2024 Stats
W-L
15-7
ERA
2.91
WHIP
1.11
K
169
SV
0
2025 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Valdez has settled in as the ace of Houston's staff over the past few years, and that trend continued in 2024 as he posted a 2.91 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 169:55 K:BB across 176.1 innings. A 3.36 xERA and 3.08 xFIP indicate he may have been a bit fortunate with the results, but those numbers are still strong and aren't anything to be concerned about. The left-hander's 16.2 percent K-BB% is solid if not a bit underwhelming for a pitcher of his caliber, as he continues to rely on inducing grounders (60.6 percent groundball rate). Valdez's recent track record of availability and effectiveness give him a strong floor, but his ceiling is more limited than the top-tier fantasy pitchers due to the lower strikeout totals. Read Past Outlooks
Named Opening Day starter
Manager Joe Espada announced Sunday that Valdez will start Opening Day against the Mets on March 27, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
After posting a career-best 2.91 ERA with a 1.11 WHIP and 169:55 K:BB across 176.1 regular-season innings last season, it was only a matter of time before Espada named Valdez as Houston's Opening Day starter. The left-hander has focused on the movement of his pitches during spring training and overall has pitched well with a 2.53 ERA across 10.2 innings.
After posting a career-best 2.91 ERA with a 1.11 WHIP and 169:55 K:BB across 176.1 regular-season innings last season, it was only a matter of time before Espada named Valdez as Houston's Opening Day starter. The left-hander has focused on the movement of his pitches during spring training and overall has pitched well with a 2.53 ERA across 10.2 innings.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
92
Last 10 Games
95
Last 5 Games
91
How many pitches does Framber Valdez generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Framber Valdez generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-15%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .219 | 115 | 33 | 79 | 8 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .225 | 448 | 146 | 393 | 35 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .252 | 34 | 5 | 27 | 2 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .214 | 135 | 50 | 113 | 11 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .220 | 45 | 14 | 27 | 5 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .230 | 155 | 43 | 139 | 14 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .192 | 36 | 14 | 25 | 1 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .229 | 158 | 53 | 141 | 10 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-4%
ERA on Road
2024
-25%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 3.13 | 1.11 | 284.1 | 9.7 | 2.4 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 3.00 | 1.15 | 291.1 | 8.0 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2024Home | 2.53 | 1.05 | 96.0 | 9.2 | 2.5 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.36 | 1.17 | 80.1 | 8.0 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.35 | 1.05 | 102.0 | 9.4 | 1.8 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.56 | 1.21 | 96.0 | 8.7 | 3.5 | ||||
| 2022Home | 3.54 | 1.26 | 86.1 | 10.4 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2022Away | 2.27 | 1.08 | 115.0 | 7.4 | 2.9 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Framber Valdez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.07K/9
8.6BB/9
2.8HR/9
0.7Fastball
94.2 mphERA
2.91WHIP
1.11BABIP
.279GB/FB
3.57Left On Base
76.4%Exit Velocity
84.2 mphBarrels/BBE
3.7%Spin Rate
2269 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
30.8%Swinging Strike
11.8%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Valdez has worked the fifth-most innings of any starting pitcher over the past two seasons trailing only Alcantara, Cole, Webb, and Mikolas. The lefty has returned three consecutive seasons of double digit wins, strong ratios, and a voluminous strikeout total and even threw in a no-hitter this season against Cleveland. Valdez was 9-7 with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP after completing that no-hitter on August 1st but was just 3-4 with a 4.29 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP from then on, which does not even include his very disappointing postseason where he allowed 12 earned runs and lost all three of his starts. Valdez absolutely brings the volume you want from a high-draft pick/cost starting pitcher, but he lacks the elite velocity or K-BB% that fantasy managers like to see from foundational pitchers. His extreme groundball tendencies minmize some of that risk, and the run support in Houston continues to be plentiful. 2022 was his peak, but something between it and 2023 is very possible.
More Fantasy News
Happy with movement on pitches
Valdez allowed three runs (one earned) on four hits and four walks while striking out one in Sunday's Grapefruit League game against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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No extension discussions
Valdez said Thursday that the Astros have yet to approach him or his agent regarding a contract extension, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Earning $18 million in 2025
Valdez and the Astros agreed to a one-year, $18 million contract to avoid arbitration Thursday, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Named Game 1 starter
Valdez will start Game 1 of the wild-card series versus the Tigers on Tuesday, Julia Morales of AT&T SportsNet Southwest reports.
ANALYSIS
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Earns 15th win
Valdez (15-7) allowed three runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out four over 5.2 innings to earn the win over the Mariners on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Extension talks haven't occurred
Valdez said Thursday that the Astros have not approached him or his representation regarding a contract extension, reports Chandler Rome of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Valdez noted that he is open to discussing a long-term deal should the Astros want to talk, but at this point it doesn't appear as though that's in the cards. Houston has never guaranteed a starting pitcher more than $85 million, which is a figure Valdez might be able to at least double next offseason. No left-hander has thrown more innings since 2021 than Valdez, who became a full-time starter that year.
Valdez noted that he is open to discussing a long-term deal should the Astros want to talk, but at this point it doesn't appear as though that's in the cards. Houston has never guaranteed a starting pitcher more than $85 million, which is a figure Valdez might be able to at least double next offseason. No left-hander has thrown more innings since 2021 than Valdez, who became a full-time starter that year.