Framber Valdez
31-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
15-7
ERA
2.91
WHIP
1.11
K
169
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Valdez has worked the fifth-most innings of any starting pitcher over the past two seasons trailing only Alcantara, Cole, Webb, and Mikolas. The lefty has returned three consecutive seasons of double digit wins, strong ratios, and a voluminous strikeout total and even threw in a no-hitter this season against Cleveland. Valdez was 9-7 with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP after completing that no-hitter on August 1st but was just 3-4 with a 4.29 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP from then on, which does not even include his very disappointing postseason where he allowed 12 earned runs and lost all three of his starts. Valdez absolutely brings the volume you want from a high-draft pick/cost starting pitcher, but he lacks the elite velocity or K-BB% that fantasy managers like to see from foundational pitchers. His extreme groundball tendencies minmize some of that risk, and the run support in Houston continues to be plentiful. 2022 was his peak, but something between it and 2023 is very possible. Read Past Outlooks
Named Game 1 starter
Valdez will start Game 1 of the wild-card series versus the Tigers on Tuesday, Julia Morales of AT&T SportsNet Southwest reports.
ANALYSIS
How the Astros ultimately set up their full postseason rotation will be interesting, but there wasn't much question as to whom would take the ball in Game 1. After an inconsistent first half, Valdez held a 1.96 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 87:23 K:BB over 78 frames in 12 second-half starts. He'll be opposed by Tarik Skubal.
How the Astros ultimately set up their full postseason rotation will be interesting, but there wasn't much question as to whom would take the ball in Game 1. After an inconsistent first half, Valdez held a 1.96 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 87:23 K:BB over 78 frames in 12 second-half starts. He'll be opposed by Tarik Skubal.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
92
Last 10 Games
95
Last 5 Games
91
How many pitches does Framber Valdez generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Framber Valdez generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-15%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .219 | 115 | 33 | 79 | 8 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .225 | 448 | 146 | 393 | 35 | |||
2024vs Left | .252 | 34 | 5 | 27 | 2 | |||
2024vs Right | .214 | 135 | 50 | 113 | 11 | |||
2023vs Left | .220 | 45 | 14 | 27 | 5 | |||
2023vs Right | .230 | 155 | 43 | 139 | 14 | |||
2022vs Left | .192 | 36 | 14 | 25 | 1 | |||
2022vs Right | .229 | 158 | 53 | 141 | 10 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-4%
ERA on Road
2024
-25%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.13 | 1.11 | 284.1 | 9.7 | 2.4 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 3.00 | 1.15 | 291.1 | 8.0 | 3.2 | ||||
2024Home | 2.53 | 1.05 | 96.0 | 9.2 | 2.5 | ||||
2024Away | 3.36 | 1.17 | 80.1 | 8.0 | 3.1 | ||||
2023Home | 3.35 | 1.05 | 102.0 | 9.4 | 1.8 | ||||
2023Away | 3.56 | 1.21 | 96.0 | 8.7 | 3.5 | ||||
2022Home | 3.54 | 1.26 | 86.1 | 10.4 | 3.1 | ||||
2022Away | 2.27 | 1.08 | 115.0 | 7.4 | 2.9 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Framber Valdez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.07K/9
8.6BB/9
2.8HR/9
0.7Fastball
94.2 mphERA
2.91WHIP
1.11BABIP
.279GB/FB
3.57Left On Base
76.4%Exit Velocity
84.2 mphBarrels/BBE
3.7%Spin Rate
2269 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
30.8%Swinging Strike
11.8%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Valdez was one of just eight hurlers to log at least 200 innings as his 201.1 frames was the fifth most in MLB. He fell six strikeouts short of 200, but as an extreme groundball pitcher, Valdez is more concerned about minimizing barrels which he did, landing in the 75th percentile. Valdez threw his sinker half the time, followed by a 90th percentile spin rate curve. He introduced a cutter (which some classified as a slider), throwing it 10% of the time with a solid 18% swinging strike rate. Further refinement of Valdez's repertoire could improve his 23.5% strikeout rate, but he's likely more focused on improving on last season's 8.1% walk rate. Valdez doesn't fan ample batters to be a fantasy ace, but his volume of innings keeps the raw total sufficient for the next tier. Valdez is a bit of a WHIP risk as grounders often inflate BABIP, but they also limit homers, hence keeping ERA in check.
More Fantasy News
Earns 15th win
Valdez (15-7) allowed three runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out four over 5.2 innings to earn the win over the Mariners on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Outdueled by Cease
Valdez (14-7) took the loss Wednesday against San Diego, allowing one run on five hits and two walks across seven innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Another strong outing
Valdez didn't factor into the decision Thursday against Oakland, allowing a run on five hits and a walk over 6.1 innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Blanks Arizona for 14th win
Valdez (14-6) picked up the win in Friday's 8-0 rout of the Diamondbacks, allowing two hits and three walks over seven scoreless innings. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Dazzles in no-decision
Valdez came away with a no-decision in Friday's 3-2 win over the Royals, walking three batters over seven no-hit, scoreless innings. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Possible trade chip?
The Astros could look to trade Valdez during the offseason if the organization prioritizes replenishing the farm system, reports Chandler Rome of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
It would be a drastic move from Houston, which features one of the lowest-rated farm systems in MLB. Valdez has been one of the most reliable starters in baseball over the past four years and had a 2.91 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 169:55 K:BB across 176.1 regular-season frames in 2024.
It would be a drastic move from Houston, which features one of the lowest-rated farm systems in MLB. Valdez has been one of the most reliable starters in baseball over the past four years and had a 2.91 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 169:55 K:BB across 176.1 regular-season frames in 2024.