Joe Musgrove
31-Year-Old
Out
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 2/1/2026
2024 Stats
W-L
6-5
ERA
3.88
WHIP
1.17
K
101
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Musgrove failed in his attempt to pitch exactly 181 innings for a third consecutive season. In fact, he barely made it half way there as he worked 97 innings over 17 starts before succumbing to a shoulder injury in late July which ended his season. Other than his workload, Musgrove was essentially the same pitcher he had been in previous seasons with rather uncanny statistical stability. Despite the injury, he did post a double-digit win total for a fourth consecutive full season and is one of five starting pitchers with an ERA below 3.20 in each of the past three seasons joining Fried, deGrom, Woodruff, and Ohtani. Only Musgrove and Fried will pitch in 2024, and the hope is that Musgrove's shoulder is fully recovered so he can resume his statistical consistency as an unspectacular fantasy front liner. There is not another level up for him, but his profile is about as low-risk as they come for pitching. Read Past Outlooks
Undergoes TJ surgery
Musgrove underwent Tommy John surgery on his right elbow Friday, Dennis Lin of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Following an early exit from his appearance in Game 2 of the NL Wild Card Series on Oct. 2 due to an elbow injury, an MRI revealed that Musgrove would need to undergo Tommy John surgery before returning to the mound. The timing of his procedure gives him an outside chance to pitch toward the very end of next season, but the 31-year-old righty will most likely be sidelined until 2026.
Following an early exit from his appearance in Game 2 of the NL Wild Card Series on Oct. 2 due to an elbow injury, an MRI revealed that Musgrove would need to undergo Tommy John surgery before returning to the mound. The timing of his procedure gives him an outside chance to pitch toward the very end of next season, but the 31-year-old righty will most likely be sidelined until 2026.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
81
Last 10 Games
79
Last 5 Games
77
How many pitches does Joe Musgrove generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Joe Musgrove generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-21%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-17%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .211 | 208 | 51 | 152 | 17 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .266 | 174 | 35 | 186 | 29 | |||
2024vs Left | .225 | 44 | 12 | 36 | 3 | |||
2024vs Right | .270 | 57 | 11 | 58 | 11 | |||
2023vs Left | .215 | 58 | 10 | 42 | 4 | |||
2023vs Right | .282 | 39 | 11 | 48 | 6 | |||
2022vs Left | .203 | 106 | 29 | 74 | 10 | |||
2022vs Right | .254 | 78 | 13 | 80 | 12 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
Even Split
2024
-2%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.21 | 1.07 | 216.0 | 9.3 | 2.0 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 3.22 | 1.19 | 162.0 | 8.8 | 2.2 | ||||
2024Home | 3.86 | 1.07 | 65.1 | 9.6 | 1.5 | ||||
2024Away | 3.93 | 1.37 | 34.1 | 8.1 | 3.1 | ||||
2023Home | 3.04 | 1.03 | 56.1 | 9.3 | 1.8 | ||||
2023Away | 3.07 | 1.29 | 41.0 | 8.6 | 2.2 | ||||
2022Home | 2.86 | 1.10 | 94.1 | 9.1 | 2.4 | ||||
2022Away | 3.01 | 1.06 | 86.2 | 9.2 | 1.8 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Joe Musgrove compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
4.39K/9
9.1BB/9
2.1HR/9
1.3Fastball
93.0 mphERA
3.88WHIP
1.17BABIP
.308GB/FB
1.19Left On Base
74.9%Exit Velocity
82.0 mphBarrels/BBE
5.7%Spin Rate
2675 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
23.5%Swinging Strike
12.6%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Stop me if you have heard this plot before: talented pitcher leaves Pittsburgh and finds the success which long evaded him in another organization. Java Joe Musgrove has enjoyed his homecoming to SoCal with consecutive strong seasons which are nearly identical across the statistical outcomes in every category. San Diego tweaked his repertoire to throw more cutters and work all corners of the strike zone as opposed to the preferred downward attack in Pittsburgh and Musgrove has done exceedingly well with this new approach despite below average starting pitcher velocity. Opponents hit below .230 against five of his six pitch offerings with only the sinker being hittable (Pittsburgh PTSD?) but it was used just seven percent of the time. He earned a win in a third of his 30 starts but delivered quality starts in 70% of his outings so perhaps there is more win fortune coming his way in 2023 because there is otherwise little variance in his production.
More Fantasy News
Needs Tommy John surgery
General manager A.J. Preller said Friday that Musgrove (elbow) has a UCL injury in his right elbow and will require Tommy John surgery, Dennis Lin of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Ruled out for NLDS
Padres manager Mike Shildt said Friday that Musgrove (elbow) will not pitch in the NLDS versus the Dodgers, AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Undergoing MRI on elbow Thursday
Musgrove will undergo and MRI on his injured right elbow Thursday, Jeff Sanders of the San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Battling elbow tightness
Musgrove left his start Wednesday in Game 2 of the National League Wild Card Series versus Atlanta due to right elbow tightness.
ANALYSIS
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Exits with trainer
Musgrove was removed from Game 2 of the NL Wild Card Series against Atlanta on Wednesday due to an apparent injury, AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Returning next week?
Jeff Sanders of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports Musgrove, who is on the injured list with a fractured toe, will make a rehab start Thursday with Triple-A El Paso, which puts him in line to potentially be activated when first eligible Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
The veteran right-hander may need only one minor-league rehab outing since he's already built up a significant workload in simulated settings across the past few weeks. Musgrove has been one of the most reliable pitchers in baseball for San Diego over the past two years with a 3.06 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 387:96 K:BB in 362.1 innings.
The veteran right-hander may need only one minor-league rehab outing since he's already built up a significant workload in simulated settings across the past few weeks. Musgrove has been one of the most reliable pitchers in baseball for San Diego over the past two years with a 3.06 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 387:96 K:BB in 362.1 innings.