News
Could pitch in relief in Game 5
PNew York Mets
October 16, 2024
Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said Wednesday that Senga will pitch Friday in Game 5 of the NLCS versus the Dodgers, although not necessarily as the starter, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
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Named NLCS Game 1 starter
PNew York Mets
October 12, 2024
Senga will start Game 1 of the NLCS against the Dodgers on Sunday, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
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Likely to start NLCS Game 1
PNew York Mets
October 11, 2024
Senga is likely to start Game 1 of the NLCS on Sunday, Andy Martino of SNY.tv reports.
ANALYSIS
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Likely to start potential Game 5
PNew York Mets
October 7, 2024
Mets manager Carlos Mendoza indicated Monday that Senga is likely to start a potential Game 5 of the NLDS against the Phillies, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Activated from IL, set to start
PNew York Mets
October 5, 2024
Senga (calf/triceps) was officially activated from the 60-day injured list Saturday, per MLB's transaction log.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Chance for NLDS roster
PNew York Mets
October 3, 2024
Senga could be added to the Mets' NLDS roster, Mike Puma of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
Senga is working his way back from a calf injury and most recently threw a 25-pitch live batting practice session Monday. Though he missed out on the National League Wild Card Series roster, Senga could contribute out of New York's bullpen in its NLDS matchup against the Phillies.
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